国内外政策催化大炼化行业关注度提升。根据中国石油和化工网信息，韩国石化产业开 工率持续下行，行业供应过剩问题亟待解决。韩国产业通商资源部决定对韩国十家最大石化 企业已同意进行业务重组，包括大幅削减270-370万吨石脑油裂解产能，并且政府要求各公 司必须在年底前提交具体的减产方案。同时，我国石化行业"反内卷"预期提升，有望对200 万吨及以下炼油产能以及老旧设备进行出清，进一步提高了炼化行业的关注度。 2.核心观点 民爆行业："十四五"收官在即，行业整合加速；雅鲁藏布江项目、三峡水运新通道、浙 赣粤运河等项目有望拉动内需增长；"一带一路"战略持续推进，有望带动民爆企业开拓海外 需求。建议关注：易普力、江南化工、广东宏大、国泰集团和凯龙股份等。 农药：行业重点企业发生安全生产事故，或将对行业供给带来扰动。建议关注：扬农化 工、兴发集团等。 太平洋近日发布化工行业周报：根据百川盈孚数据，本周草甘膦下游需求良好，海外非 洲等地区制剂订单持续释放，工厂水剂、颗粒剂订单充足。截至8月24日，草甘膦价格为 26899元/吨，较上周价格上涨200元/吨；毛利为3964.1元/吨，较上周上涨239元/吨。 以下为研究报告摘要 ...

2025 年 08 月 25 日 行业周报 看好/维持 基础化工 基础化工 化工周报（8/18-8/24）： 制冷剂、草甘膦等高景气延续，国内外政策催化大炼化行业关注度提升 ◼ 走势比较 (10%) 4% 18% 32% 46% 60% 24/8/26 24/11/6 25/1/17 25/3/30 25/6/10 25/8/21 基础化工 沪深300 相关研究报告 <<蓝晓科技（300487.SZ）：业绩稳健 增长，生命科学板块业务值得期 待>>--2025-08-24 <<业绩符合预期，内蒙新产能贡献显 著>>--2025-08-24 << 化 工 新 材 料 周 报 （ 20250818- 20250824）：生物航煤、制冷剂价格 上涨，普鲁士蓝材料等价格回落>>-- 2025-08-24 证券分析师：王亮 E-MAIL：wangl@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190522120001 证券分析师：王海涛 E-MAIL：wanght@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190523010001 报告摘要 1.重点行业和产品情况跟踪 草甘膦等农药价格持续上涨。根据百川盈孚数据，本周草甘膦下 ...

2025 年 8 月 23 日 公司研究 油价下跌业绩承压下滑，"反内卷"政策推进大炼化底部反转可期 ——恒力石化（600346.SH）2025 年半年报点评 买入（维持） 当前价：17.10 元 作者 分析师：赵乃迪 执业证书编号：S0930517050005 010-57378026 zhaond@ebscn.com 分析师：蔡嘉豪 执业证书编号：S0930523070003 021-52523800 caijiahao@ebscn.com 市场数据 | 总股本(亿股) | 70.39 | | --- | --- | | 总市值(亿元)： | 1204 | | 一年最低/最高(元)： | 11.76/17.11 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 17.51% | 股价相对走势 -10% 0% 9% 19% 28% 08/24 11/24 02/25 05/25 恒力石化 沪深300 收益表现 | % | 1M | 3M | 1Y | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 相对 | 8.01 | -0.16 | 0.40 | | 绝对 | 12.97 | 9.33 | 29.50 | | 资 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The chemical sector is currently in a bottoming phase, influenced by macroeconomic factors and overcapacity, with performance fluctuating within a range of ±10% year-on-year. Certain sub-sectors like refrigerants, pesticides, fertilizers, and modified plastics are performing well, showing resilience against macroeconomic impacts [2][47]. Company-Specific Insights Zhenhua Co., Ltd. - Zhenhua's net profit for Q1 2025 was 117 million yuan, a 37% year-on-year increase. The company is expected to see significant growth in Q2 due to strong demand for metallic chromium and high-temperature alloys, with annual profits potentially reaching 1.5 to 1.6 billion yuan following capacity expansion [1][3][4][7]. Refrigerant Industry - The refrigerant market has outperformed expectations, with leading companies like Juhua and Sanmei reporting substantial profit increases (Juhua's net profit grew by 108% and Sanmei by 178% in 2024). The average price of refrigerants has risen significantly, with some products like R32 exceeding 50,000 yuan per ton [1][8][9][10][11]. Agricultural Chemicals - The agricultural chemicals sector has shown strong performance, driven by cost support and export demand. Companies like Yangnong Chemical have increased operational loads to boost profits. The focus is on the impact of export policies on phosphate fertilizers [1][15][16][17]. Polyester Filament Industry - The polyester filament industry had a good Q1 but faces pressures from falling oil prices and uncertain tariff policies. As oil prices stabilize, market elasticity may increase [1][21][22][23]. Refining Sector - Companies like Rongsheng and Hengli in the refining sector saw significant profit improvements in Q1 due to a rebound in crude oil cracking margins. The low oil prices positively impacted downstream demand, helping to reduce costs and increase profits [1][24][25]. Future Trends and Strategies - The chemical sector is advised to focus on sub-sectors with low correlation to trade wars, such as refrigerants and new materials. Investors are encouraged to wait for low oil price points to optimize investment opportunities [2][5][6]. Additional Insights - The refrigerant industry is characterized by stable demand and pricing power held by leading companies, making it less sensitive to economic downturns. The potential for significant price increases remains, with a long cycle expected [9][10][11]. - The agricultural sector is expected to maintain growth, particularly in the phosphate fertilizer market, contingent on favorable export policies [17][40]. - The tire industry faces challenges from tariffs and is adapting through price increases and strategic market positioning [44][45]. Conclusion - The chemical industry presents various investment opportunities, particularly in sectors with strong fundamentals and less exposure to macroeconomic volatility. Companies with independent growth narratives, like Zhenhua, are highlighted as having significant profit potential [2][6][7].