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家电行业周报:周专题:10月白电排产数据发布,空调排产小幅上调-20250927
HUAXI Securities· 2025-09-27 13:52
Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Views - The total production of the three major white goods (air conditioners, refrigerators, and washing machines) in October 2025 is 29.24 million units, representing a 9.9% decrease compared to the same period last year [12][13] - Air conditioner production has been slightly adjusted upwards, with domestic production for October to December 2025 expected to decrease by 12%, 8%, and 10% respectively compared to last year, an improvement from previous estimates of 23% and 18% [12] - Refrigerator domestic production is gradually declining, with expected decreases of 1%, 1%, and 5% for the same period, influenced by subsidy policy adjustments and high base effects [12] - Washing machine production is under pressure due to high base effects, low demand, and price wars, with expected decreases of 4%, 1%, and 3% for the same period [13] Summary by Sections 1. Production Data - The total production of air conditioners, refrigerators, and washing machines in October 2025 is 29.24 million units, down 9.9% year-on-year [12] - Air conditioner domestic production is expected to decrease by 12%, 8%, and 10% for October to December 2025, while export production is expected to decrease by 9.4%, 7%, and 1% [12] - Refrigerator domestic production is expected to decrease by 1%, 1%, and 5%, with export production decreasing by 4%, 1%, and 4% [12] - Washing machine domestic production is expected to decrease by 4%, 1%, and 3%, with export production decreasing by 1%, 2%, and 1% [13] 2. Company Announcements - Hisense Home Appliances plans to purchase a 26.0006% stake in Hisense (Guangdong) Kitchen and Bath Systems Co., Ltd. from Hisense Visual Technology Co., Ltd. for approximately RMB 94.29 million [16][17] - Hisense Home Appliances will sell a set of non-core manufacturing assets related to television structure components to Hisense Visual Technology to optimize asset structure and improve operational efficiency [17] 3. Data Tracking - Raw material prices show a mixed trend, with copper prices increasing by 2.2% and aluminum prices decreasing by 1.7% [18] - Shipping rates have decreased by 2.93% overall, with variations across different routes [23] - Real estate data indicates a decline in sales area, completion area, and new construction area by 4.70%, 17.0%, and 19.50% respectively for the first eight months of 2025 [25]