新能源估值

Search documents
电建新能抢到船票
虎嗅APP· 2025-09-25 00:10
Core Viewpoint - China Power Construction New Energy (referred to as "Power Construction New Energy") has received formal acceptance for its initial public offering (IPO) application, aiming to raise 9 billion yuan, with the number of new shares accounting for 10% to 25% of the expanded total share capital [5]. Group 1 - As of March 2025, Power Construction New Energy's installed capacity reached 21.25 GW, with wind power at 9.9 GW and solar power at 11.36 GW [6]. - In comparison, Three Gorges Energy had an installed capacity of 11.9 GW at the time of its IPO in May 2021, with wind power at 6.9 GW and solar power at 4.77 GW [6]. - Power Construction New Energy's installed capacity has nearly doubled since Three Gorges Energy's IPO, yet its IPO fundraising amount is only 40% of what Three Gorges Energy raised [8]. Group 2 - The valuation of new energy stocks has generally been low in recent years, and Power Construction New Energy has not benefited from favorable market conditions [9]. - Power Construction New Energy's installed capacity has significantly increased, with projections showing it will reach 21.2 GW by 2024, equivalent to 44.1% of Three Gorges Energy's capacity [18]. - The growth rates for wind and solar power from 2022 to 2024 are projected at 37% and 505%, respectively, indicating a strong focus on solar energy [20][21]. Group 3 - Power Construction New Energy's electricity generation has also increased, reaching 194 billion kWh in 2023, which is 35.2% of Three Gorges Energy's output [23]. - Despite the increase in installed capacity, Power Construction New Energy's electricity sales revenue has not kept pace, dropping from 34% of Three Gorges Energy's revenue in 2022 to 33.5% in 2024 [30][33]. - The average selling price of electricity for Power Construction New Energy is lower than that of Three Gorges Energy, which affects its revenue generation [33]. Group 4 - Both companies have similar unit asset values, with Power Construction New Energy at 4.62 yuan per watt and Three Gorges Energy at 4.96 yuan per watt, both below the industry median [40]. - The depreciation rates for machinery and equipment are comparable, with Power Construction New Energy at 5.65% and Three Gorges Energy at 5.56% [41]. - Power Construction New Energy's machinery and equipment book value is approximately 37% of Three Gorges Energy's, indicating a significant gap in scale [46]. Group 5 - Power Construction New Energy's construction projects have increased significantly, with in-progress projects accounting for 52% of its original value in 2023, compared to 29% for Three Gorges Energy [54]. - The company is expected to initiate a new round of expansion following its IPO, but Three Gorges Energy is also likely to continue its growth [55]. - The reasonable valuation for Power Construction New Energy is estimated to be around 40% of Three Gorges Energy's, approximately 48 billion yuan, with potential market reactions possibly pushing its market value above 60 billion yuan [55].
宁德时代祭出A股史上最大规模回购预案,创业板新能源ETF国泰(159387)重磅发行中
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-15 06:29
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a resurgence in share buybacks among listed companies, particularly in the new energy sector, with CATL announcing the largest buyback plan in A-share history, intending to repurchase shares worth between 4 billion to 8 billion yuan, which represents 2.64% of its cash reserves [1][2] - As of April 30, CATL has already repurchased shares worth 1.55 billion yuan within just 17 trading days since the announcement of the buyback plan [1] Group 2 - The new energy sector has seen a significant valuation correction since 2022, making it an attractive opportunity for low-cost investments, with the PE ratio of the ChiNext new energy index at 22.27 times, which is at a historical median level [3] - The current market environment is stabilizing, and domestic policies aimed at economic growth are being implemented, suggesting that the A-share market may experience an upward trend [3] Group 3 - The new energy vehicle market is expected to maintain steady growth due to ongoing subsidies for replacing old vehicles, with a special bond fund of 300 billion yuan allocated to support this initiative [4] - The introduction of new models in the new energy vehicle sector is anticipated to boost market activity, and despite a high penetration rate of 40% in China, there remains significant growth potential globally [5] Group 4 - The photovoltaic industry has faced challenges due to overcapacity, but a trend of reduced capital expenditure is emerging, which is expected to improve the supply-demand dynamics in the future [5] - Recent industry meetings have addressed issues of excessive competition, indicating a potential for gradual improvement in the photovoltaic supply chain [5][6] Group 5 - The newly launched ChiNext New Energy ETF (159387) tracks the ChiNext new energy index, which includes 50 representative companies from the new energy sector, with 72% of its components in new energy vehicles and 25% in photovoltaics [7] - The ChiNext new energy index has shown strong historical performance, with a cumulative return of 139.84% since its inception, significantly outperforming other related indices [9]