Workflow
理性共识
icon
Search documents
止于至善投资何理:构建“理性共识” 追求“合理价格”
Group 1 - The core idea presented is the integration of subjective insights, quantitative tools, and artificial intelligence to create a scientific investment system that seeks "rational consensus" [1] - The definition of "reasonable price" is based on discounted future free cash flows and identifying a "consensus value range" through in-depth research, with investments made when market prices show significant discounts [2] - The company aims to construct a "anti-fragile" investment portfolio using options and other tools to benefit from market volatility rather than suffer from it [2] Group 2 - The AI system, referred to as "AI Cybertron," is deeply integrated into the company's operations, enhancing efficiency and enabling rapid iteration of research and decision-making processes [3] - The investment in a specific AI hardware company exemplifies the successful application of the investment philosophy, with initial investments made during a downturn and increased as understanding of the company's long-term value grew [4] - The investment portfolio is globally diversified, covering A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and U.S. stocks, with a focus on sectors like AI and innovative pharmaceuticals [5][6] Group 3 - In the AI sector, the company sees no overall bubble but warns of overheating at the individual stock level, particularly emphasizing the importance of storage in the computing segment [5] - The company believes that leading domestic pharmaceutical firms have advantages in developing best-in-class (BIC) drugs, while smaller overseas firms may be more flexible in first-in-class (FIC) drug development [6] - The new core assets identified for 2026 include AI technology innovation companies, new consumer companies providing "emotional value," and resource and energy companies with scarcity in the changing global supply landscape [6]
构建“理性共识” 追求“合理价格”
Core Insights - The founder and general manager of Zhiyu Zhishan Investment, He Li, emphasizes the integration of subjective insights, quantitative tools, and AI technology to create a scientific investment system that evolves continuously and seeks "rational consensus" [1][2] Group 1: Investment Philosophy - Value investment is defined as a combination of good assets and good prices, with a focus on buying when market prices significantly discount the consensus value range determined by future free cash flow [1] - The company aims to construct a "anti-fragile" investment portfolio using options and other tools to benefit from market volatility rather than suffer from it [1] - Examples include increasing stock positions and buying call options before the "9.24 market" in 2024, and purchasing put options on the Nasdaq index in April 2025 as insurance against high valuations in the tech sector [1] Group 2: AI Integration - The company has developed an AI system called "AI Cybertron," which integrates research, trading, risk control, and backtesting, making AI an essential part of every operational aspect [2] - AI enhances efficiency and fosters the development of better solutions through continuous discussions and iterations with the team [2] - A systematic approach to covering cutting-edge fields and maintaining a stable network of industry experts ensures that every viewpoint and transaction is traceable and analyzable [2] Group 3: Investment Examples - A successful investment in a US AI hardware company exemplifies the integration of investment philosophy and system, with initial investments made in 2022 based on its quality during a cyclical downturn [3] - As understanding of AI deepened, the company increased its valuation assessment and adjusted positions based on "quality-price ratio" [3] Group 4: Asset Outlook - The company is optimistic about the AI sector, believing there is no overall bubble, but warns of potential overheating at the individual stock level [4] - Focus areas include the computing power segment, particularly storage, which is expected to yield excess profits due to ongoing demand [4] - In the innovative drug sector, the company notes a trend where overseas firms lead in first-in-class (FIC) drugs while Chinese firms excel in best-in-class (BIC) drugs, with a caution on high stock price increases reflecting optimistic expectations [4] Group 5: Future Core Assets - The company identifies three categories of "new core assets" for 2026: AI technology innovation companies driving industrial upgrades, new consumer companies providing "emotional value" and high quality-price ratios, and resource and energy companies with scarcity in the changing global supply landscape [4]