（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，10月2日纽约尾盘，美元指数涨0.15%报97.88，非美货币多数下跌，欧元兑美元跌0.12%报 1.1717，英镑兑美元跌0.28%报1.3439，澳元兑美元跌0.26%报0.6596，美元兑日元涨0.12%报147.2685， 美元兑加元涨0.22%报1.3968，美元兑瑞郎涨0.11%报0.7980。 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，10月1日纽约尾盘，美元指数跌0.09%报97.74，非美货币多数上涨，欧元兑美元跌0.03%报 1.1731，英镑兑美元涨0.24%报1.3477，澳元兑美元持平报0.6613，美元兑日元跌0.57%报147.0915，美 元兑加元涨0.13%报1.3938，美元兑瑞郎涨0.09%报0.7971。 ...

Group 1 - The US dollar index decreased by 0.08% to 97.23, indicating a slight weakening of the dollar against other currencies [1] - The euro appreciated by 0.10% against the dollar, reaching 1.1814, reflecting a strengthening of the eurozone currency [1] - The British pound rose by 0.11% to 1.3528 against the dollar, showing positive movement for the UK currency [1] Group 2 - The Australian dollar experienced a minor decline of 0.01%, trading at 0.6599 against the US dollar [1] - The dollar fell by 0.05% against the Japanese yen, with a rate of 147.6625 [1] - The Canadian dollar increased by 0.13% against the US dollar, reaching 1.3836, indicating a stronger performance for the Canadian currency [1] - The Swiss franc depreciated by 0.14% against the dollar, trading at 0.7914 [1]

周二（9月23日）亚市早盘，澳元兑美元下跌，目前交投于0.65附近，截止北京时间11:32分，澳元/美元 报价0.6589，下跌0.10%，上一交易日澳元/美元收盘报0.6595。澳洲联储助理主席亨特表示，该国央行 已"非常接近"将通胀率恢复至2%-3%目标区间中值，同时经济正接近充分就业状态。 "我们正在监测情况，将保持观望，"亨特在悉尼的一场行业活动中表示，"委员会将据此制定政策。虽 然无法完全预知未来，但目前我们希望维持现状。"澳洲联储将于9月29-30日举行下次会议，多数经济 学家和交易员预计其将把现金利率维持在3.6%不变。经济学家普遍预测该行将在11月进行今年第四次 降息，并在明年初再次降息，使终端利率达到3.1%。 若买盘重新掌控局势，澳元兑美元可能回测2025年高点0.6707（9月17日创下）。若能明确突破该水 平，将进一步指向去年高点0.6942（9月30日），该位置仅略低于0.7000整数关口。下行方向，临时支撑 位分别为55日简单移动平均线（SMA，0.6535）与100日简单移动平均线（SMA，0.6510）。若跌破这 一支撑区域，8月低点0.6414（8月21日）可能重新成为市场焦 ...

Group 1 - The core theme of the global foreign exchange market is centered around the weakening U.S. economic data and the resulting increased expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [1] - A series of weak economic indicators, including a significantly lower-than-expected non-farm payroll increase, a four-year high in initial jobless claims, and a decline in the consumer confidence index for the second consecutive month, depict a cooling labor market and weakening overall economic momentum [1] - Despite the CPI inflation data for August being slightly above expectations, market confidence in the Federal Reserve adopting a dovish policy remains strong, with a general expectation of at least a 25 basis point rate cut in the upcoming meeting [1] Group 2 - The Euro and British Pound have benefited from the general weakness of the U.S. dollar, with the Euro rising above the 1.1700 mark and the Pound testing the 1.3600 level [2] - The Australian Dollar has emerged as a standout currency, reaching a nearly 10-month high and surpassing 0.6600, driven by strong commodity prices and domestic inflation data that reduced the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia [2] - The Chinese Yuan has shown steady appreciation against the U.S. dollar, supported by the PBOC's proactive guidance on the midpoint [2] Group 3 - Market attention is focused on the upcoming meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ), with expectations of cautious market sentiment ahead of these significant risk events [3]

Core Viewpoint - The US dollar index decreased by 0.32% to 97.53, indicating a strengthening of non-US currencies against the dollar [1] Currency Movements - The euro appreciated by 0.37% against the dollar, reaching 1.1738 [1] - The British pound rose by 0.32% to 1.3573 against the dollar [1] - The Australian dollar increased by 0.73% to 0.6661 against the dollar [1] - The Japanese yen saw a decline of 0.16%, with the dollar trading at 147.2190 yen [1] - The Canadian dollar fell by 0.21%, with the dollar priced at 1.3833 Canadian dollars [1] - The Swiss franc depreciated by 0.41%, with the dollar at 0.7959 Swiss francs [1]

Group 1 - The US dollar index increased by 0.09% to 97.85, indicating a slight strengthening of the dollar against a basket of currencies [1] - Most non-US currencies experienced a decline, with the euro falling by 0.12% to 1.1695 against the dollar [1] - The British pound saw a minor increase of 0.02%, trading at 1.3531 against the dollar, while the Australian dollar rose by 0.43% to 0.6613 [1] Group 2 - The US dollar appreciated by 0.03% against the Japanese yen, reaching 147.4600 [1] - The dollar also gained 0.13% against the Canadian dollar, trading at 1.3863 [1] - Additionally, the dollar strengthened by 0.24% against the Swiss franc, with a rate of 0.7992 [1]

Group 1: Economic Data and Currency Movement - The Australian dollar (AUD) against the US dollar (USD) rose above 0.6525, driven by optimistic GDP data and a reduction in risk aversion [1] - Australia's GDP grew by 0.6% in Q2, double the growth rate of 0.3% in Q1, and exceeded market expectations of 0.5% [7] - The annualized GDP growth rate for Q2 was 1.8%, higher than the revised Q1 rate of 1.4% and market expectations of 1.6% [7] Group 2: Technical Analysis - The AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6520, having broken a rising trend line, indicating a potential shift from bullish to bearish momentum [4] - Key support levels are identified at the nine-day moving average of 0.6516 and the five-day moving average of 0.6502; breaking these levels could confirm bearish sentiment [5] - On the upside, the pair may rebound to around 0.6540, testing previous highs of 0.6568 and 0.6625 [6] Group 3: Inflation and Economic Indicators - Australia's CPI rose by 2.8% YoY in July, surpassing the previous value of 1.9% and the expected 2.3%, reducing the likelihood of recent interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) [9] - Building permits in Australia fell by 8.2% in July, exceeding the expected decline of 4.8% [9] - China's Caixin Services PMI unexpectedly increased from 52.6 in July to 53.0 in August, indicating stronger service sector activity [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) is currently fluctuating around 0.6520 against the US dollar (USD), with upcoming employment data expected to significantly influence interest rate expectations from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) [1] Economic Indicators - Australia's GDP growth rate for the second quarter exceeded expectations, indicating a stronger economic performance [1] - The employment data for August, to be released on September 18, is anticipated to be a critical factor affecting RBA's interest rate decisions [1] Labor Market Insights - The RBA has indicated that the pace of cash rate cuts will largely depend on the labor market conditions [1] - The July labor market report showed robust growth in full-time employment, supporting a gradual rate cut path by the RBA [1] Currency Fluctuation - The AUD/USD exchange rate has remained anchored within a narrow range of 0.6400 to 0.6600 for several months [1]

Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) against the US dollar (USD) has risen to around 0.65, with a current quote of 0.6547, up 0.12% from the previous close of 0.6539 [1] - Australia's July Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.8% year-on-year, significantly higher than June's 1.9% and market expectations of 2.3%, marking the highest level since July 2024 [1] - Following the CPI data release, market expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) interest rate cuts have shifted, with the probability of a rate cut in September decreasing from 30% to 22%, while the probability for November increased to 61% [1] Group 2 - The AUD/USD remains within a familiar price range, with the first significant resistance level at 0.6625, the peak from July 24, 2025 [2] - If the price breaks above 0.6625, the next key level to watch is 0.6687, the peak from November 2024, with a psychological target of 0.7000 beyond that [2] - Current support is at 0.6414, and if this level is breached, the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6384 will come into focus, followed by the June low of 0.6372 [2]