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止于至善投资何理:构建“理性共识” 追求“合理价格”
Group 1 - The core idea presented is the integration of subjective insights, quantitative tools, and artificial intelligence to create a scientific investment system that seeks "rational consensus" [1] - The definition of "reasonable price" is based on discounted future free cash flows and identifying a "consensus value range" through in-depth research, with investments made when market prices show significant discounts [2] - The company aims to construct a "anti-fragile" investment portfolio using options and other tools to benefit from market volatility rather than suffer from it [2] Group 2 - The AI system, referred to as "AI Cybertron," is deeply integrated into the company's operations, enhancing efficiency and enabling rapid iteration of research and decision-making processes [3] - The investment in a specific AI hardware company exemplifies the successful application of the investment philosophy, with initial investments made during a downturn and increased as understanding of the company's long-term value grew [4] - The investment portfolio is globally diversified, covering A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and U.S. stocks, with a focus on sectors like AI and innovative pharmaceuticals [5][6] Group 3 - In the AI sector, the company sees no overall bubble but warns of overheating at the individual stock level, particularly emphasizing the importance of storage in the computing segment [5] - The company believes that leading domestic pharmaceutical firms have advantages in developing best-in-class (BIC) drugs, while smaller overseas firms may be more flexible in first-in-class (FIC) drug development [6] - The new core assets identified for 2026 include AI technology innovation companies, new consumer companies providing "emotional value," and resource and energy companies with scarcity in the changing global supply landscape [6]
构建“理性共识” 追求“合理价格”
Core Insights - The founder and general manager of Zhiyu Zhishan Investment, He Li, emphasizes the integration of subjective insights, quantitative tools, and AI technology to create a scientific investment system that evolves continuously and seeks "rational consensus" [1][2] Group 1: Investment Philosophy - Value investment is defined as a combination of good assets and good prices, with a focus on buying when market prices significantly discount the consensus value range determined by future free cash flow [1] - The company aims to construct a "anti-fragile" investment portfolio using options and other tools to benefit from market volatility rather than suffer from it [1] - Examples include increasing stock positions and buying call options before the "9.24 market" in 2024, and purchasing put options on the Nasdaq index in April 2025 as insurance against high valuations in the tech sector [1] Group 2: AI Integration - The company has developed an AI system called "AI Cybertron," which integrates research, trading, risk control, and backtesting, making AI an essential part of every operational aspect [2] - AI enhances efficiency and fosters the development of better solutions through continuous discussions and iterations with the team [2] - A systematic approach to covering cutting-edge fields and maintaining a stable network of industry experts ensures that every viewpoint and transaction is traceable and analyzable [2] Group 3: Investment Examples - A successful investment in a US AI hardware company exemplifies the integration of investment philosophy and system, with initial investments made in 2022 based on its quality during a cyclical downturn [3] - As understanding of AI deepened, the company increased its valuation assessment and adjusted positions based on "quality-price ratio" [3] Group 4: Asset Outlook - The company is optimistic about the AI sector, believing there is no overall bubble, but warns of potential overheating at the individual stock level [4] - Focus areas include the computing power segment, particularly storage, which is expected to yield excess profits due to ongoing demand [4] - In the innovative drug sector, the company notes a trend where overseas firms lead in first-in-class (FIC) drugs while Chinese firms excel in best-in-class (BIC) drugs, with a caution on high stock price increases reflecting optimistic expectations [4] Group 5: Future Core Assets - The company identifies three categories of "new core assets" for 2026: AI technology innovation companies driving industrial upgrades, new consumer companies providing "emotional value" and high quality-price ratios, and resource and energy companies with scarcity in the changing global supply landscape [4]
止于至善何理:进一步锻造“反脆弱”投资能力
Core Viewpoint - The company, Zhiyu Zhishan Investment, adopts a unique investment philosophy of "investing in excellent companies at reasonable prices" and utilizes its proprietary AI investment system for global asset allocation [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Zhiyu Zhishan Investment has been active in the capital market since its establishment in 2016, successfully entering multiple whitelist programs for brokers, trusts, and listed companies, and joining the China Internet Association's AI Working Committee in 2023 [2] - The founder, He Li, emphasizes that the core identity of the company is the deep integration of AI technology into investment research practices, positioning the firm as a "global value investment practitioner" [2] Group 2: AI Investment System - The company's AI system, named "AI Cybertron," integrates four key components: research, trading, risk control, and backtesting, and is continuously evolving [2] - Recent advancements include incorporating subjective investment frameworks into the AI backtesting system, allowing for traceability of every transaction and research conclusion, addressing the issue of "forgetting errors" in subjective investing [2] - The system also employs a quantitative trading approach within the subjective investment track, ensuring that investment decisions are based on rational team consensus and AI insights rather than individual biases [2] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The company follows a bottom-up approach to portfolio construction, validated by a top-down perspective, with a focus on five core sectors: technology innovation, consumption, pharmaceuticals, manufacturing, and cyclical industries [3] - The investment team promotes a flat collaboration model and encourages cross-research and repeated coverage to ensure depth and diversity in research [3] - The team selects companies that exhibit strong competitiveness, high growth potential, significant value creation, and reasonable pricing [3] Group 4: Market Response and Adaptation - In response to market fluctuations, the company has adopted a strategy of "left hand AI, right hand new consumption," while also investing in lithium mines, innovative pharmaceuticals, and non-bank financial sectors [4] - The investment decisions are based on the principle of safety margin in value investing, where companies with similar qualities are allocated higher levels of investment based on greater safety margins [4] - The company has integrated options tail strategies into its private equity products to better manage short-term market volatility and leverage the "fat tail effect" from significant market fluctuations [4] Group 5: Internal Mechanism and Future Plans - He Li reflects on missed opportunities, such as a leading gold consumption stock in the Hong Kong market, attributing it to teamwork gaps and complacency, and plans to optimize the internal investment research mechanism [5] - In a competitive private equity landscape, the company remains committed to its philosophy of investing in excellent companies at reasonable prices, leveraging its AI system to uncover global investment opportunities while managing tail risks with options strategies [5] - The company aims to deliver a balanced portfolio with "anti-fragile" capabilities, which is seen as a differentiating customer experience and a unique advantage for a non-headquartered subjective investment firm [5]
做大变局中的长期主义者——访止于至善总经理何理
Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes the importance of long-term adaptability and global investment strategies in the face of significant market changes, leveraging technology and expanding into international markets [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The company has restructured its investment system using artificial intelligence technology, named "AI Cybertron," and has expanded its investment scope to include markets in South Korea, India, and Singapore [1]. - The investment portfolio currently includes high-quality companies from A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, U.S. stocks, and other international markets, reflecting a global investment approach [2]. - The core research team consists of seven members, with five being overseas returnees, enhancing the team's global research capabilities [2]. Group 2: Focus Areas - The company is particularly optimistic about the technology sector, especially artificial intelligence, and plans to build a global investment portfolio centered around AI [4]. - Investment in the technology sector is categorized into scientific technology and business innovation, with a focus on areas such as AI computing, autonomous driving, and quantum computing [4]. - In business innovation, the company is looking at investment opportunities in SaaS, fintech, and platform economy sectors driven by AI technology [5]. Group 3: Investment Philosophy - The company adheres to value investing principles but recognizes the need for flexibility in adjusting positions based on market sentiment and using derivative tools to enhance portfolio stability [3]. - The selection criteria for investment targets include strong competitiveness, high growth potential, and significant value creation [3]. - The company aims to create absolute returns for investors by exploring derivative tools to improve position adjustment flexibility and enhance portfolio resilience [3].