12月11日，乘联分会秘书长崔东树发文称，由于以旧换新补贴力度较强，2025年汽车以旧换新规模预计 超1800亿元；且新能源车车购税优惠10%，惠及的销量比2024年多22%，意味着新能源车销售额2万多 亿元所对应的2000多亿元的车辆购置税被减免，因此在近4000亿元的免税和补贴政策支持下，2025年车 市超预期增长。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article provides a comprehensive analysis of the automotive market in November 2025, highlighting trends in retail, production, wholesale, and exports, particularly focusing on the performance of new energy vehicles (NEVs) and the impact of government policies on market dynamics [14][15][17]. Retail Analysis - In November, the national passenger car market retail reached 2.225 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 8.1% and a month-on-month decrease of 1.1%. Cumulative retail for the year reached 21.483 million units, up 6.1% year-on-year [14]. - The retail penetration rate of NEVs in the domestic market was 59.3%, an increase of 7 percentage points year-on-year. Among the NEVs, the penetration rate for domestic brands was 79.6% [24] [15]. Production and Wholesale Analysis - Passenger car production in November was 3.106 million units, a year-on-year increase of 3.0% and a month-on-month increase of 5.3%. Cumulative production for the year reached 26.842 million units, up 12.3% year-on-year [17]. - Wholesale figures for November reached 2.998 million units, marking a historical high for the month, with a year-on-year increase of 2.3% and a month-on-month increase of 2.4% [18]. Export Performance - In November, the export of passenger cars was 818,000 units, a month-on-month decrease of 1% but a year-on-year increase of 40%. Cumulative exports for the year reached 5.151 million units, up 17.2% year-on-year [17]. - NEVs accounted for 47.3% of total exports in November, with a significant year-on-year increase of 26.3 percentage points. The export of NEVs reached 284,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 243.3% [25]. Market Dynamics - The article notes that the market is experiencing a shift with the introduction of new models and the impact of government policies such as the "old-for-new" subsidy program, which has seen over 11.2 million applications by October 2025 [14][15]. - The performance of domestic brands in the NEV sector is strong, with significant growth in exports and market share, particularly among major state-owned enterprises [15][16]. Future Outlook - The article anticipates strong retail performance for December 2025, driven by consumer urgency due to the expiration of tax exemptions for NEVs. The overall market is expected to benefit from increased consumer interest and government support [30][31].