交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 玻璃早报 2026-3-6 每日观点 玻璃： 1、基本面：玻璃生产利润小幅修复，冷修不及预期，供给低位；地产拖累下游深加工订单偏弱， 库存同期历史高位；偏空 2、基差：浮法玻璃河北沙河大板现货956元/吨，FG2605收盘价为1055元/吨，基差为-99元，期货 升水现货；偏空 3、库存：全国浮法玻璃企业库存7963.70万重量箱，较前一周增加4.77%，库存在5年均值上方运 行；偏空 4、盘面：价格在20日线下方运行，20日线向下；偏空 5、主力持仓：主力持仓净空，空减；偏空 6、预期：玻璃基本面疲弱，短期预计震荡偏空运行为主。 影响因素总结 利多： 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号：F03105325 投资咨询证号：Z0021337 联系方式：0575-85226759 2、风险点：地产回暖力度超预期 一、玻璃期货行情 | 日盘 | 主力合约收盘价 | 沙河安全大 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号：F03105325 投资咨询证号：Z0021337 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 玻璃早报 2026-3-5 每日观点 玻璃： 1、基本面：玻璃生产利润小幅修复，冷修不及预期，供给低位；地产拖累下游深加工订单偏弱， 库存同期历史高位；偏空 2、基差：浮法玻璃河北沙河大板现货956元/吨，FG2605收盘价为1038元/吨，基差为-82元，期货 升水现货；偏空 3、库存：全国浮法玻璃企业库存7600.80万重量箱，较前一周增加37.32%，库存在5年均值上方运 行；偏空 4、盘面：价格在20日线下方运行，20日线向下；偏空 5、主力持仓：主力持仓净空，空增；偏空 6、预期：玻璃基本面疲弱，短期预计震荡偏空运行为主。 影响因素总结 利多： 1、玻璃生产利润低位，产量下行。 利空： 1、地产终端需求依然疲弱，玻璃深加工企业订单数量历 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The glass fundamentals are weak, and it is expected to fluctuate weakly in the short term. The production profit repair is weak, supply contraction is less than expected, downstream deep - processing orders are weak due to the real estate drag, and inventory is at a historically high level for the same period [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Glass Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract decreased from 964 yuan/ton to 956 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.83%. The spot price of Shahe Safety large boards remained unchanged at 968 yuan/ton. The main basis increased from 4 yuan/ton to 12 yuan/ton, a rise of 200.00% [7]. Glass Spot Market - The market price of 5mm white glass large boards in the spot benchmark area of Hebei Shahe was 968 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day [14]. Fundamental Analysis - Cost Side - Not provided with specific analysis content other than mentioning glass production profit. Fundamental Analysis - Supply - The number of operating national float glass production lines is 220, with an operating rate of 74.51%, at a historically low level for the same period. The daily melting volume of national float glass is 15.72 tons, with production capacity at a historically low level for the same period [25][27]. Fundamental Analysis - Demand - In September 2025, the apparent consumption of float glass was 470.82 tons. The real - estate terminal demand is still weak, and the number of orders from glass deep - processing enterprises is at a historically low level for the same period. The capital collection in the deep - processing industry is not optimistic, and traders and processors are cautious, mainly digesting the original glass inventory [30][5]. Fundamental Analysis - Inventory - The inventory of national float glass enterprises is 58.227 million weight boxes, a decrease of 2.04% from the previous week, and the inventory is running above the five - year average [43]. Fundamental Analysis - Supply - Demand Balance Sheet - From 2017 - 2024E, the production and consumption of float glass have shown different growth and decline trends. For example, in 2021, production increased by 9.88% and consumption increased by 6.87%. In 2024E, production is expected to increase by 3.94% and consumption is expected to decrease by 1.15% [44]. Influencing Factors Summary - **Positive Factors**: "Coal - to - Gas" in the Shahe area and industry cold repairs have led to production losses [4]. - **Negative Factors**: Weak real - estate terminal demand and low orders from deep - processing enterprises; poor capital collection in the deep - processing industry and cautious attitudes among traders and processors [5]. Main Logic - The glass supply is stabilizing at a low level, the orders of downstream deep - processing factories are dismal, and the glass factory inventory is rising. It is expected that glass will fluctuate weakly at a low level [6].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report The glass market has a weak fundamental situation, and it is expected to show a weak and volatile trend in the short term. The supply of glass has stabilized at a low level, downstream deep - processing factory orders are dismal, and glass factory inventories are rising [2][6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily View - The fundamentals show that production profit repair is weak, supply contraction is less than expected, downstream deep - processing orders are weak due to the real estate drag, and inventory is at a historical high in the same period [2]. - The basis is - 53 yuan, with futures at a premium to spot [2]. - The national floating glass enterprise inventory is 62.362 million weight boxes, a 1.49% decrease from the previous week, and the inventory is running above the 5 - year average [2]. - The price is running below the 20 - day line, and the 20 - day line is downward [2]. - The main position is net short, and short positions are increasing [2]. 3.2 Influence Factor Summary - **Likely to be favorable**: "Coal - to - gas" in the Shahe area and industry cold repairs lead to production losses [4]. - **Likely to be unfavorable**: Real estate terminal demand is still weak, and the number of orders from glass deep - processing enterprises is at a historical low in the same period. The capital collection of the deep - processing industry is not optimistic, and traders and processing factories are cautious, mainly digesting raw glass inventories [5]. 3.3 Main Logic and Risk Points - **Main logic**: Glass supply has stabilized at a low level, downstream deep - processing factory orders are dismal, and glass factory inventories are rising, so it is expected to show a weak and volatile trend at a low level [6]. - **Risk points**: The intensity of the "anti - involution" policy exceeds expectations [6]. 3.4 Glass Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract is 1041 yuan/ton, with a 0.39% increase; the spot price of Shahe Safety large - plate glass is 988 yuan/ton, with no change; the main basis is - 53 yuan, with an 8.16% increase [7]. 3.5 Glass Spot Market The market price of 5mm white glass large - plate in Hebei Shahe, the spot benchmark, is 988 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day [12]. 3.6 Fundamental Analysis - **Cost side**: No detailed data is provided in the text. - **Production side**: The number of operating floating glass production lines nationwide is 222, with an operating rate of 74.85%, and the production line operating number is at a historical low in the same period. The daily melting volume is 158,100 tons, and the production capacity is at a historical low in the same period [23][25]. - **Demand side**: In September 2025, the apparent consumption of floating glass was 4.7082 million tons [28]. - **Inventory**: The inventory of national floating glass enterprises is 62.362 million weight boxes, a 1.49% decrease from the previous week, and the inventory is running above the 5 - year average [2][41]. - **Supply - demand balance sheet**: Data from 2017 - 2024E shows the production, consumption, production growth rate, consumption growth rate, and net import ratio of floating glass. For example, in 2024E, the production is 55.1 million tons, the consumption is 53.1 million tons, and the production growth rate is 3.94% [42].