此外，交易者可能会选择等待周五发布的美国非农就业报告，以获取有关美联储降息路径的更多线索， 并在此之前为下一步的方向性走势做好准备。因此，在对黄金对进行激进的看跌押注之前，需保持一定 的谨慎。 从技术面来看，金价昨日多头动力减弱，形成阴包阳的反弹见顶看空预期，但目前走势处于短期均线及 中轨上方，走势也维持在近2个月的回升趋势内，故此，也有随时再度走强反弹的预期，另外，日内4小 时走势，ZZ指标已经显示触底，且运行在中轨及60和30等周期均线上方，这暗示下方空间有限，如有 走低触及下方各类均线支撑位置，也是做多的机会。 4425的共振位——由100小时简单移动平均线(SMA)和近期上涨的38.2%斐波那契回撤位组成——可能为 黄金价格提供一些支撑。若果断跌破该水平，可能会引发一些技术性卖盘，并将黄金对拖至4400水平。 同时，移动平均线趋同/背离(MACD)线位于信号线下方且低于零，直方图呈负扩展，指向看跌动能的增 强。 此外，相对强弱指数(RSI)在40附近，处于中性偏看跌并下滑，强调了上行空间的受限。立即的反弹尝 试将面临23.6%斐波那契回撤位，约在4450区域。未能重新夺回该阻力位将限制反弹，而在38. ...

在德黑兰，当地下午5:30，大批民众向图普哈内广场游行；费尔多西街人群高呼"今年是血之年"，塔莱 加尼与瓦利亚斯尔交叉口、雅夫塔巴德及莫布尔集市亦响起响亮的示威口号。马什哈德下午2:30起，萨 阿迪广场与肖哈达广场聚集抗议者，防暴警察出动，示威者以石块等物回击安全部队。克尔曼沙阿等城 市的达尔加汉地区，集市商人发起激烈罢工与示威。 总统佩泽希齐扬同日表态，政府将优先推进经济改革并与抗议者对话，强调"人民生计是我每日关切"， 改革重点包括货币与银行体系，以维护购买力。他在社交平台X称，已责成内政部长与抗议代表沟通， 听取合理诉求并全力解决问题。 今日周三（12月31日）亚盘时段，沪金期货主连最新报价983.58元/克，下跌2.36元/克，跌幅0.24%，日 内价格最高触及993.76元/克，最低为978.18元/克，昨日收盘价985.94元/克，今日开盘价993.76元/克。 打开APP，查看更多高清行情>> 【要闻速递】 12月29日晚，伊朗多地爆发抗议浪潮，从集市商贩延伸至普通市民，迅速蔓延至德黑兰、马什哈德、克 尔曼沙阿、哈梅丹、卡拉杰、马拉尔德及凯什姆等城市。 黄金自4550美元/盎司的下跌并非温和回调 ...

与此同时，除澳元、新西兰元等澳大拉西亚货币外，加元相对其他主要货币均表现强势，核心原因在于加拿大央行短期内降息的可能性极低。在周三发布的 货币政策声明中，加拿大央行重申，"只要经济和通胀走势符合预期，当前利率水平足以将通胀维持在2%的目标附近"。 IC外汇平台美元兑加元技术面分析 美元兑加元（USD/CAD）已连续第四个交易日下跌。受美元持续走弱影响，该货币对进一步下探至1.3750附近。美联储在周三释放信号，称计划到2026年 将联邦基金利率降至3.4%；而加拿大央行（BoC）本周则表示，短期内应维持当前利率水平。 周五，美元兑加元延续四连跌走势。欧洲交易时段，该货币对下跌0.1%，交投于1.3750附近。周三美联储公布货币政策决议后，美元表现疲软，直接对美元 兑加元形成压制。 截至发稿，追踪美元兑六种主要货币汇率的美元指数（DXY）仍处于脆弱区间，徘徊在周四创下的七周低点98.13附近。 市场预期美联储2026年的降息次数将超过最新点阵图显示的水平，这一预期推动美元全面走软。CME美联储观察工具（CMEFedWatchTool）数据显示，截 至2026年10月，美联储至少降息两次的概率已达58%。与之形成 ...

受美联储最新货币政策影响，欧元兑美元汇率近期明显走强，从本周低点算起，涨幅已超过1.2%。 截至目前，欧元/美元已连续第三周保持上涨，短期走势受到市场普遍关注。 从技术层面看，当前汇率的焦点集中在上涨趋势中的阻力区域。市场观察显示，汇率收盘价与某一关键水平的关系，可作为判断短期走向的参考；该水平 在本周内的收盘表现，也是观察短期趋势的重要依据。 从4小时图来看，汇率当前正接近两个关键技术位置的重合区域： 一是10月高点对应的日收盘价水平，二是从年度高点回落过程中的61.8%斐波那契回撤位。该重合区域位于1.1731至1.1747之间。 其中1.1747被视为重要观察点，若日收盘价高于该水平，则后续可关注的阻力区间依次为1.1794至1.1813、以及1.1866。1.1794至1.1813区间包含了2025年 高点日收盘价及11月底以来的1.618%扩展位，1.1866则对应年度高点的日收盘水平。 结合日线图来看，欧元/美元此前曾短暂突破，触及短期上涨趋势阻力后经历了约四天的回调，幅度接近0.6%。而在美联储政策公布后，汇率自12月低点 反弹近1.5%，目前正试探11月底形成的价格通道上沿，该位置阻力的有效性 ...

值得注意的是，正如我们昨天在文中提到的，强化降息预期的是，下一任美联储主席的领跑者——白宫 国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈塞特——被认为与特朗普支持降低借贷成本的立场一致，从而进一步支撑 金价。 瑞银表示，市场参与者再次开始为12月美国降息定价，继续看好短期前景，年底金价预测为4200美元， 明年年中为4500美元。 从技术面来看，金价自11月初涨势的78.2%斐波那契回撤位4000美元附近反弹后持续走高，突破4100美 元确认了自11月峰值以来的回调已经结束。日线图4小时显示，技术指标维持积极动能，黄金进一步上 涨空间仍存。 上行方面，多头的下一个目标突破4200美元，下一阻力位将是11月13日高点4245美元。突破该位后， 4300美元及4381美元历史高点将成为潜在目标。 下行方面，若跌破4100美元，将打开测试20日简单移动平均线(SMA)的大门，该均线位于4065美元附 近，随后可能进一步回落至4000美元。 【EBC平台风险提示及免责条款】：本材料仅供一般参考使用，无意作为（也不应被视为）值得信赖的 财务、投资或其他建议。 截至11月26日，全球最大的黄金ETF SPDR Gold Trust持仓量为 ...

Fundamental Analysis - The spot silver price declined slightly due to the better-than-expected U.S. September non-farm payroll report, which reduced market expectations for a Fed rate cut in December [1] - The U.S. added 119,000 non-farm jobs in September, significantly above the market expectation of 50,000, indicating stronger employment growth momentum [1] - The unemployment rate remained at 4.4%, the highest level since the end of 2021, suggesting a slowdown in economic activity but not a collapse [3] Market Dynamics - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was around 4.117%, while the 2-year yield was approximately 3.571%, indicating stable bond yields despite the employment data [3] - The dollar index initially rose to 100.360 before retreating after the employment data was released, which limited the upward momentum for silver [3] - Silver faced selling pressure in the morning session and failed to gain substantial support from the dollar's pullback post-data release [3] Technical Analysis - Silver's upward potential is contingent on maintaining above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level of 50.990, with the 20-day and 50-day moving averages in a bullish arrangement [4] - If silver prices fall below the 0.500 Fibonacci retracement level of 49.947, it may test lower levels at 0.618 retracement of 48.903 and previous low of 49.332 [4] - The current market is in an adjustment phase, with a focus on Fibonacci levels and moving averages to determine future trends [4] Trading Strategy - The current trading strategy suggests a bullish position near the support level of 49.50, with a stop loss at 49.10 and a target range of 50.60 to 51.30 [7] - The overall market sentiment for silver is currently bearish due to strong employment data, stable Treasury yields, and a modest dollar retreat [4][7]

Core Viewpoint - The recent easing of tariff risks has led to a decline in COMEX gold futures prices, which briefly fell below the $4000 per ounce mark, currently trading around $4025 per ounce [1] Group 1: Market Impact - Gold-related ETFs have faced setbacks, with the Huaxia Gold ETF (518850) down 1.65% and the Gold Stock ETF (159562) down 1.62% as of 10:05 AM [1] - Major holdings in these ETFs, including Tongling Nonferrous Metals, Jiangxi Copper, Zhaojin Mining, and Shandong Gold, have experienced significant declines [1] - The broader Nonferrous Metals ETF (516650) has also seen a decrease of 0.7% [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis - Gold prices have fallen below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, which marked a significant increase of 23.6% from July to October [1] - However, prices around $4020 per ounce are showing support, indicating a potential for a short-term technical rebound [1] Group 3: Economic Context - The easing of tensions in the US-China trade dispute has improved risk appetite, contributing to the decline in gold prices, which hit a low of $3971 per ounce, the first drop below $4000 since mid-October [1] - Expectations of the Federal Reserve potentially restarting a monetary easing cycle may encourage investors to buy gold [1]

Core Insights - The article highlights a significant supply barrier for Dogecoin (DOGE) around the $0.21 mark, where approximately 10.5 billion DOGE (valued at about $2.2 billion) is located near the breakeven point [1] - Technical analysis indicates that this resistance level coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, creating a dual resistance from both technical and on-chain data [4] - The current price of DOGE is at a critical juncture, with potential upward targets if the resistance is broken [5][10] On-Chain Data - On-chain data shows that the top 1% of addresses holding DOGE have maintained a high holding ratio, indicating that large holders have not significantly reduced their positions, which alleviates some selling pressure [7] - However, this concentration of holdings poses a risk, as a mass sell-off by these large holders could lead to significant price volatility [7] Technical Analysis - DOGE is currently priced at $0.195 and is at a decision point regarding its next movement [10] - If bulls can absorb the $2.2 billion supply at $0.21 and maintain that position, the price could rise to targets of $0.29, $0.45, and even $0.86 [10][12] - Conversely, if the price fails to break through this resistance, it may retrace to test support levels, with deeper support around $0.17 [10][12] Key Levels Summary - Immediate resistance is identified at $0.21, which is a significant supply zone [12] - Breakout targets are set at $0.29, $0.45, and $0.86 [12] - Current support is at the lower boundary of the ascending channel [12]

Group 1 - The USD/JPY pair is currently trading around 151.1000, with a 0.24% increase from the previous close of 150.7400, as the Japanese yen remains under pressure due to delayed expectations for a Bank of Japan interest rate hike [1] - The yen has declined against the dollar for three consecutive days, with limited downside ahead of the upcoming Japanese parliamentary election to appoint a new Prime Minister [1] - The anticipated appointment of Seiko Noda as Japan's first female Prime Minister contrasts with dovish expectations from the US Federal Reserve, which may limit the dollar's gains against the yen [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis indicates a positive outlook for USD/JPY, with potential appreciation towards the support level of 151.75, which includes the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from recent monthly highs and the 200-hour simple moving average [2] - A sustained breakout above this level could lead to further increases towards the 152.00 level and the resistance area of 152.25, which is the intersection of the monthly peak's Fibonacci retracement and the 200-hour simple moving average [2] - Immediate support is expected in the 150.50-150.45 range, with further support at 150.25 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement) and the psychological level of 150.00 [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the Canadian dollar is under pressure due to weak employment data and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada [1][2] - The Canadian employment numbers for September showed an increase of 60,400, significantly above the expected 5,000 and a recovery from the previous decline of 65,500 [1] - Market expectations suggest a 70% probability of a rate cut by the Bank of Canada in the upcoming meeting on October 29, with implied rates indicating a potential decrease of nearly 25 basis points by year-end [1] Group 2 - The USD/CAD exchange rate has shown bullish momentum after consolidating around 1.3900 for nearly two weeks, driven by rising political uncertainty outside the U.S. [2] - The currency pair has broken above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), extending the upward trend that began from the June low of 1.3538 to a six-month high of 1.4032 [2] - A critical level to watch is the 1.4050 mark; if the pair can maintain above this level, it may advance towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.4165, with further potential to challenge the long-term upward trend line around 1.4230 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.4313 [2]