智通财经APP获悉，美国股指期货周一小幅下跌，原因是交易员们在评估H-1B技术工人签证申请费大幅上 涨对科技行业的影响。 标普500指数和纳斯达克100指数期货早盘均下跌0.1%，美元持稳。亚洲股市本周开盘或将涨跌互现，澳大 利亚和日本期货合约收高，而香港期货合约则下跌。 据悉，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普上周五在白宫签署公告，以企业"滥用"H-1B签证项目为由，宣布将该类签证 费用提高至每年10万美元。此举令长期依赖该签证制度来招募全球人才的公司感到不安，尤其是在以高科 技产业为主的加利福尼亚州，那里的企业需要熟练的计算机程序员、数据分析师和工程师。 这一举措可能给全球股市注入新的不确定性，此前股市已创下历史新高。印度及其规模达2800亿美元的IT 行业可能面临最大压力。 大宗商品方面，由于特朗普再次呼吁欧洲国家停止购买俄罗斯石油以终结俄乌战争，油价小幅上涨。黄金 价格也小幅上涨。 全球股市上周收于历史新高 IG 驻悉尼分析师Tony Sycamore表示，"很难说这不是针对印度。" 此外，澳洲联储主席米歇尔·布尔科克将于周一在澳大利亚议会发表半年度证词。焦点将集中在澳洲联储明 年是否会降息的迹象上，此前公布的就 ...

Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) against the US dollar (USD) has risen to around 0.65, with a current quote of 0.6547, up 0.12% from the previous close of 0.6539 [1] - Australia's July Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.8% year-on-year, significantly higher than June's 1.9% and market expectations of 2.3%, marking the highest level since July 2024 [1] - Following the CPI data release, market expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) interest rate cuts have shifted, with the probability of a rate cut in September decreasing from 30% to 22%, while the probability for November increased to 61% [1] Group 2 - The AUD/USD remains within a familiar price range, with the first significant resistance level at 0.6625, the peak from July 24, 2025 [2] - If the price breaks above 0.6625, the next key level to watch is 0.6687, the peak from November 2024, with a psychological target of 0.7000 beyond that [2] - Current support is at 0.6414, and if this level is breached, the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6384 will come into focus, followed by the June low of 0.6372 [2]

Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) has appreciated against the US dollar (USD), currently trading around 0.6515, up 0.39% from the previous close of 0.6490 [1] - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to announce a rate cut, with market pricing showing an 84.6% probability of a rate decrease and a total of three cuts anticipated within the year [1] - Manufacturing PMI for June fell to 50.6, slightly below expectations, but remains above the expansion threshold, indicating that manufacturing activity has not yet contracted [1] Group 2 - The AUD/USD pair experienced a significant decline, breaking below the psychological level of 0.6500, reaching a near two-week low [2] - The loss of bullish momentum and the breach of the 10-day and 20-day moving averages have weakened the technical structure on the daily chart [2] - Key support levels are identified at 0.6455 and 0.6413, with a potential for further declines if these levels are breached, indicating a strong bearish signal [2]

Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) has depreciated against the US dollar (USD), currently trading around 0.65, with a drop of 0.50% from the previous close of 0.6550 [1] - Economists predict that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will lower interest rates more than previously expected due to inflation and economic slowdown, with a forecast of five rate cuts this year [2] - A survey of 37 economists indicates that 31 expect the RBA to cut the overnight cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.60% at the upcoming meeting [2] Group 2 - The RBA's outlook has shifted to a more dovish stance since May, suggesting further easing measures may be necessary to support economic growth and maintain a strong labor market [2] - The Australian economy is projected to grow by 1.6% this year and 2.3% in 2026, which is lower than previous forecasts made in April [2] - Technical analysis shows that the AUD/USD pair is maintaining a bullish trend within an upward channel, supported by a relative strength index (RSI) above 50 and staying above the 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) [3]

Core Viewpoint - Westpac has brought forward its expectations for an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia to July [1] Group 1 - Westpac's revised forecast indicates a shift in monetary policy outlook for Australia [1] - The anticipation of a rate cut reflects changing economic conditions and potential impacts on consumer spending [1]