Core Viewpoint - Citi analysts believe that "Agentic workflows" will be the main growth and valuation driver for software companies focused on AI-driven usage-based billing data and cloud core resource consumption until at least the end of 2026 [1] Group 1: AI Workflows and Market Trends - The transition from "AI experimentation" to "initial deployment of AI agents" is expected to drive enterprise software and cloud computing spending to grow by 20-35% on top of a 50% increase in 2025 [2] - Major cloud vendors and AI-driven software companies like Oracle, Snowflake, MongoDB, and Elastic are anticipated to be the biggest beneficiaries of this trend [1][2] - The demand for AI applications, particularly those enhancing B2B operational efficiency, is surging across various industries, as evidenced by strong performance from companies like Google, AppLovin, and Palantir [3] Group 2: AI Application Development - The development of AI applications is increasingly focused on "generative AI applications" and AI agents capable of executing complex tasks autonomously [4] - The launch of Google's Gemini3 has sparked a new wave of AI applications, significantly increasing demand for AI processing power [5][8] - MongoDB is positioned as a key beneficiary in the AI ecosystem, leveraging its integration with Google Cloud and Vertex AI to capitalize on the growing demand for cloud-based AI solutions [9][11] Group 3: Financial Performance and Projections - MongoDB's recent earnings report exceeded Wall Street expectations, highlighting the strong growth trajectory of its core business and its integration with Google Cloud [9][12] - The overall AI investment narrative is shifting from a focus on computational power to one centered on "agentic workflows and data usage" as a source of revenue [10] - The AI ecosystem, particularly companies like MongoDB, is experiencing robust growth driven by increased demand for cloud AI processing capabilities [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - Applovin has reported strong Q2 2025 earnings, driven by its AI advertising engine AXON, surpassing Wall Street expectations, and the stock has risen 20% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500 index [1][2][5]. Financial Performance - Applovin's adjusted EPS for Q2 was $2.39, exceeding the expected $2.32, while GAAP EPS was $2.28, above the anticipated $1.98. The net income reached $820 million, a 164% increase [2][3]. - Total revenue for Q2 was $1.26 billion, surpassing the expected $1.22 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 17%. Excluding the sold gaming business, revenue from advertising grew by 77% [2][3]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 was $1.02 billion, reflecting a 99% year-over-year increase [2][3]. Future Outlook - Applovin anticipates Q3 revenue between $1.32 billion and $1.34 billion, with the midpoint exceeding Wall Street's expectation of $1.31 billion [3][4]. Strategic Focus - The company sold its mobile gaming business for $400 million to focus on its core "AI + digital advertising" marketing platform, allowing it to concentrate on significant growth opportunities [4][5]. - Applovin's AXON 2.0 engine utilizes deep learning and real-time bidding to optimize ad placements, significantly contributing to revenue and profit growth [6][7]. Market Context - Despite strong earnings, Applovin's stock fell over 6% post-announcement, indicating market skepticism regarding the sustainability of its growth compared to Meta's performance [5][6]. - UBS has highlighted "AI + digital advertising" as a highly certain investment area, recommending Applovin and The Trade Desk as key stocks to consider [7][8]. Industry Trends - The integration of AI in digital advertising is accelerating, with major players like Google and Meta adopting generative AI technologies to enhance ad efficiency and user engagement [8][9]. - The demand for AI applications in advertising is expected to grow, driven by the need for improved operational efficiency and cost reduction across industries [10][11].

Group 1 - UBS highlights the upcoming earnings season for small and mid-cap companies focused on AI application software, recommending increased allocation to Applovin (APP.US) and The Trade Desk (TTD.US) as leaders in the "AI + digital advertising" segment [1][2] - The report emphasizes that small-cap stocks are currently more attractive compared to large-cap stocks, with the Russell 2000 index's expected P/E ratio around 15x, below historical averages [2][3] - UBS expects several small-cap AI application software companies to provide positive earnings guidance, with Applovin and The Trade Desk anticipated to exceed market expectations for Q3 [3][4] Group 2 - The integration of AI in digital advertising has accelerated since the rise of ChatGPT, with major players like Google and Meta incorporating generative AI technologies to enhance ad performance [4][5] - UBS notes that the shift in focus from hardware to software in tech investments is benefiting companies like Applovin and The Trade Desk, as demand for AI application software continues to grow [5][6] - UBS maintains an optimistic outlook on Applovin's performance, raising its Q2 2025 revenue forecast to $867 million, reflecting positive trends from App Store advertising policies and strong growth in its self-operated app business [7][8] Group 3 - The Trade Desk is also viewed positively by UBS, with expectations for steady growth in Q2, driven by its "AI + digital advertising" platform and upcoming events that could catalyze further performance [7][8] - Both companies have successfully integrated generative AI and deep learning into their advertising technologies, leading to significant revenue growth and improved operational efficiency [8]

Core Viewpoint - Palantir Technologies Inc is being recognized as a significant beneficiary of the recent "Big and Beautiful" tax bill led by Donald Trump, particularly in the context of AI and data analytics [1][4] Group 1: Financial Performance and Market Position - Palantir's stock price has surged over 400% in the past year, with analysts suggesting further upside potential, including target prices reaching up to $200 [1][4] - The company has received nearly 140 contracts worth over $1 million in the first quarter alone, including 31 contracts exceeding $10 million in defense and military sectors [3] - Palantir's stock is currently trading around $154, reflecting a year-to-date increase of over 100% driven by the AI software boom [1][7] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships and Government Contracts - The "Warp Speed for Warships" initiative is seen as a new catalyst for Palantir, utilizing its AI-driven Foundry platform to upgrade the U.S. Navy [3] - Palantir's collaboration with Accenture Federal Services aims to develop large-scale AI solutions for U.S. federal agencies [3][7] - The company has strengthened its long-term partnerships with the U.S. military and intelligence agencies, significantly contributing to its revenue growth [7][10] Group 3: AI Application and Future Outlook - Palantir's AI platform, launched in 2023, is being adopted by over 100 organizations globally, enhancing data analysis and decision-making capabilities [9] - The shift in focus from hardware to software in the tech investment landscape is benefiting Palantir's valuation and market position [5][6] - The emergence of AI agents is expected to drive significant productivity increases, positioning Palantir favorably in the evolving AI landscape [6][10] Group 4: Investor Sentiment and Market Dynamics - Palantir's investor base is likened to "Tesla-like believers," focusing more on the company's grand narrative rather than traditional valuation metrics [5] - The company is experiencing a surge in retail and institutional investor interest, contributing to its stock price momentum [5][4] - The inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 index is anticipated to bring substantial ETF inflows, further supporting Palantir's stock performance [4]