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欧元区PMI数据参差不齐 欧元走势紧盯欧央行政策路径
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-24 03:03
周三(9月24日)亚盘早盘,欧元兑美元下跌,目前交投于1.18附近,截止北京时间10:35分,欧元兑美 元报价1.1797,跌幅0.12%,上一交易日欧元兑美元收盘为1.1811。昨日,欧元兑美元交投略低于1.18, 市场在消化参差不齐的PMI数据同时,关注欧洲央行未来政策路径。 9月HCOB欧元区综合PMI小幅升至51.2,符合预期的51.1,显示该地区私营部门录得16个月来最快扩 张。服务业增速好于预期,而制造业则重回收缩,表现不及预期。分国家来看,法国数据逊色,而德国 表现强于市场预期。欧洲央行近期表示降息周期或已结束,强调关税、服务、食品价格及财政政策相关 的通胀风险依然存在。 市场目光转向欧洲央行及美联储官员即将发表的一系列讲话,以寻求更多指 引。 日线图显示,欧元兑美元布林带中轨1.1685,上轨1.1780,下轨1.1591。当前1.1792的价位已压在并略上 穿上轨,若进一步突破,则将指向上方波段高点1.1829与1.1900的整数心理关口。蜡烛图近阶段呈上升 通道内的推升结构,回撤多沿中轨附近获得动能修复。MACD显示DIFF 0.0030,DEA 0.0021,柱体 0.0018,均站于零 ...
君諾外匯:欧元区PMI数据好坏参半,欧元兑美元缩减此前跌幅
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 10:54
Core Viewpoint - Eurozone PMI preliminary data shows mixed results, with manufacturing unexpectedly contracting while service sector activity accelerates, leading to a rebound in the euro against the dollar [1][3] Group 1: Eurozone PMI Data - Eurozone's September PMI preliminary data indicates a manufacturing PMI drop from 50.7 to 49.5, contrary to expectations of an increase to 50.9, while service PMI rose to 51.4, exceeding the forecast of 50.5 [3] - Germany's manufacturing PMI fell from 49.8 to 48.5, below the expected rise to 50.0, while service PMI improved from 49.3 to 52.5, surpassing the anticipated 49.5 [3] - France's manufacturing PMI decreased from 50.4 to 48.1, the lowest in three months and significantly below the expected 50.2, with service PMI also declining from 49.8 to 48.9, missing the forecast of 49.6 [3] Group 2: Market Reactions and Expectations - The euro is attempting to recover above 1.1800 after rebounding from a low of 1.1785, supported by the mixed Eurozone data, but market sentiment remains cautious ahead of the US PMI data and Fed Chair Powell's speech [1][4] - The focus is on the upcoming US PMI preliminary data, with expectations for manufacturing PMI to drop from 53 to 52 and service PMI to decrease from 54.5 to 53.9 [3] - The dollar has weakened due to dovish comments from several Fed officials, with concerns about the current monetary policy being too tight [3][4]