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国内动力煤价上涨,三大港口煤炭库存环比同比均下降明显 | 投研报告
以下为研究报告摘要: 国内动力煤价格环比上月上涨,国际上澳洲、南非和欧洲三港动力煤离岸价格环比上月 均下跌。截至9月30日,秦皇岛动力煤山西优混5500平仓价格701.00元/吨,环比上月涨9元/ 吨,涨幅为1.30%。澳大利亚纽卡斯尔港NEWC动力煤离岸价格103.3美元/吨,环比上月下 降6.40美元/吨,跌幅为5.83%;南非理查德RB动力煤离岸价格82.20美元/吨,环比上月下跌 6.60美元/吨,跌幅为7.43%;欧洲三港DES ARA动力煤离岸价格91.30美元/吨,环比上月下 跌8.00美元/吨,跌幅为8.06%。 8月陕晋蒙三省国有重点煤矿煤炭月度产量环比均上升。8月国有重点煤矿煤炭月度产 量:陕西产2111.90万吨,同比上升36万吨,涨幅为0.67%,环比上升46.70万吨,涨幅为 2.26%;山西产4632.80万吨,同比下降707.40万吨,跌幅为13.25%,环比上升98.6万吨,涨 幅为2.17%;内蒙古产1821。40万吨,同比下降3.30万吨,跌幅为0.18%,环比上37.80万 吨,涨幅为2.12%。 东兴证券近日发布煤炭行业报告:截至9月29日,秦皇岛港、黄骅港、曹妃甸港三 ...
煤炭行业:动力煤价下跌,三大港口库存增幅明显
Dongxing Securities· 2025-05-16 00:50
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates a decline in thermal coal prices, with significant increases in coal inventory at three major ports [5][30] - The average daily coal consumption of the six major power generation groups has decreased month-on-month, while year-on-year growth is observed [39] - Domestic shipping costs have decreased month-on-month, while international shipping costs show mixed trends [49] Summary by Sections 1. Thermal Coal Prices - As of May 9, the price of Shanxi mixed thermal coal at Qinhuangdao is 635 CNY/ton, down 4.80% from the previous month [3][14] - International thermal coal prices have also decreased, with Newcastle coal at 94 USD/ton, down 3.09% month-on-month [17] 2. Production - In March, the monthly coal production from key state-owned mines in Shaanxi, Shanxi, and Inner Mongolia increased month-on-month [23] - The total coal production in March was 44,058.20 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 10.33% [20] 3. Imports - The monthly import volume of coal and lignite in April was 37.83 million tons, a decrease of 2.34% month-on-month [26] - The monthly import of thermal coal in March was 9.18 million tons, an increase of 4.85% month-on-month but a decrease of 30.58% year-on-year [26] 4. Inventory - As of May 9, the total coal inventory at the three major ports reached 15.76 million tons, an increase of 12.73% month-on-month [30] - The average available days of coal inventory for the six major power generation groups increased by 5.11% month-on-month [38] 5. Downstream Demand - The average daily coal consumption of the six major power generation groups was 759,400 tons, a decrease of 0.26% month-on-month [39] - National electricity generation in March increased by 4.06% year-on-year, while thermal power generation decreased by 1.96% [41][48] 6. Freight Rates - Domestic shipping costs from Qinhuangdao to Shanghai decreased by 13.92% month-on-month [49] - International shipping costs from Newcastle to China decreased by 3.79% month-on-month [49]