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科顺股份(300737):2024年报及2025一季报点评:调结构控风险,盈利和质量稳步改善
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-30 07:21
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][33] Core Views - The company has actively adjusted its business structure to control risks, leading to a steady improvement in profitability and quality. Despite revenue pressure, the significant reduction in credit impairment losses has contributed to turning a profit [3][8][33] - The company reported a revenue of 6.83 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 14.0%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 44 million yuan, compared to a loss of 338 million yuan in the previous year [8][33] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.3 yuan per share for 2024, with total dividends amounting to 422 million yuan [8] Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.4 billion yuan, down 6.1% year-on-year, with a net profit of 41 million yuan, a decrease of 23.2% [8] - The gross margin for 2024 was 21.8%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from lower raw material prices and internal cost reduction efforts [2][3] - The company’s operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 320 million yuan in 2024, up 64.5% year-on-year [3][28] Financial Forecasts - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.18, 0.30, and 0.42 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 25.4, 15.4, and 11.1 [33][34] - The total revenue is expected to slightly increase to 6.86 billion yuan in 2025, with a projected growth rate of 0.5% [34] Cash Flow and Risk Management - The company has strengthened its cash collection and risk control measures, leading to a continuous recovery in cash flow. The accounts receivable and notes totaled 4.09 billion yuan at the end of 2024, a decrease of 70 million yuan year-on-year [3][28] - The asset-liability ratio stood at 64.6%, reflecting a manageable level of debt [3][28]