Group 1 - Goldwind Technology reported a revenue of RMB 28.494 billion for the six months ending June 30, 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.46% [1] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 1.488 billion, up 7.26% year-on-year, with earnings per share of RMB 0.34 [1] - Sales revenue from wind turbine generators and components reached RMB 21.852 billion, a significant increase of 71.15%, accounting for 76.69% of total revenue [1] Group 2 - As of June 30, 2025, Goldwind Technology had external orders totaling 51.8 GW, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 45.58% [2] - The gross margin for wind turbine and component sales increased by 4.22 percentage points year-on-year, indicating an overall improvement in the wind power industry [2] - HSBC Research believes that despite lower profit margins for onshore wind products in mainland China, the fundamentals of Goldwind's manufacturing business will continue to improve due to strong overseas orders with higher profit margins in the coming years [2]

Core Viewpoint - Goldwind Technology (02208) experienced a significant stock increase of over 13%, reaching HKD 9.66 with a trading volume of HKD 83.29 million following the release of its mid-year performance for 2025 [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of RMB 28.494 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.46% [1] - Shareholder profit amounted to RMB 1.488 billion, up 7.26% year-on-year, with earnings per share at RMB 0.34 [1] Sales and Market Dynamics - Revenue from wind turbine and component sales reached RMB 21.852 billion, a substantial increase of 71.15%, accounting for 76.69% of total revenue [1] - The company achieved an external sales capacity of 10,641.44 MW in the first half of 2025, marking a 106.60% year-on-year growth [1] - The trend towards larger wind turbine units is accelerating, with sales of turbines of 6MW and above increasing by 187.01% [1] Profitability and Margins - The gross margin for the wind turbine and component sales segment improved significantly to 7.97%, a recovery of 4.22 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The sales business for wind turbines and components turned profitable for the first time since 2022, driven by the substantial recovery in gross margins [1]

Overall Viewpoint - Wind power: The price of wind turbine units is stabilizing, and the trend towards larger units along with cost reductions in components will drive continuous improvement in profitability for the turbine segment through 2026. The 136 document reshapes the logic of new energy installations, as wind power has a favorable output curve, leading to a potential recovery in wind power development and power station sales. Short-term pressure is expected from June wind power bidding and Q2 performance, but the market is gradually digesting these issues, and expectations for improvement in related indicators are forming [2]. Component Segment - Attention is drawn to the trend of larger turbine units, particularly in the bearing segment, and investment opportunities in European offshore wind products. The current timing is crucial for performance realization [3]. Photovoltaics - This week, the price of polysilicon futures has rebounded due to news factors. After experiencing internal competition policies in Q4 2024 and a rush for installations in Q1 2025, the photovoltaic sector's debt repayment ability did not continue to deteriorate during Q1 2025. However, starting in May 2025, production and prices in the photovoltaic sector have declined, further worsening the sector's debt repayment and profitability. It is anticipated that supply or demand-side support policies will strengthen in the next phase, with a focus on BC cells, perovskite, silicon materials, and low-PB integrated companies [3]. Solid-State Batteries - The market for solid-state batteries has expanded to include copper foil, separators, and other segments, which are currently at low price levels and in distress, but may not have reversed yet. In the short term, there is a risk of a pullback in the solid-state battery sector. However, in the medium term, battery manufacturers are actively advancing semi-solid production lines and full solid-state experiments, leading to increased capital expenditure in the solid-state battery sector, supported by policies. Continuous attention is recommended for solid-state battery front and mid-process equipment, lithium sulfide, solid-state electrolyte membranes, and dry-process positive electrode technologies [3]. Energy Storage - There is a consensus in the market regarding the favorable outlook for large-scale energy storage in Europe and overseas commercial storage. However, there are differing views on the profitability improvement and demand rhythm for domestic large-scale storage following the 136 document. The good bidding data for large-scale storage in May-June is related to the "531" rush for installations and independent energy storage "land grabbing." The mid-term profitability improvement for large-scale storage relies on the construction of the electricity market and improved trading flexibility, while the peak-valley price difference remains cyclical. In the short term, large-scale storage still requires substantial subsidies, but the commercial model is expected to improve, necessitating continuous monitoring of large-scale storage bidding data changes in the second half of the year [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - Wind power is a clean and renewable energy source that significantly reduces greenhouse gas emissions and pollution, thereby alleviating climate change and improving air quality. The wind power industry in China has maintained high-quality development, with a notable trend towards larger wind turbine capacities [1][21]. Industry Overview - Wind turbines convert wind energy into mechanical energy and then into electricity, playing a crucial role in the transition to clean energy. The average capacity of newly installed wind turbines in China for 2024 is projected to be 6046 kW, an increase of 8.1% year-on-year [1][19]. - The average capacity of onshore wind turbines is expected to reach 5885 kW, up 9.6%, while offshore wind turbines will average 9981 kW, a 3.9% increase [1][19]. - The share of wind turbines with a capacity of 5 MW and below has rapidly decreased from over 50% in 2022 to around 5%, while the share of offshore wind turbines with a capacity of 10 MW and above has increased from 12.1% in 2022 to 58% [1][19]. Industry Policies - The Chinese government has implemented various policies to enhance the strategic position of the wind power industry, including the "Thousand Villages and Ten Thousand Villages Wind Action" initiative aimed at promoting wind power development in rural areas [9][12]. - The Ningxia government has proposed a plan to upgrade and replace old wind turbines, targeting the renovation of over 200,000 kW of outdated wind power capacity by 2027 [9][12]. Industry Chain - The wind turbine industry chain includes upstream component manufacturing, midstream assembly, and downstream application markets. Key components include blades, generators, gearboxes, and converters [13]. Market Size and Growth - The wind turbine blade market in China is projected to reach 47.6 billion yuan in 2024, driven by advancements in technology and the trend towards larger blades [15]. - The total installed wind power capacity in China is expected to reach 520.68 GW by 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 18% [19]. Key Companies - Major players in the wind turbine industry include Goldwind Technology, Dongfang Electric, and Harbin Electric, which dominate the market share. The industry is characterized by a high concentration of production capacity [29][31]. - Goldwind Technology reported a revenue of 12.768 billion yuan from wind turbine sales in the first half of 2024, while Dongfang Electric's clean energy equipment revenue reached 14.065 billion yuan, a 41.03% increase year-on-year [31][33]. Development Trends - The wind turbine industry is expected to undergo significant technological innovations, with advancements in design and materials leading to higher energy capture efficiency [36]. - The industry will see deeper vertical integration and specialized division of labor, with leading companies extending into upstream core component production [37]. - New business models, such as shared wind power and community wind power, are emerging, alongside the integration of wind power with hydrogen and energy storage solutions [38].