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华能水电(600025):装机扩张保障电量,单季业绩维持稳定
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-02 09:46
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huaneng Hydropower is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company achieved a significant increase in hydropower generation due to favorable water conditions and the commissioning of new power units, resulting in a 10.93% year-on-year growth in hydropower output in the first half of the year [2][11]. - Despite a decrease in water inflow in the second quarter, the company's installed capacity growth helped maintain stable performance, with a 3.25% year-on-year increase in total generation [2][11]. - The company is expanding its capacity and diversifying its energy sources, which is expected to support long-term growth [11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 12.959 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.08%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.609 billion yuan, up 10.54% year-on-year [6][11]. - The second quarter saw a total generation of 31.46 billion kWh, a slight increase of 3.25% year-on-year, despite a marginal decline in net profit to 3.101 billion yuan, down 0.1% year-on-year [2][11]. Capacity Expansion - The company has successfully commissioned the 1.116 million kW Huaneng Hardiangbao Hydropower Station, contributing to its capacity expansion [11]. - Future projects include the RM Hydropower Station, which is expected to enhance the overall efficiency of the hydropower system in the Lancang River basin [11]. Market Outlook - The company anticipates EPS of 0.48 yuan, 0.52 yuan, and 0.54 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 18.89, 17.56, and 16.94 [11].
华能水电(600025):来水转弱影响电量增幅,多重因素限制业绩预期
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-11 10:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huaneng Hydropower is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The hydropower generation volume for the first half of 2025 reached 52.752 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 12.97%, while the grid-connected electricity volume was 52.223 billion kWh, up 12.86% year-on-year [6] - The company is facing pressure on its earnings due to increased depreciation and operational costs following the commissioning of new units, despite a 3.25% year-on-year growth in overall generation volume in the second quarter [12][12] - The company is expanding its capacity through new projects, including the TB power station and the He Liang Bao power station, which are expected to enhance long-term growth prospects [12][12] Summary by Sections Generation Performance - In the first half of 2025, the hydropower generation volume increased by 10.93% year-on-year, with a second-quarter growth of 0.90% [12] - The second quarter's total generation volume was 314.60 billion kWh, reflecting a 3.25% year-on-year increase, although the revenue outlook is weak due to adjustments in annual trading electricity prices in Yunnan province [12][12] Capacity Expansion - The company has successfully commissioned the TB power station and the He Liang Bao power station, contributing to the overall increase in hydropower capacity [12] - Future projects, including the RM power station, are expected to further expand the hydropower capacity and improve the overall efficiency of the cascade system on the Lancang River [12][12] Financial Projections - The earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 0.48 yuan, 0.52 yuan, and 0.54 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 19.79, 18.38, and 17.74 [12]