现金奶牛

Search documents
万亿大白马突然大涨!
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-21 08:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that CATL's successful listing on the Hong Kong stock market has attracted significant investor interest, with its H-shares trading at a premium of over 10% compared to A-shares, indicating strong market appeal [1] - The phenomenon of premium in the Hong Kong market is driven by the global competition for asset pricing power, with over 40% of international institutions in the Hong Kong market valuing CATL based on its overseas market potential [1][2] - CATL's unique position in the new energy sector is highlighted by its comprehensive technology and application capabilities, making it a rare asset in the Hong Kong market [2] Group 2 - CATL's cash flow characteristics are emphasized, with a projected net cash flow from operating activities of 96.99 billion, which is 1.9 times its net profit, showcasing strong cash flow quality [3] - The company's engineering culture and significant R&D investment of 18.6 billion (5.14% of revenue) have resulted in a substantial number of patents, providing a competitive edge in advanced battery technologies [4] - CATL's financial health is robust, with 303.5 billion in cash and a low interest-bearing debt ratio of 17.52%, indicating strong financial management [5] Group 3 - The current valuation of CATL is assessed at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 26.6, which is at the upper limit of its reasonable valuation range of 20-25 times [8] - Future projections suggest that if CATL maintains a PE of 25 based on a forecasted net profit of 66 billion in 2025, its market value could reach 1.65 trillion [9] - The cautious perspective suggests that manufacturing sector valuations may not exceed a PE of 20, indicating a need for careful observation of market conditions before making investment decisions [11]
【帮主郑重】美股暗战!高瓴抄底VS巴菲特撤退 中长线密码藏在这
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-15 23:47
老铁们,帮主盯着美股夜盘直呼精彩!标普四连涨背后藏着大戏——高瓴狂扫中国资产,巴菲特却砍仓银行股,这波神仙打架的操作里,藏着中长线玩 家的生存密码。 纳指微跌的戏码里藏着宫斗剧:亚马逊、Meta失宠跌超2%,奈飞却靠《三体》全球爆火逆袭涨14%。资金正在科技内部搞"供给侧改革"——抛弃烧钱元 宇宙,拥抱现金流王者。就像巴菲特砍掉美国银行转投西方石油,大佬们的共识很明确:经济换挡期,"现金奶牛"比"未来故事"更靠谱。 高瓴的逆向艺术 中概股跌出翔的时节,张磊却逆势加仓。网易Q1营收超预期暴涨14%,揭开了中国资产的B面——政策底+估值底+业绩拐点三重共振。这操作像极了2018 年茅台跌停时的外资扫货,真正的中长线玩家,都懂得在谩骂声中捡金子。 大宗商品暗藏天机 原油跌黄金涨的剪刀差里,藏着全球资本的焦虑。纽约原油跌破关键支撑,暗示经济复苏不及预期;黄金重上3240美元,泄露了机构对地缘风险的担 忧。二十年老炮的经验:当下配置5%黄金对冲黑天鹅,等原油跌到页岩油成本线,再抄底能源股,这才是攻守兼备的玩法。 黑天鹅扇动翅膀 联合健康这颗医疗巨雷炸得人头皮发麻。涉嫌医保欺诈被刑事调查,股价八连跌市值腰斩,3000亿美 ...
刚需扛把子!中移动才是真股王?
海豚投研· 2025-04-22 14:43
1.经营数据:收入基本持平,利润稳步提升 。 中国移动2025年第一季度总营收为2638亿元,同比基本持平。 公司本季度通讯业务的增长,与产品销售等业务的下 滑基本相抵消。 中国移动2025年第一季度净利润为306亿元,同比增长3.4%。 在收入不增的情况下,利润端的增长来自于毛利率的提升和费用端的回落; 中国移动(600941.SH/00941.HK)于北京时间 2025年4月22日晚的港股盘后发布了2025年第一季度财报(截止2025年3月),要点如下: 2.核心业务表现:个人通讯业务有所回落 。本季度通讯业务的增长,主要是受家庭和政企通讯业务的带动。而公司最大的个人通讯业务,本季度是略有下滑的。 具体来看, 移动用户数同比增长0.8%;而移动用户的单月资费为46.9元,同比下滑2.1% ; 3.资本开支:虽有增加,但全年目标是收缩的。 中国移动2025年第一季度的资本开支大约为364亿元,同比增长5.5%。 但结合公司全年目标看,公司预期2025年资 本开支为1512亿元,同比下滑7.8%,公司后面三个季度将对资本开支继续缩减。 | | | | | | China Mobile (600941.SH/0 ...