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崔东树:1-9月二手车累计交易量同比增3.6%达1473万台 交易额增0.7%达9462亿元
智通财经网· 2025-11-07 13:26
Core Viewpoint - The second-hand car market in China is experiencing significant growth, with a projected transaction volume of 1.79 million units in September 2025, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 5.1% and a year-on-year increase of 8% [1][5]. Market Overview - The total transaction volume for second-hand cars from January to September 2025 reached 14.73 million units, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, with a total transaction value of 946.2 billion yuan, up 0.7% year-on-year [1][5]. - The second-hand car market is still in a rapid growth phase compared to more mature markets in developed countries, indicating substantial future potential [1][5]. Industry Dynamics - The second-hand car market is benefiting from improved circulation and facilitation measures from local traffic management departments, which are enhancing the ease of transactions for consumers and businesses [1]. - The market is seeing a diversification in the types of vehicles traded, contributing to stable transaction prices [5]. Transaction Structure - In September 2025, the structure of second-hand car transactions shows that basic passenger cars accounted for 59.8%, SUVs for 14.1%, and MPVs for 7.5% [6]. - The market is shifting towards higher-end consumption, with a notable increase in the share of SUVs and MPVs [6]. Age Distribution of Vehicles - The proportion of second-hand cars aged 3 years or less reached 25.1% in September 2025, while those aged 3-6 years accounted for 41.1% [7]. - The trend indicates a growing presence of older vehicles in the market, with significant potential for future scrappage and renewal [8]. Price Trends - The average transaction price of second-hand cars is becoming more pragmatic, with an increasing share of vehicles priced between 30,000 to 50,000 yuan, while the share of vehicles priced below 30,000 yuan is declining [13]. - The transaction price structure for new energy second-hand cars is also evolving, with a notable increase in the share of vehicles priced between 50,000 to 80,000 yuan [18]. New Energy Vehicle Market - The transaction volume of second-hand new energy vehicles reached 15.91 million units in September 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 58.3% [14]. - The penetration rate of second-hand new energy vehicles has risen from 3.6% at the end of 2022 to 11.8% by September 2025, indicating strong growth potential [14]. Vehicle Transfer and Inventory - The transfer rate of second-hand vehicles has increased, reaching 30.4% in the third quarter of 2025, reflecting improved convenience in vehicle transfers [20]. - The inventory pressure for second-hand cars is gradually improving, with a notable decrease in the proportion of vehicles held for over 30 days [23]. Resale Value - The three-year resale value for new energy vehicles is currently low but is expected to stabilize as the market matures [24][25]. - The depreciation of older new energy vehicles is being mitigated by the increasing value of battery components, suggesting a potential for better resale values in the future [25].