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普遍基本收入(UBI)
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“稳定工作”正在消失,我们还剩下什么?
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-13 06:19
Core Viewpoint - The gig economy represents a shift towards flexible, short-term, and task-oriented work, often facilitated by internet platforms, highlighting the trade-off between job security and freedom [1][2][4]. Group 1: Characteristics of the Gig Economy - The gig economy is characterized by short-term, platform-based work, contrasting with traditional long-term employment that offers stability and benefits [4][5]. - There is a significant difference between various gig worker groups, such as digital nomads and delivery workers, in terms of work style and living conditions [2][7]. - The rise of gig work reflects broader societal changes, with many workers experiencing instability and a lack of formal contracts or protections [5][6]. Group 2: Historical Context and Evolution - The emergence of unstable employment in the West can be traced back to the decline of welfare state policies and the rise of neoliberalism since the 1980s [5]. - In China, the transition from a state-controlled economy to a market-oriented one has led to a significant increase in informal and unstable employment, with nearly 80% of workers lacking formal contracts and social security [5][6]. - The gig economy is not a new phenomenon but rather a re-emergence of historical labor structures that prioritize flexibility over stability [5][6]. Group 3: Social Implications and Identity - The identity and social perception of gig workers differ significantly from traditional white-collar and blue-collar workers, with gig workers often facing social stigma and identity anxiety [9][10]. - The narrative surrounding gig work often romanticizes freedom and flexibility, yet many gig workers experience a loss of agency and are trapped in repetitive labor cycles [11][12]. - The concept of "working identity" plays a crucial role in social relationships, with gig workers often struggling for recognition and acceptance in society [17][18]. Group 4: Future Considerations and Policy Implications - The gig economy's growth necessitates a rethinking of social safety nets and labor protections, as traditional employment models become less viable [25][26]. - There is a call for new social distribution mechanisms, such as Universal Basic Income (UBI), to support individuals in a labor market that cannot guarantee stable employment for all [25][26]. - The need for a shift in societal values towards recognizing non-market labor, such as caregiving and community service, is emphasized as essential for social cohesion [26][35].
关税战难解美国制造业困境,旧秩序正在崩溃
3 6 Ke· 2025-04-30 04:23
Group 1 - The core of the news revolves around Trump's consideration to significantly reduce tariffs on Chinese imports by over 50% to ease global trade and financial market disruptions [1] - The trade war initiated by Trump has led to a chaotic situation in global supply chains, with both the US and China engaging in a "chicken game" where neither side is willing to make concessions [1][4] - The discussion highlights that the essence of the trade war is not merely about tariffs but reflects a deeper collapse of the old global order, with significant implications for international relations and trade dynamics [3][27] Group 2 - The historical context of Trump's tariff strategy is compared to 18th-century diplomatic tactics, emphasizing extreme pressure and ultimatums to gain negotiation advantages [5] - The recent escalation of tariffs has seen the US impose a 125% tariff on Chinese goods, while China has responded with similar measures, indicating a shift from economic tools to political weapons [5][6] - The complexity of global supply chains means that tariffs may not effectively disrupt trade, as companies find ways to circumvent them, leading to a situation where tariffs lose their intended economic impact [19][21] Group 3 - The concept of "supply chain overflow" is introduced, where manufacturing processes are not simply relocating but are instead creating a more complex network that still relies heavily on Chinese suppliers [9][10] - The discussion points out that while some assembly operations may move to countries like Vietnam, the deeper layers of the supply chain remain entrenched in China, complicating the effectiveness of US tariffs [9][11] - The rising costs in Southeast Asia, such as land prices in Vietnam, indicate that even partial relocation of manufacturing does not equate to a complete transfer of the supply chain [13][15] Group 4 - The news discusses the challenges faced by US manufacturing, highlighting that the return of manufacturing jobs is unlikely without significant changes in investment and operational efficiency [38][39] - The potential for AI and Universal Basic Income (UBI) to address economic disparities and the challenges posed by automation is explored, suggesting a shift in focus from traditional manufacturing to new economic models [41][40] - The narrative suggests that the current geopolitical landscape is leading to a new form of globalization centered around the US, moving away from the previous multilateral frameworks [30][32]