日线（波段多） 阻力：98.25 四小时（短期） 短线关键分水岭98.40-50区域，价格没有出现反转信号之前维持多 美元兑日元（USDJPY） 月线（长线多） 支撑：151 1月5日，美元指数 周线（关注收盘） 阻力：99 周线（中线多） 支撑：154.90 日线（关注得失） 阻力：156.30 四小时（短期） 短线分水岭156.70-80区域，价格没有出现反转信号之前维持多 美元兑加元（USDCAD） 月线（长线空） 阻力：1.3990 月线（长线空） 阻力：101.70 周线（中线空） 阻力：1.3900 日线（波段多） 支撑：1.3730 四小时（短期） 关键分水岭1.3720-30区域，价格没有出现反转信号之前维持多 美元兑瑞士法郎（USDCHF） 月线（长线空） 支撑：0.8320 周线（关注周线收盘） 阻力：0.7980 日线（波段多） 支撑：0.7920 四小时（短期） 关键分水岭0.7920-30区域，价格没有出现反转信号之前维持多 欧元兑美元（EURUSD） 月线（长线多） 支撑：1.1270 周线（关注周线收盘） 支撑：1.1640 日线（波段空） 阻力：1.1745 四小时（短期） 关 ...

澳大利亚储备银行12月会议纪要显示，董事会成员对当前货币政策限制性是否足够的不确定性上升。政策制定者提及，通胀若未达预期缓解，将收紧政策， 重点关注1月28日发布的第四季度CPI报告。 分析师认为，第四季度核心通胀数据超预期可能引发澳储行2月3日会议加息。 从汇率走势可能性来看，随着市场持续预期美联储在2026年将再实施两次降息，美元可能面临一定压力，这一因素或推动澳元兑美元汇率上行。市场交易员 大概率会重点关注今日晚些时候公布的联邦公开市场委员会12月会议纪要。 在美联储降息预期，当前美元仍保持稳定。用于衡量美元对六种主要货币价值的美元指数，目前呈上涨态势，写作时段交易于98.00左右水平。 澳元兑美元汇率小幅走高，周二反弹逼近14个月高点0.6727。 市场对澳大利亚储备银行加息预期增强，支撑澳元。澳大利亚新年假期影响下，市场预计后续交易量清淡。 彭博社周日报道，中国财政部计划扩大先进制造业、科技创新、人力资本发展等重点领域定向投资。该公告发布于年终会议概述明年财政政策重点后。澳大 利亚与中国贸易关系紧密，上述财政政策对中国经济的影响或传导至澳元汇率。 澳大利亚通胀数据显示，2025年10月整体通胀率从9 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) maintains a strong position against the US dollar (USD), with a slight decline of 0.0447% and a trading range of 0.6698-0.6710, following a significant rise that broke the 0.67 mark, reaching a 14-month high since October 2024 [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Factors - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept the policy interest rate at 3.6%, with a hawkish tone suggesting potential rate hikes in the future, which has increased market expectations for a rate increase in early 2025 [1]. - Domestic demand in Australia remains robust, with private consumption and investment data showing resilience, which offsets some external pressures and enhances confidence in the AUD [2]. - The RBA's cautious optimism regarding the economic outlook, without concerns of recession, further supports the strength of the AUD [2]. Group 2: Currency Dynamics - The USD index has declined over 9% this year, primarily due to the Federal Reserve's rate cuts and internal policy discrepancies, which have weakened the dollar and increased the relative attractiveness of the AUD [2]. - The AUD/USD exchange rate is currently in an upward channel, with key support at 0.6620 and resistance at 0.6707, indicating a solid bullish structure [2]. Group 3: Future Considerations - Upcoming key indicators include the Australian fourth-quarter CPI data at the end of January, which could reinforce rate hike expectations if inflation rises [3]. - Monitoring the Federal Reserve's policy direction and US economic performance is crucial, as these factors will directly impact the strength of the USD [3].

每日经济新闻 每经AI快讯，周三（12月24日），纽约尾盘，美元指数涨0.06%报97.95，非美货币表现分化，欧元兑美 元跌0.13%报1.1778，英镑兑美元跌0.07%报1.3508，澳元兑美元涨0.05%报0.6705，美元兑日元跌0.21% 报155.94，美元兑瑞郎涨0.09%报0.7883。 ...

VPC指标策略仅供参考，不作为投资建议。以下策略更新于北京时间2025年12月24日15时47分。 国际商品 国际现货黄金 国际现货白银 英镑兑美元 外汇货币对 美元指数 欧元兑美元 澳元兑美元 美元兑日元 ...

转自：新华财经 【资讯导读】 •特朗普拟明年1月敲定美联储新主席人选 •美联储理事米兰警告：暂停降息或触发衰退 •欧盟延长对俄制裁至2026年7月 强化反规避机制 •日本财相：保留对汇率异常波动"大胆干预"权 【市场资讯】 •美国总统特朗普计划于2026年1月第一周正式提名下一任美联储主席。现任主席鲍威尔的四年任期将于 2026年5月结束。特朗普此前强调，希望继任者支持"增长友好型"货币政策，以促进经济扩张。 •美国财政部长贝森特表示，通胀正稳步向美联储2%的目标靠拢，预计2026年将成为经济增长与物价稳 定同步改善的一年。他指出，随着政府精简职位、提升效率，整体经济状况将进一步优化。 •美联储理事米兰警告称，若2026年停止降息，可能增加经济陷入衰退的风险。尽管当前尚无明显下行 迹象，但他强调，失业率上升应促使政策制定者继续采取宽松立场。 •克利夫兰联储主席哈马克表示，在美联储连续三次降息后，未来几个月利率政策应保持稳定。她曾反 对近期降息，认为当前主要风险仍是通胀顽固，而非就业市场疲软。 •欧盟决定将对俄罗斯的全面经济制裁延长六个月，有效期至2026年7月31日，涵盖贸易、金融、能源、 技术及运输等多个关 ...

Group 1 - The US Dollar Index shows a long-term bearish trend with resistance levels at 101.70 (monthly), 98.90 (weekly), and 98.70 (daily) [1][12] - The USD/JPY pair indicates a long-term bullish trend with support at 150.40 (monthly) and 153.8 (weekly), while resistance is at 155.80 (daily) [1][13] - The USD/CAD pair has a critical support zone between 1.3775-1.3855, maintaining a bullish outlook until a reversal signal appears [2][13] Group 2 - The EUR/USD pair shows a long-term bullish trend with support at 1.1180 (monthly) and resistance at 1.1640 (weekly) [3][17] - The GBP/USD pair has a long-term bullish outlook with support at 1.3100 (monthly) and resistance at 1.3300 (weekly) [6][18] - The AUD/USD pair indicates a long-term bullish trend with support at 0.6430 (monthly) and resistance at 0.6550 (weekly) [22] Group 3 - The NZD/USD pair has a critical resistance level at 0.6630, maintaining a bearish outlook until a reversal signal appears [21] - The USD/CHF pair shows a long-term bearish trend with support at 0.8390 (monthly) [13] - The economic data to be monitored includes China's one-year loan market quotation rate and the UK's Q3 GDP final value [11][23]

周二（12月16日）纽约尾盘，欧元兑美元涨0.04%，报1.1757，非农就业报告发布后短线出现V形走 势、但整体上延续日内稍早涨势，北京时间23:01刷新日高至1.18上方。英镑兑美元涨0.37%，报 1.3426，美元兑瑞郎跌0.19%，报0.7947。商品货币对中，澳元兑美元跌0.09%，纽元兑美元涨0.15%， 美元兑加元跌0.14%。 ...

Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) has shown strong performance against the US dollar (USD) since December 2025, driven by the divergence in monetary policies between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) [1] - The RBA's recent hawkish stance, including maintaining the cash rate and signaling a potential for future rate hikes due to inflation concerns, has shifted market expectations [1][2] - Economic indicators in Australia, such as private demand, the real estate market, and a tight labor market, support the RBA's hawkish turn, despite previous significant declines in inflation [2] Group 2 - The divergence in global central bank policies has increased the volatility of the AUD/USD exchange rate, with market expectations for a hawkish stance from several non-US central banks [2] - The demand for Australian resources, particularly driven by global AI investment and the transition to renewable energy, has provided support for the AUD, although challenges remain, such as lower-than-expected GDP growth and productivity issues [2] - There is a general optimism among institutions regarding the future of the AUD/USD exchange rate, with predictions of potential rate hikes by the RBA in 2026 and expectations for the exchange rate to rise in the first half of next year [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) is currently trading at 0.6668 against the US dollar (USD), with market focus on the diverging monetary policies of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy Divergence - The RBA has recently signaled a hawkish stance, maintaining the cash rate at 3.6% and indicating no immediate rate cuts, which supports the AUD [1] - In contrast, the Fed is expected to lower rates by 25 basis points in December, with a probability of 82.9%, which is pressuring the USD and providing upward momentum for the AUD [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Australia's inflation rate rose to 3.8% year-on-year in October, exceeding the target range of 2%-3%, which supports the RBA's hawkish position [1] - However, the GDP growth for Q3 was only 0.4%, significantly below the expected 0.7%, which may limit the RBA's ability to tighten monetary policy further [1] Group 3: Technical Analysis - The AUD/USD shows a clear bullish trend, having broken through a descending parallel channel and is approaching a key resistance level at 0.6650 [2] - Indicators such as MACD and RSI suggest potential upward movement but also indicate risks of volatility [2] - A breakthrough above 0.6650 could lead to a target of 0.6707, while support is found in the 0.6550-0.6520 range [2] Group 4: Future Focus - Upcoming events include the Fed's meeting, which is expected to increase volatility in the AUD/USD exchange rate [2] - The divergence in policies between the RBA and Fed, along with Australia's economic recovery and commodity price trends, will be crucial in determining the future direction of the AUD [2]