物价恢复

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招商证券国际:传统行业内地物价9月以来恢复 新能源恢复更持续
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 03:59
招商证券国际发布研报称,数据显示,传统行业物价自9月以来有所恢复,物价上行趋势是否可以持续 将影响投资方式,新能源行业恢复更持续,因为下游需求更强。该行表示,现在的市场环境是股票上 升,不过债券疲弱。 传统行业中,过去半个月,华东地区水泥价格累计上涨6元/吨,达到428元/吨;西南地区水泥价格自8 月第2周以来保持上涨趋势,累计上涨36元/吨,达到479元/吨。钢价格同样录得环比改善,例如螺纹钢 价格指数转入正值区间,上周上涨23元/吨至3312.2元/吨。浮法玻璃价格连续三周上涨,上涨13元/吨至 1163元/吨。同时,炼焦煤和焦炭价格自2025年第三季以来呈上涨趋势,炼焦煤价格上涨268元/吨至 1452元/吨,焦炭物价指数截至上周上涨236元/吨。 新能源行业中,光电产品综合价格指数自7月中旬以来持续上涨3.29个百分点,达到15.2%。光伏级多晶 硅价格扭转今年以来的下跌趋势,截至上周上涨55%至6.54美元/千克;国内多晶硅价格上涨41.1%至6.9 美元/千克;碳酸锂价格上涨20.5%至72400元人民币/吨。 ...
中金:物价恢复较慢,政策发力的必要性提升——2025年3月物价数据点评
中金点睛· 2025-04-10 23:33
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trends in CPI and PPI, highlighting the need for policy intervention to support price recovery, with a focus on core inflation rather than overall inflation [1][5]. Group 1: CPI Analysis - CPI year-on-year decline narrowed from -0.7% in February to -0.1% in March, exceeding expectations of -0.2%, with food prices contributing negatively [1][6]. - Food prices fell significantly, with fresh vegetables and pork prices decreasing by 5.1% and 4.4% respectively, driven by improved supply and seasonal factors [2][3]. - Core inflation showed resilience, increasing by 0.5% year-on-year, with industrial consumer goods prices rising by 0.5% month-on-month [2][3]. Group 2: PPI Analysis - PPI year-on-year decline widened from -2.2% to -2.5%, and month-on-month decline increased from -0.1% to -0.4%, influenced by international factors and domestic production recovery [3][4]. - High-tech industries experienced positive price changes, with wearable device manufacturing prices rising by 4.6% [3][4]. - Prices in the black metal and non-metal mineral industries decreased due to faster production recovery compared to demand [3][4]. Group 3: Policy Implications - Recent tariff policies from the U.S. may negatively impact global demand and consequently affect China's demand [5]. - The government has emphasized the importance of price governance, indicating potential reforms in public utility pricing and market behavior regulation [5]. - The focus for this year should be on core inflation recovery, necessitating proactive policy measures to stimulate demand and support price stabilization [5].