Workflow
白银
icon
Search documents
【UNforex财经事件】收益率触及低位 金银走势出现分化
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-27 11:25
与黄金的整理态势形成对比,白银(XAG/USD)在欧洲时段上涨约2.4%,升至90.60美元附近,展现出 更高弹性。其背后核心驱动来自科技板块的估值修正。此前英伟达股价回落逾5%,尽管财报数据强 劲,但市场开始重新评估人工智能资本支出的可持续性以及潜在产能过剩风险。 随着标普500指数回落至6900点附近、纳指跌幅扩大,风险偏好阶段性降温,部分资金由高估值科技股 流向贵金属板块。与此同时,10年期美债收益率触及4.0%,创三个月低位,本月累计下行近30个基 点。生息资产吸引力下降,提升了对白银等无息资产的配置需求。 地缘层面,日内瓦会谈虽被描述为取得"重要进展",但核心分歧仍存,技术性谈判预计延续至3月初。 紧张情绪的边际缓和抑制了极端避险需求,但并未逆转风险资产再平衡的大方向。在收益率回落与科技 估值修正的共振下,白银受益更为明显。 UNforex 2月27日讯(分析师 Simon)在美债收益率下探至阶段低位、科技股波动加剧以及地缘局势持 续博弈的背景下,贵金属板块内部出现结构性分化。黄金在5200美元关口附近整理蓄势,而白银则突破 90美元整数位,表现更为凌厉。市场逻辑正在从单一地缘风险驱动,转向"利率回 ...
股价涨355%!白银龙头净利有望增长30%,启动H股IPO
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 09:18
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 文丨惠凯 编辑丨承承 白银板块股价大涨,兴业银锡涨幅达355%。行业龙头纷纷推进H股IPO与收购。 2025年以来,在银价持续走强的带动下,白银板块龙头公司股价表现抢眼。其中兴业银锡自去年以来涨 幅高达355%,成为市场关注焦点。然而在估值高企的背景下,相关企业资本运作频繁,兴业银锡启动 H股IPO,盛达资源则接连推进矿业资产收购。与此同时,行业ESG表现分化明显,除西部矿业评级较 优外,多数白银企业ESG水平亟待提升,安全生产、碳排放等议题成为发展中的挑战。 银价高企助推股价 龙头业绩可期 2025年以来,银价走出了牛市行情,特别是近期涨幅较大。据Wind数据,SHFE白银指数2025年上涨了 124.62%,2026年1月上涨54.91%(最大涨幅达81.89%)。截至2月11日,SHFE白银指数2025年以来累 计涨幅达175.54%。 同期,A股市场上白银概念股也表现出色,以兴业银锡(000426.SZ)、西部矿业(601168.SH)、湖南 白银(002716.SZ)等为代表的白银概念股股价翻倍,其中兴业银锡2025年以来上涨 ...
国际金价、银价直线拉升 现货黄金突破5190美元/盎司
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-25 03:14
消息面上,地缘政治持续推动投资者转向避险资产。当地时间2月24日,美国财政部海外资产控制办公 室宣布,根据《以制裁反击美国敌人法》及网络相关制裁措施,将4名个人和3家实体列入"特别指定国 民"名单,涉及俄罗斯及阿联酋。此外,交易参与者高度关注即将公布的美国总统特朗普国情咨文讲话 内容。该讲话预计将涉及财政政策、贸易关税及国际关系等关键议题,或为市场提供进一步的指引。 格隆汇2月25日|据中国基金报,黄金白银,再度拉升!2月25日上午,现货黄金价格直线走高,盘中最 高达5190美元/盎司,涨超1%。现货白银同步走强,站稳88美元/盎司,盘中涨幅超1.8%。铂金盘中直线 拉涨,最高价达2231美元/盎司,涨超2.7%;钯金涨超1%。期货市场方面,COMEX黄金、白银亦有明 显涨幅,NYMEX铂、钯金同步拉升。 实物黄金饰品方面,截至发稿,周大福足金饰品价格为1570元/克,周生生为1564元/克,老庙黄金为 1595元/克,仍处于近期高位。 ...
日度策略参考-20260224
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2026-02-24 05:39
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - After the holiday, A-shares are likely to have a restorative rebound. Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial to bond futures, but the central bank has indicated interest rate risks in the short term. The macro situation during the holiday is favorable for the market, and the prices of various commodities have different trends [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Macro Finance - **Stock Index**: Before the holiday, the A-share market adjusted significantly due to the rise of risk aversion. During the holiday, the Hong Kong stock market rebounded, and technology sectors such as AI and robotics attracted wide attention. It is expected that A-shares will have a restorative rebound after the holiday [1]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial to bond futures, but the central bank has indicated interest rate risks in the short term. Attention should be paid to the interest rate decision of the Bank of Japan [1]. Non-ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The macro situation during the holiday is favorable for the market, and the copper price may fluctuate strongly in the short term [1]. - **Aluminum**: The macro situation is mixed, and the aluminum price will fluctuate in the short term. The operating capacity of domestic alumina has decreased, and there are disturbances in the supply of a large alumina enterprise in North China. Attention should be paid to the opportunity of going long at a low price [1]. - **Zinc**: The negotiation between the United States and Iran has reached a deadlock, which has led to concerns about the supply of Iranian zinc mines and supported the zinc price in the short term. Attention should be paid to the resumption of production of downstream enterprises after the holiday [1]. - **Nickel**: The LME nickel price rose slightly during the holiday. Although the tailings landslide in the Indonesian QMB project has limited actual impact, there are still concerns about nickel ore supply. The nickel price will fluctuate strongly in the short term and is still affected by the resonance of the non-ferrous metal sector. Attention should be paid to changes in Indonesian policies and macro sentiment. In the long term, the high global nickel inventory may still have a suppressing effect. It is recommended to pay attention to the opportunity of going long at a low price and control risks [1]. - **Stainless Steel**: The raw material nickel-iron price remains firm, the spot transaction of stainless steel is weak, the social inventory has increased slightly, and the steel mills' maintenance and production reduction have increased in February. The stainless steel futures will fluctuate strongly. Attention should be paid to the demand recovery after the holiday. It is recommended to go long at a low price in the short term and control risks [1]. - **Tin**: The uncertainty of recent macro events is relatively large. Under the influence of US tariffs and geopolitics, the short-term volatility of the tin price may increase. Although the long-term trend of the tin price remains unchanged, investors are advised to pay attention to risk management and profit protection in the short term [1]. - **Precious Metals**: The judgment of the Supreme Court that the "IEEPA tariff" is illegal and Trump's new tariff policy have intensified market concerns about uncertainty. Coupled with the escalation of the geopolitical tension between the United States and Iran, the demand for hedging has supported the price of precious metals. The macro situation is favorable for platinum, and the balance expectation of palladium may improve, which may further support the palladium price in the short term [1]. Agricultural Products - **Palm Oil**: The data of Malaysian palm oil from February 1 to 20 showed a double decline in production and exports. The Malaysian palm oil market rebounded and then faced pressure during the holiday and is expected to fluctuate [1]. - **Soybean Oil**: The US soybean oil has risen under the influence of biodiesel and crude oil prices. The domestic soybean oil may open higher but lacks new driving forces for the time being. It is recommended to wait and see [1]. - **Rapeseed**: The ICE rapeseed rose slightly during the holiday and may be affected by US biodiesel and potential domestic import demand. Attention should be paid to the release of the EPA biodiesel policy and the anti-dumping arbitration announcement of Canadian rapeseed in China [1]. - **Cotton**: The domestic new cotton crop has a strong expectation of a bumper harvest, and the purchase price of seed cotton supports the cost of lint cotton. The downstream startup rate remains low, but the inventory of spinning mills is not high, and there is a rigid demand for replenishment. The cotton market is currently in a situation of "having support but no driving force." Future attention should be paid to the tone of the No. 1 Central Document in the first quarter of next year regarding direct subsidy prices and cotton planting areas, the intention of cotton planting areas next year, weather during the planting period, and the peak demand season from March to April [1]. - **Sugar**: The global sugar market is in surplus, and the domestic new sugar supply is increasing. The short-selling consensus is relatively consistent. If the price continues to fall, there will be strong cost support below, but the short-term fundamentals lack continuous driving forces. Attention should be paid to changes in the capital market [1]. - **Corn**: After the holiday, attention should be paid to the selling pressure of on-the-ground grain in the production areas. However, the quality of Northeast grain is relatively dry this year, and the selling pressure is expected to be limited under the support of the rigid replenishment demand of the middle and lower reaches. In addition, attention should be paid to the release of policy grain and the implementation of import restrictions after the holiday. The overall expectation is to maintain range fluctuations [1]. - **Soybean Meal**: The US tariff policy has changed during the holiday, but the external market fluctuated little, which has limited guidance for the domestic soybean meal market. The Brazilian soybean premium has declined, and the soybean meal market is expected to fluctuate. Attention should be paid to Sino-US trade dynamics and Brazilian selling pressure in the near future [1]. - **Coniferous Pulp**: There is no obvious positive news for coniferous pulp during the Spring Festival. The previous positive factors on the supply side have basically faded. It is expected to fluctuate in the range of 5200 - 5400 in the short term. Attention should be paid to the port inventory after the holiday [1]. - **Log**: The spot price of logs has risen, the log arrivals in February have decreased, and the external quotation is expected to rise. The futures market has an upward driving force [1]. Energy and Chemicals - **Fuel Oil**: OPEC+ has suspended production increases until the end of 2026, the Middle East geopolitical situation is still uncertain, and the sentiment in the commodity market has cooled down. The short-term supply-demand contradiction is not prominent, and it follows the trend of crude oil [1]. - **Asphalt**: The raw material cost has strong support, the sentiment in the commodity market is changeable, the risk appetite of funds has decreased, the downstream demand has weakened before the holiday, and the basis difference has expanded to the high level of the same period [1]. - **Butadiene**: The cost end of butadiene has strong support, the overseas cracking device capacity has been cleared, which is beneficial to the long-term domestic butadiene export expectation. The profit of private cis-butadiene plants has remained in a loss state recently, and the expectation of maintenance and load reduction has increased. The downstream negative feedback has been gradually realized. The butadiene market is in a state of destocking, and the high inventory of cis-butadiene is still a potential negative factor. Attention should be paid to the inventory reduction of cis-butadiene before the Spring Festival and the trading performance of the butadiene market. The short-term market is expected to fluctuate widely, and the BR still has an upward expectation in the long term [1]. - **PX**: The PX-mixed xylene price difference has narrowed to $150, which is still enough to support PX manufacturers to purchase mixed xylene as raw materials. PX maintains fundamental resilience during the high-level correction, and there are still risks of crude oil prices due to the Iranian geopolitical risk. The downstream PTA industry continues to be strong, and the domestic PTA output in January is expected to reach a new high, and there is no plan to reduce production during the Spring Festival, and there is no new PTA production capacity throughout the year [1]. - **Ethylene**: The production profit rate of naphtha cracking has declined due to the rise in raw material prices. The price difference between ethylene and naphtha has reached $83. Several Korean ethylene producers plan to maintain the operating rate of their cracking devices in February. The ethylene glycol price is waiting at a low level [1]. - **Styrene**: The high inventory of pure benzene has weak import demand, and the price difference between the United States and Asia is $88, which is not enough to open the arbitrage window. The Asian styrene price and economic situation have recovered, mainly driven by supply tightening, unexpected shutdowns in the Middle East, surging export demand, and rising cost ends. The continuous strong export, short-term supply gap caused by domestic maintenance, and speculative buying driven by chemical futures support the firmness of the spot price [1]. - **Methanol**: Methanol is generally affected by the Iranian situation, and the future import is expected to decrease, but the downstream negative feedback is obvious. The leading MTO device has stopped, and some enterprises have reduced production, but the Fude plant restarted on January 25. The Iranian situation has eased, but the risk cannot be completely ruled out. The freight has risen due to the cold air in the inland area, and the inventory pressure of enterprises in the northwest has increased, and they have reduced prices to sell goods [1]. - **PVC**: In 2026, there will be less global production, and the differential electricity price in the northwest region is expected to be implemented, which will force the clearance of PVC production capacity. The future expectation is relatively optimistic, but the current fundamentals are poor, and the export rush has slowed down stage by stage [1]. - **LPG**: The CP price in February has risen, and the purchase in March is still relatively tight. The Middle East geopolitical conflict has cooled down, and the short-term risk premium has declined. The driving logic of the overseas cold wave has gradually slowed down, and the market expectation is weakening. It is expected that the basis will gradually expand. The domestic PDH operating rate has declined, and the profit is expected to recover seasonally. The short-term demand side of LPG is bearish, which suppresses the upward movement of the market. The port inventory has been continuously decreasing, but the domestic civil gas is relatively sufficient, showing a divergence between propane and PG [1]. Shipping - **Container Shipping**: The freight rate peaked and fell before the holiday. Airlines are still cautious about tentative resume flights. Airlines are expected to have a strong willingness to stop the decline and raise prices after the off-season in March [1].
地缘扰动,现货黄金重返5200美元!有色ETF(159876)飙涨3.6%,获资金实时净申购720万份!湖南白银涨停!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 02:13
春节期间,现货黄金重返5200美元/盎司。国际金价周一突破每盎司5200美元整数关口,为三周来最高 水平。消息面上,美国贸易政策和经济前景不明朗引发投资者担忧,美元指数周一下跌,叠加美伊谈 判、俄乌和谈仍存变数,推升黄金、白银等避险资产需求。 "末日博士"彼得·希夫预言金价将冲7000美元,取代美元成新锚定资产,背后驱动力是各国央行增持黄 金、美国财政赤字膨胀等。他认为,金价飙升预示着美国将面临远超2008年的复合型危机,源于主权信 用、美债和美元危机共振。此外,他还称新任美联储主席或沦为特朗普傀儡,建议投资者持续增持黄金 白银。 展望后市,有色金属还能再涨吗?中金公司认为,随着短期情绪释放与交易拥挤度明显下降,相关资源 股行情并未结束,历经短期调整后中期有望重拾升势。华泰证券指出,长期来看,有色金属的宏观逻辑 仍然完整,继续作为战略性品种,坚定看好有色金属板块后市表现。 【有色风口已至,"超级周期"势不可挡】 有色ETF华宝(159876)及其联接基金(A类:017140,C类:017141)标的指数全面覆盖铜、铝、黄 金、稀土、锂等行业,涵盖贵金属(避险)、战略金属(成长)、工业金属(复苏)等不同景气周期 ...
2026年中国光伏用银行业产业链、发展背景、需求量、价格走势及发展展望:全球光伏领域白银需求量约6086吨,价格上涨将推动“去银化”节奏加速[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2026-02-24 01:13
内容概况:白银是光伏电池金属化的关键材料,用于制备导电银浆。通过丝网印刷工艺将银浆印刷于电 池片表面,经过高温烧结后形成金属电极,起到收集光生电子、汇流并导出电流的作用。相比其他金 属,白银的优势主要体现在:(1)化学稳定性:银在高温烧结和长期户外使用中不易氧化;(2)工艺 成熟度:银浆与丝网印刷工艺配合度较好,产能和良率较高。白银是光伏银浆重要原材料,光伏行业已 成为白银工业需求中增长最快、占比最大的领域,据世界白银协会数据,2019年全球光伏行业白银需求 量仅为2330吨,占全球白银总需求量的7.4%。而伴随着光伏产业的不断扩张,到2024年,全球光伏行 业白银需求量达6147吨,占比达17.0%。2025年在光伏行业加速"去银"进程的背景下,光伏用银需求有 所下降,约为6086吨,同比下降1%。中国作为全球最大的光伏制造国与装机国,光伏领域对白银的需 求强劲,带动作用更加明显。数据显示,2024年中国光伏领域白银需求量近5700吨,占全球光伏领域白 银需求量的比重超92%,充分体现了中国光伏产业的全球主导地位对白银需求的核心拉动作用。价格方 面,2025年第四季度以来,白银价格强势上行不断突破历史高点, ...
白银行业深度专题:白银:不可或缺的AI金属
白银:不可或缺的 AI 金属 [Table_Industry] 有色金属 白银行业深度专题 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 李鹏飞(分析师) | 010-83939783 | lipengfei2@gtht.com | S0880519080003 | | 魏雨迪(分析师) | 021-38674763 | weiyudi@gtht.com | S0880520010002 | | 李阳(分析师) | 021-23185618 | liyang7@gtht.com | S0880525040114 | 本报告导读: 白银两大属性形成强烈共振:商品属性上,白银工业需求占比升至近 60%,新兴领 域成为增长核心;金融属性上,全球流动性宽松环境下,与黄金形成联动,成为资 金避险优选。长期视角看,光伏、新能源汽车、人工智能等领域用银量增加,供需 缺口或将持续存在,为白银价格上涨提供动力。 投资要点: [Table_Report] 相关报告 有色金属《关注企稳后的布局机会》2026.02.09 有色金属《鹰派扰动,价格 ...
金晟富:2.23黄金开盘强势上涨符合预期!日内黄金分析参考
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 02:56
前言: 2.23黄金行情走势分析: 黄金技术面分析:黄金开盘直接跳涨,最高冲击至5171一线,这是在上周先跌后涨之后的新一轮上涨, 而本周开盘的上涨,可以看做是上周懂王加征关税的消息面影响,这也是开盘跳涨的主要影响,那么在 上周尾探底回升,早盘开盘跳涨之后,明显来说趋势就偏向多头了,在技术面没有跌幅迹象的情况下, 延续看涨也是我们操作的主要方向。 很多人的想法在春节期间都不够坚定,认为节前黄金,白银的一波暴跌能改变趋势,可以继续深跌,当 黄金跌至4900,白银跌至75后,晟富就提示大家,不要过错这波抄底北上的机会,这波甚至可以持有到 春节后,静等收获。虽然前两周黄金在无限的震荡,来回波动,但晟富每次跟新博文的时候给了大家明 确看涨的理由和信心,如果你拿到现在,黄金已经上涨到5170,白银已经上涨到87,实现了各自的第一 目标,那么,本周在地缘局势,关税问题,美联储降息等核心不变的问题上,黄金,白银还得上涨出一 个高度。 今天是(正月初七)万事皆可期!这里给大家拜个晚年,预祝所有的朋友马年大吉,平安顺遂,财源广 进!春节假期刚过,国内外贵金属市场呈现出截然不同的景象。简单来说:国际金价、银价正在"高歌 猛进", ...
新太平洋金属股价领跌板块,基本面与市场环境双重承压
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-18 14:00
来源:经济观察网 经济观察网 新太平洋金属公司(NEWP.AM)股价在2026年2月17日领跌板块,主要受以下因素影响: 股票近期走势 个股大幅下跌:2月17日,新太平洋金属公司股价下跌6.04%,收盘报3.42美元。近5日累计跌幅达 9.52%,表现弱于大盘。 板块整体拖累:当日该公司所属的"银板块"整体下跌5.94%,板块情绪低迷对个股形成压力。 公司基本面 营收持续缺失:根据最新财报(截至2025年6月30日),公司营业收入为0美元,尚未产生实质性销售收 入,基本面支撑较弱。 盈利能力待改善:公司仍处于亏损状态,2025财年归母净利润为-375.71万美元,尽管亏损同比收窄 37.61%,但盈利能力尚未扭转。 行业政策与环境 贵金属价格波动:尽管国际地缘局势紧张推升避险情绪,但白银等贵金属价格波动较大。2月12日美股 盘中白银相关板块走弱,New Pacific Metals当日曾领跌板块6,反映出市场对贵金属资产的情绪转换较 快。 以上内容基于公开资料整理,不构成投资建议。 前期技术性回调压力:该股在1月26日触及52周高点4.70美元后持续回落,市场存在获利了结压力。 ...
金银大跌遭抛售,苹果成“救市英雄”?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-18 06:09
Core Viewpoint - The global financial market experienced a significant shift on February 18, 2026, with a sharp sell-off in precious metals like gold and silver, while U.S. stocks staged a dramatic recovery led by tech giants like Apple [1][3]. Group 1: Precious Metals Market - As of February 18, international gold prices fell below $4,850 per ounce, with a two-day cumulative decline of nearly 3%, while silver prices dropped below $72, experiencing a single-day decline of over 7%, marking the largest drop in 2026 [1]. - The gold-silver ratio increased sharply from 78 to nearly 80, indicating that the market is more sensitive to silver's industrial demand amid expectations of a "not-recession but also not-strong" economy [2]. Group 2: U.S. Stock Market - Despite initial declines in major U.S. indices, the market saw a late-session turnaround, with the Dow Jones rising 0.07% and both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq gaining over 0.1%, completing a "V-shaped reversal" [3]. - Apple stock surged by 3.17%, marking its largest single-day gain in 2026, driven by the announcement of a special Apple experience event on March 4, which is expected to unveil the AI-integrated iOS 20 system and possibly the consumer version of Apple Vision Pro [3]. - Other AI-related stocks like Nvidia, Broadcom, and Amazon also rose, contributing to stabilizing market sentiment amid high interest rates [3].