根据欧央行最新预测，欧元区2025年通胀率预计为2.1%，2026年降至1.7%，2027 年将回升至1.9%。核心通胀率预计在2025年达2.4%，2026年回落至1.9%，2027年进一 步降至1.8%。 经济增长方面，预测显示欧元区今年经济增速为1.2%，2026年预计增长1%，2027 年将提升至1.3%。相较于今年6月预测的0.9%，2025年经济增长预期已获上调。（驻波 黑使馆经商处） （原标题：欧洲央行继续维持欧元区三大关键利率不变） 波黑《独立报》9月11日报道。欧洲央行于9月11日宣布维持三项关键利率水平不 变：存款基准利率保持2%，主要再融资利率维持2.15%，边际借贷利率保持在2.4%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The European Central Bank (ECB) has decided to maintain the key interest rates in the Eurozone unchanged during its monetary policy meeting held in Frankfurt on September 11, 2023 [1] Interest Rates - The ECB has kept the deposit facility rate at 2.00%, the main refinancing rate at 2.15%, and the marginal lending rate at 2.40% [1] Rate Changes - Since starting the rate cut process in June 2024, the ECB has reduced rates eight times, with the last decision in July 2023 to hold rates steady [1] Inflation and Economic Growth Forecasts - The current inflation rate in the Eurozone is approximately 2%, which is close to the medium-term target set by the ECB [1] - The latest forecast from the ECB indicates that the economic growth rate for the Eurozone in 2025 is expected to be 1.2%, an increase from the previous prediction of 0.9% made in June 2023 [1] - The growth forecast for 2026 has been slightly adjusted down to 1.0%, while the 2027 growth forecast remains unchanged at 1.3% [1]

当地时间9月2日，欧盟统计局公布的初步统计数据显示，欧元区8月通胀率按年率计算为2.1%，高 于7月的2.0%。(总台记者 朱曦莉) ...

Group 1 - In the first half of the year, the contribution rate of final consumption to economic growth reached 52% [1] - The marine production value in the first half of the year was 5.1 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8% [2] - The software business revenue in the first half of the year reached 70,585 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 11.9% [2] Group 2 - The number of domestic tourist trips in the first half of 2025 is projected to be 3.285 billion, an increase of 20.6% year-on-year [1] - The textile industry saw an industrial added value growth of 3.1% from January to June [2] - The European Union reported a year-on-year inflation rate of 2.0% for July [3]

Group 1 - The Eurozone's inflation rate for July is reported at 2.0% year-on-year, unchanged from June, aligning with the European Central Bank's medium-term target [1] - Food and tobacco prices increased by 3.3%, service prices rose by 3.1%, and non-energy industrial goods prices went up by 0.8%, while energy prices decreased by 2.5% [1] - The core inflation rate, excluding energy, food, and tobacco, remains steady at 2.3% for July, consistent with June [1] Group 2 - Major Eurozone economies reported varying inflation rates for July: Germany at 1.8%, France at 0.9%, Italy at 1.7%, and Spain at 2.7% [1] - The European Central Bank noted that the inflation rate has reached the 2% medium-term target, with most long-term inflation expectations also around 2%, supporting price stability [1] - The chief economist of ING, Bert Colijn, indicated that the short-term inflation environment in the Eurozone is relatively mild, which helps maintain price stability, but global trade tensions pose a risk of renewed inflation [1]

Group 1 - The Eurozone's inflation rate for July is reported at 2.0%, remaining stable compared to June and aligning with the European Central Bank's medium-term target [1] - Food and tobacco prices increased by 3.3%, service prices rose by 3.1%, and non-energy industrial goods prices went up by 0.8%, while energy prices decreased by 2.5% [1] - The core inflation rate, excluding energy, food, and tobacco, is also stable at 2.3% for July [1] Group 2 - Major Eurozone economies reported varying inflation rates for July: Germany at 1.8%, France at 0.9%, Italy at 1.7%, and Spain at 2.7% [1] - The European Central Bank noted that the inflation rate has reached the 2% medium-term target, with most long-term inflation expectations remaining around 2% [1] - The chief economist of ING, Bert Colijn, indicated that the short-term inflation environment in the Eurozone is relatively mild, which supports price stability, but global trade tensions pose a risk of renewed inflation [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - The European Central Bank's Governing Council member, Centeno, stated that the inflation rate in the Eurozone is expected to continue declining and will approach 1% by early 2026 [1] Group 1 - The Eurozone inflation rate is projected to decrease further [1] - By early 2026, the inflation rate is anticipated to be close to 1% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Economists highlight ongoing uncertainty regarding tariffs, suggesting that the end of the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary easing cycle cannot be confidently asserted at this time [1] Group 1: Economic Conditions - The June interest rate cut has largely been priced in by the market, but the clarity of this decision would have been different without U.S. trade policies [1] - The Eurozone's inflation rate remains low, yet price pressures have not completely dissipated, as evidenced by a significant rise in core inflation in April [1] Group 2: Future Monetary Policy - Under normal circumstances, the ECB's governing council would likely pause monetary easing policies, but further rate cuts later this year would signal that policymakers believe the economy requires additional stimulus to sustain itself [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Eurozone's inflation rate in April remained at 2.2%, exceeding the expected 2.1%, complicating the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decisions [1] Group 1: Inflation Data - Eurozone inflation has been above the ECB's target of 2% for six consecutive months [1] - The ECB's recent decision to lower interest rates by 25 basis points to 2.25% was influenced by concerns over economic growth due to escalating trade tensions from Trump's tariff agenda [1] Group 2: Economic Performance - The Eurozone economy grew by 0.4% in the first three months of the year, which was better than expected [1] - However, the announcement of "reciprocal tariffs" by Trump has since weakened the economic outlook for the region [1]