2025年，乌克兰危机进入第4个年头。战场上，俄乌双方持续高强度对抗，消耗巨大；外交舞台上，各方核心分 歧难解，和平谈判推进艰难。 在李勇慧看来，乌克兰危机之所以没有得到政治解决，关键在于利益攸关方在领土归属、安全保障、欧洲安全 架构三个核心议题上没有取得共识。 战场较量与外交博弈交织叠加，和平的曙光这么近却又那么远。在即将到来的2026年，乌克兰危机能否迎来终 章？ "边打边谈"，这一年乌克兰危机的变与不变 2025年，俄乌依旧在战场上激烈争夺。双方大量使用导弹、无人机、电子战系统等远程攻击手段，重点在扎波 罗热与库皮扬斯克等方向展开争夺，并逐渐演变为一场深度消耗战。 中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所研究员李勇慧说，从顿涅茨克到扎波罗热这条线上，俄罗斯处于攻势， 乌克兰处于守势，但任何一场单一的战斗都不能决定战争整体态势的转向。2025年的乌克兰危机，整体呈现长 期化和持久性的态势。 与战场上的僵局不同，2025年政治解决乌克兰危机的态势得到加强，俄乌"边打边谈"的特点明显。中国现代国 际关系研究院欧亚研究所副所长陈宇认为，今年乌克兰危机走到了战与和转换的关键阶段。尤其特朗普政府上 台后，推动俄乌和平进程 ...

孙磊指出，尽管和平呼声十分强烈，但地面战事仍未停歇。中方呼吁冲突当事方展现最大程度克制，严 格遵守国际人道法，切实保护平民和民用基础设施安全。中方呼吁国际社会加大人道救援力度，帮助受 危机影响的民众渡过难关。 孙磊表示，中方在乌克兰问题上的立场客观公正、一以贯之，那就是呼吁停火止战、坚持劝和促谈、推 动政治解决。中方将继续为推动危机政治解决发挥建设性作用。 （文章来源：央视新闻） 中国常驻联合国副代表孙磊9日在安理会审议乌克兰问题时发言，呼吁构建均衡、有效、可持续的欧洲 安全架构。 孙磊说，当前，乌克兰问题进入谈判解决的关键阶段，国际社会围绕乌克兰危机的讨论愈发向谈判聚 焦、向和平靠拢，各重要利益攸关方提出了一些和谈倡议、举行了一系列接触。中方对这些进展表示欢 迎，支持一切通向和平的努力，希望国际社会共同努力，推动危机早日实现政治解决。中方呼吁有关各 方抓住积极势头，相向而行，展现政治意愿，持续积累共识，争取早日达成一份公平、持久、有约束力 的和平协议。 孙磊强调，有关各方曾达成明斯克协议、新明斯克协议，但最终仍爆发了危机，归根到底是没有妥善解 决彼此安全关切，没有解决冲突的根源问题。新的和平协议应以此为鉴。 ...

斯图布周二在赫尔辛基的一场活动中称，"我们相当接近"一项协议。他表示，谈判涉及三份文件。 他表示，第一份为框架文件，截至昨日欧洲领导人对话的进展，已形成20点计划。 "最初的28点计划包含在我看来完全不可接受的未来欧洲安全架构的要素，"斯图布表示。 在数周的紧张谈判期间，乌克兰成功淡化了美国提出的28点和平计划，该计划试图阻止该国加入北约并 限制其军队规模，被视为对俄罗斯有利。 而新的20点框架文件已逐渐成形，但对于如何才能对莫斯科形成威慑，以防其未来发动新一轮攻击仍不 明朗。 斯图布表示，"我们即将达到"一个潜在协议的条款变得更可接受的节点。"我对目前的状态相当满意。" 斯图布指出，特朗普政府、乌克兰官员及欧洲安全当局正在商讨的第二份文件涉及乌克兰安全保障问 题，他特别区分了"硬性安全保障"与"安全安排"。他表示，后者涉及所谓的"自愿联盟"机制。 斯图布还透露，第三份文件则聚焦于战后乌克兰的重建事宜。 责任编辑：李桐 芬兰总统亚历山大·斯图布表示，乌克兰如今与和平的距离，比2022年初俄罗斯全面入侵以来的任何时 候都更加接近。 斯图布周二在赫尔辛基的一场活动中称，"我们相当接近"一项协议。他表示，谈判涉及三 ...

Core Viewpoint - The future European security architecture must include Russia, as its geographical presence and objective reality cannot be denied [1] Group 1: Statements from Hungarian Foreign Minister - Hungarian Foreign Minister Szijjártó emphasized the need for dialogue to explore various forms of coexistence among European countries [1] - He expressed the necessity of reaching a consensus despite existing disagreements on key issues [1] Group 2: Russia-Hungary Relations - Following discussions with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov, Szijjártó indicated that if a summit between the Russian and U.S. presidents occurs, it would likely take place in Budapest [1] - Szijjártó revealed that Russia is prepared to continue supplying energy to Hungary [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese representative at the UN, Geng Shuang, emphasized the need for calm and restraint regarding the recent airspace violation incident involving Estonia and Russia, linking it to the broader context of the Ukraine crisis and the complex security situation in Europe [1]. Group 1 - The airspace incident involving Estonia and the previous incident discussed regarding Poland are seen as manifestations of the spillover effects of the Ukraine crisis, highlighting a lack of mutual trust and increasing suspicions among involved parties [1]. - Geng Shuang stated that as long as the Ukraine crisis remains unresolved, similar incidents are likely to recur, indicating the urgency for a political resolution to the crisis [1]. - The fundamental strategy proposed is to establish a balanced, effective, and sustainable security framework in Europe to address the ongoing tensions [1]. Group 2 - China urges the involved parties to maintain calm and restraint, advocating for dialogue and communication to clarify facts and eliminate doubts, thereby preventing misunderstandings and escalation of the situation [1]. - The Chinese stance is to promote adherence to the purposes and principles of the UN Charter in handling international relations [1].

Core Points - The article discusses the implications of Putin's four demands for a ceasefire in Ukraine, which significantly limit Ukraine's sovereignty and complicate European security dynamics [1][3][10] - The demands include the withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from the entire Donbas region, a ban on Ukraine joining NATO, restrictions on NATO or Western troops in Ukraine, and recognition of Crimea as Russian territory [3][5][10] - The situation reflects a broader challenge for Europe, as the potential for military intervention is stifled by these demands, leading to a reevaluation of European defense strategies and alliances [8][12] Summary by Sections Section 1: Ceasefire Demands - Putin's first demand requires the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the entire Donbas region, not just the contested areas, effectively pushing Ukraine to concede more territory [1] - The second demand prohibits Ukraine from joining NATO, which could permanently exclude Ukraine from Western alliances and complicate future negotiations [3][5] - The third demand restricts any NATO or Western military presence in Ukraine, undermining previous plans for European military support [3][7] - The fourth demand involves recognizing Crimea as part of Russia, further limiting Ukraine's negotiating power [3][10] Section 2: European Security Implications - The demands create a significant challenge for European defense integration, as they undermine the principle that countries can choose their alliances freely [8][10] - The inability to deploy European forces in response to the crisis raises questions about the effectiveness of NATO and the EU's collective security arrangements [8][12] - The situation may lead to a reevaluation of security strategies among Eastern European countries, particularly regarding their own defense postures against potential Russian aggression [10][12] Section 3: International Dynamics - The article highlights China's position as it navigates a complex relationship between supporting Russia and maintaining ties with the West [10][12] - The potential for a new geopolitical order is suggested, where smaller nations may have to choose between powerful states, reflecting a shift in international norms [12] - The ongoing crisis in Ukraine serves as a litmus test for the ability of major powers to establish new coexistence rules under the shadow of nuclear threats [12]

Group 1: Core Insights - The meeting between Ukrainian President Zelensky and US President Trump on August 18 aims to strengthen US-Ukrainian relations and address security concerns amid the ongoing conflict with Russia [1][2][4] - Trump indicated the possibility of a trilateral meeting involving the US, Russia, and Ukraine to potentially end the conflict, although he could not specify a timeline for resolution [2][3] - Zelensky expressed gratitude for the opportunity to purchase weapons from the US, emphasizing the need for comprehensive security guarantees, including military support and strategic discussions with the US and other nations [5][6] Group 2: European Involvement - European leaders, including French President Macron, are actively seeking to present a united front to protect European interests and ensure Ukraine's involvement in negotiations regarding territorial and security issues [7][8] - The European Union is expected to continue applying pressure on Russia, with plans for a new round of sanctions anticipated in early September [8] - German Chancellor Merz and UK Prime Minister Starmer have both indicated the importance of further discussions with Zelensky to advance peace efforts and support for Ukraine [10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the upcoming meeting between US President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky, with significant European leaders accompanying Zelensky to avoid a repeat of past humiliations and to assert European interests in the discussions [1][2][3] - European leaders are concerned about the potential marginalization of Ukraine and Europe in US-Russia negotiations, prompting a united front to ensure their voices are heard [3][4] - The meeting is seen as critical for Ukraine's military support and security guarantees from the US, with discussions expected to focus on territorial integrity and the role of Ukraine in future negotiations [5][6] Group 2 - The presence of multiple European leaders is intended to bolster Zelensky's position and alleviate concerns about the US's treatment of Ukraine, although it risks being perceived as pressuring Trump [6] - European leaders have emphasized that any discussions regarding Ukraine's territory must involve Ukraine itself, highlighting the importance of Ukrainian participation in negotiations [3][4] - The meeting format excludes a trilateral discussion involving European leaders, indicating a preference for separate bilateral talks between the US and Ukraine, followed by multilateral discussions [4]

Core Viewpoint - The situation in Ukraine is crucial for European security, and Europe must be involved in related negotiations [1] Group 1: European Leaders' Actions - French President Macron, along with UK Prime Minister Starmer, German Chancellor Merz, and EU Commission President von der Leyen, announced plans to accompany Ukrainian President Zelensky to a meeting with US President Trump [1] - The visit aims to maintain European interests and demonstrate a unified front between Europe and Ukraine regarding the future of Ukraine and the construction of a new European security framework [1] Group 2: Negotiation Stance - Macron emphasized that negotiations regarding territorial issues cannot exclude Ukraine, and discussions on European security must include European participation [1] - European leaders will question Trump on the extent of US involvement in providing security guarantees for Ukraine during the meeting on the 18th [1] Group 3: Coordination Efforts - The "Volunteer Alliance," led by the UK and France to support Ukraine, held a video conference on the 17th to coordinate European and Ukrainian positions [1] - Von der Leyen reiterated that any negotiations involving territorial issues must include Ukraine [1]

Core Points - French President Macron emphasized the importance of the Ukraine issue for European security and stated that Europe must participate in relevant negotiations [1] - Ukrainian President Zelensky is scheduled to meet with US President Trump on the 18th, with European leaders joining to demonstrate a unified front [1] - Macron highlighted that negotiations regarding territorial issues cannot exclude Ukraine, and discussions on European security must involve Europe [1] - European leaders will question Trump about the extent of US involvement in providing security guarantees for Ukraine during the meeting on the 18th [1] - The "Volunteer Alliance," led by France and the UK to support Ukraine, held a video conference on the 17th to coordinate European and Ukrainian positions [1] - Von der Leyen reiterated that any negotiations involving territorial issues must include Ukraine [1]