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南网科技(688248):储能业务实现平台级突破,放量在即
Haitong Securities International· 2025-07-17 09:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 42.88 [1][5][9] Core Insights - The company has successfully won a project for the Guangdong Power Grid's distributed energy storage system, marking a breakthrough in its energy storage business, which is expected to accelerate order releases and promote long-term growth [1][5][10] - Revenue for 2024 is projected to reach RMB 3.01 billion, representing an 18.8% year-on-year increase, while net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be RMB 365 million, up 29.7% year-on-year [5][9] - The company is entering a phase of significant order growth following the signing of contracts for energy storage projects, validating its technology and integration capabilities [5][10] Financial Summary - Total revenue is forecasted to grow from RMB 2.54 billion in 2023 to RMB 6.73 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28.4% [3][6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from RMB 281 million in 2023 to RMB 818 million in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 26.8% [3][6] - The company's gross profit margin is projected to improve from 28.4% in 2023 to 31.0% in 2027 [3][7] Revenue Breakdown - The company’s revenue is expected to be driven by various segments, including: - Testing and commissioning services, with revenue projected to grow from RMB 780.10 million in 2024 to RMB 1.65 billion in 2027 [7] - Smart distribution and power supply equipment, with revenue expected to rise from RMB 760.33 million in 2024 to RMB 2.08 billion in 2027 [7] - Energy storage system technology services, with a slight recovery expected, growing from RMB 593.40 million in 2024 to RMB 789.81 million in 2027 [7] Market Context - The digital transformation of the power sector is accelerating, supported by government policies aimed at enhancing energy infrastructure and promoting digitalization [5][10] - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for energy storage solutions as it enters the bulk procurement system for distribution network electrochemical storage equipment [5][10]