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银河期货铁合金日报-20250825
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 14:48
Group 1: Market Information - SF主力合约收盘价5680,日变动38,周变动 -200,成交量200580,日变化53577,持仓量227550,日变化 -2948;SM主力合约收盘价5898,日变动66,周变动 -128,成交量227280,日变化42416,持仓量300427,日变化 -2245 [4] - 72%FeSi内蒙现货价格5370,日变动0,周变动 -180;72%FeSi宁夏现货价格5380,日变动0,周变动 -220等;硅锰6517内蒙现货价格5750,日变动0,周变动 -70;硅锰6517宁夏现货价格5620,日变动70,周变动 -230等 [4] - 硅铁内蒙 - 主力基差 -310,日变动 -38,周变动20;锰硅内蒙 - 主力基差 -148,日变动 -66,周变动58等;SF - SM价差 -218,日变动 -28,周变动 -72 [4] - 锰矿(天津)澳块当日40.5,日变动0,周变动 -0.2;南非半碳酸当日34,日变动 -0.5,周变动 -0.8等;兰炭小料陕西当日650,日变动20,周变动20;宁夏当日685,日变动0,周变动0等 [4] Group 2: Market Analysis - 8月25日,铁合金期货价格小幅上涨,硅铁主力合约收盘5680,上涨0.67%,持仓减少2948手;锰硅主力合约收盘5898,上涨1.13%,持仓减少2245手 [6] - 硅铁25日现货价格稳中偏弱,部分区域现货上涨50元/吨;供应端上周产量继续小幅增加,但增幅放缓;需求端样本钢材产量维持高位,对原料需求有支撑;期货价格临近部分产区成本,高升水风险大幅释放,近期底部震荡为主 [6] - 锰硅25日锰矿现货稳中偏弱,天津港半碳酸下跌0.5元/吨度,锰硅现货稳中偏强,部分区域现货上涨70元/吨;供应端上周产量增幅放缓;需求端螺纹样本表需小幅回升,未形成下行趋势;当前价格下高升水风险大幅释放,预计底部震荡为主 [6] Group 3: Trading Strategies - 单边:期货价格临近部分产区成本,高升水风险大幅释放,近期底部震荡为主 [7] - 套利:期现正套逐步止盈 [7] - 期权:逢高卖出跨式期权组合 [7] Group 4: Important Information - Mysteel煤焦:邢台市场焦炭价格计划提涨,捣固湿熄焦上调50元/吨、捣固干熄焦上调55元/吨,调整后捣固准一干熄报价1675元/吨,出厂价现金含税,自8月26日0时起执行 [8] - 上海6部门联合印发《关于优化调整本市房地产政策措施的通知》,明确进一步调减住房限购政策,符合条件居民家庭在外环外购房不限套数,成年单身人士按居民家庭执行住房限购政策 [8] Group 5: Cost and Profit - 硅铁青海生产成本5457元/吨,利润 -157元/吨;甘肃生产成本5609元/吨,利润 -309元/吨 [16] - 硅锰内蒙生产成本5831元/吨,利润 -81元/吨;宁夏生产成本5939元/吨,利润 -339元/吨等 [21]
建信期货碳酸锂期货日报-20250611
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-06-11 02:43
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core View of the Report - The lithium carbonate futures continued to fluctuate at the bottom, with the total open interest decreasing by 7,341 lots and the long - short game continuing to decline. The spot price increased during the day, with the price of electric carbon rising by 100 to 60,350. The prices of spodumene and lepidolite ore stopped falling, the price of lithium iron phosphate increased by 20 - 30, and the price of ternary materials decreased by 50 - 180. The price cut tide in the industrial chain slowed down, and there were no new changes in the fundamentals. The lithium carbonate futures once broke through the trend line during the day, but the upward trend was frustrated again due to the news of China - US negotiations. In the short term, lithium carbonate is still brewing a rebound, but the momentum is still insufficient. Before the demand side picks up, the price of lithium carbonate futures is expected to continue to fluctuate weakly at the bottom [8] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - The lithium carbonate futures continued to fluctuate at the bottom, with a decrease in total open interest and weak short - term rebound momentum. The price is expected to continue weak bottom - side fluctuations before the demand side recovers [8] 3.2. Industry News - Talon Metals plans to raise about C$24 million (US$17.6 million) for its Tamarack nickel - copper - cobalt project in Minnesota. The financing will be carried out through two independent financings, and the company's stock price tumbled as investors digested the pricing. Tamarack is a joint - venture project with Rio Tinto, which holds 51% of the equity [9] - Premium Resources has changed its name to NexMetals Mining to reflect its strategy of supplying key metals such as copper, nickel, and cobalt from Botswana. The name - change plan was approved by shareholders, and its stock will start trading under the new name and ticker "NEXM" on the TSX - V on June 11. The company announced a six - month aggressive strategy in April [9] - The Mianyang Liyuan New Energy Co., Ltd.'s project to produce 12 million lithium - ion energy - storage cells per year in Yanting County, Mianyang City, Sichuan Province, is under environmental impact assessment. The project plans to invest 50 million yuan and purchase more than 100 sets of intelligent equipment to form an annual production capacity of 12 million lithium - ion energy - storage cells [10]