Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price based on expected returns exceeding 20% over the next six months [7][16]. Core Views - The company reported a net profit of 36.6 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with revenues of 106.85 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.14% in revenue and 7.95% in net profit [1]. - Domestic oil production increased by 3.4% year-on-year, with domestic production growing by 4.4%, primarily due to contributions from the Bohai Zhong 19-6 oil and gas field [2]. - The average realized oil price was 72.65 USD per barrel, down 7.7% year-on-year, with a slight improvement in the discount to Brent crude [4]. Financial Performance - The main cost per barrel of oil equivalent was 27.03 USD, a decrease of 2% year-on-year, attributed to lower oil prices and changes in production structure [3]. - The company forecasts net profits of 128.3 billion yuan, 133.1 billion yuan, and 135.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.3 and 5.8 times for A/H shares [4]. - The projected dividend yield for 2025 is 4.8% based on a 45% payout ratio [4]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company's revenue is expected to decline by 3.44% in 2025, with a gradual recovery projected in subsequent years [5]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 2.70 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 9.27 [5]. - The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with an asset-liability ratio of 28.74% and a net asset value per share of 16.49 yuan [7].

Core Viewpoint - Berkshire Hathaway, led by Warren Buffett, has increased its stake in Occidental Petroleum, purchasing 763,017 shares at approximately $35.7 million, raising its ownership to about 28.3% [3][4]. Group 1: Investment Logic - The investment logic for both Occidental Petroleum and China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) is similar, as both companies benefit from higher oil prices [8][39]. - The demand for oil is expected to rise over the next five years, despite the ongoing energy transition, as oil is still needed in various sectors, including chemicals [10][11]. - Both companies offer attractive dividends, with CNOOC's dividend yield around 6% for 2023, although its payout ratio can fluctuate [41][42]. Group 2: Company Comparison - Occidental Petroleum's revenue structure shows that oil and gas operations account for $21.284 billion, or 75.32% of total revenue, while CNOOC's oil and gas sales represent 78.70% of its revenue [17][20]. - Occidental Petroleum has grown its production primarily through acquisitions, while CNOOC relies on organic growth from its exploration and production activities [24][28]. - CNOOC has a lower cost per barrel at $28 compared to Occidental Petroleum's $36.88, providing it with a competitive advantage [32][33]. Group 3: Growth and Stability - CNOOC has maintained a stable growth trajectory, with proven reserves increasing by 12.6% domestically and 4.0% internationally since 2019 [29]. - The reserve replacement ratio for CNOOC is 182%, indicating a strong ability to replace production with new reserves [30]. - The cost structure of CNOOC allows it to remain profitable even when oil prices are low, enhancing its resilience compared to competitors [35][36].