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白银一年涨 3 倍,美国“化债”能力变弱,面临的窘境已藏不住
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 12:31
白银的疯狂上涨,说实话我已经见怪不怪了,其实白银这波暴涨,核心还是美元信用体系出了大问题,再加上工业刚需、资本操作和政策助力,多重力量叠 在一起才造就了这场疯狂。最根本的原因,就是美国的债务危机和美元霸权的衰落。截至2026年1月,美国国债已经突破38.64万亿美元,占GDP比重超 135%,每年的利息支出就超1万亿美元,只能靠借新还旧维持,形成了恶性循环。为了化解债务压力,美联储只能放水,搞债务货币化,这就导致美元购买 力不断下降,大家都想找实物资产避险,黄金白银自然成了首选,而白银既有贵金属的金融属性,价格又比黄金便宜,自然成了资金追捧的焦点。 最危险的是,美国的债务危机和金融市场的泡沫,已经到了濒临破裂的边缘。美国靠债务货币化缓解压力,本质上就是饮鸩止渴,长期的宽松政策已经催生 了巨大的资产泡沫,白银的疯狂就是泡沫的缩影。 除此之外,工业刚需也给白银涨势托了底。全球60%的白银需求来自工业,中国更是占到90%,尤其是光伏、新能源汽车和AI产业的爆发,成了"吞银兽"。 光伏的N型电池银耗比传统技术高很多,电动车用银量是燃油车的1.5-2倍,AI服务器的GPU也离不开白银,而且这些技术短期内没有替代方案,再 ...
研报掘金丨长江证券:予锡业股份“买入”评级 高纯度、长久期的龙头,高光有望来临
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-20 07:23
Core Viewpoint - The report from Changjiang Securities highlights that Xiyu Co. has grown to become the largest integrated tin enterprise globally, with a domestic market share of 48% and a global market share of 25% in refined tin for 2024 [1] Company Overview - Xiyu Co. has a static tin resource that can be developed for 20 years, and with exploration and mining efforts, the dynamic development period may extend to 62 years [1] - The company has a potential resource-to-reserve ratio that could reach 82 years by utilizing tailings [1] - The integration of group-managed mines and potential external acquisitions may ensure that Xiyu Co.'s tin resources can last for another century, emphasizing the value of tin [1] Industry Context - Tin is recognized as a crucial material in the semiconductor sector, often referred to as the "metal of the future" [1] - The supply-demand dynamics of metals indicate that tin stands out among other metals [1] - As a leading provider of high-purity and long-duration tin, Xiyu Co. is expected to experience significant growth and recognition in the market [1]