Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" with an expectation that the industry index will exceed the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [3][51]. Core Insights - The report indicates that after a decline, the price of broilers has stabilized while the price of chicks remains high and fluctuating. In September, the average price of broilers was 6.99 yuan/kg, down 3.22% year-on-year and 2% month-on-month [9][8]. - The report highlights a significant loss in broiler farming, with losses of 1 yuan per bird in September, and a loss of 0.41 yuan per chick in hatcheries, indicating a substantial decline in profitability [41][41]. - The demand for poultry meat is expected to improve in 2025 due to a recovery in consumption, despite current pressures on prices and demand [44]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - In September, the price of broilers experienced a decline followed by stabilization, with a fixed transaction period lasting over 20 days. The average price of chicks fluctuated between 3.03 and 3.31 yuan per chick during the month [8][8]. - The average price of chicken products was 8712.92 yuan/ton, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.77% [9]. Production Capacity - As of September 2025, the average stock of parent stock was 22.92 million sets, up 2.0% year-on-year, while the average stock of backup parent stock decreased by 1.7% [34][34]. - The average stock of grandparent stock was 1.36 million sets, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.7% [27][30]. Sales Performance - In September, the sales volume of chicken meat from major companies showed positive growth, with Shengnong's chicken sales increasing by 10.57% year-on-year and Xiantan's chicken sales rising by 23.64% [16][24]. - The sales revenue for the chicken segment in September was reported at 13 billion yuan for Shengnong, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.52% [12]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies like Shengnong Development, Yisheng Shares, and Hefeng Shares, anticipating improvements in profitability and valuation recovery in the poultry sector [44].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" with an expectation that the industry index will exceed the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [53]. Core Insights - The report indicates that the prices of broilers and chicks have reached a bottom and are beginning to rebound, although the losses in the breeding sector have widened [1][2]. - In July, the loss from broiler farming was 2.59 yuan per bird, and the loss from hatcheries was 0.23 yuan per bird, both showing an increase in loss compared to previous months [2][43]. - The report highlights a recovery in chick prices after hitting a low of 0.73 yuan per chick, with a subsequent increase of 0.10 yuan per chick over 15 days due to supply shortages and rising broiler prices [8][11]. Industry Overview - The total market capitalization of the industry is approximately 1,331.25 billion yuan, with 101 listed companies [3]. - The absolute performance of the industry over the past month is 3.5%, with a relative performance of 3.9% [4]. Price Trends - The average price of white feather broilers in July was 3.21 yuan per kg, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 12.30% and a month-on-month decrease of 8.55% [11]. - The average price of chicken products was 8535.88 yuan per ton, down 8.94% year-on-year and 3.04% month-on-month [11]. Sales Performance - In July, the sales volume of broiler meat for Shengnong Development was 15.87 million tons, up 22.83% year-on-year, while the sales volume for Xiantan Co. was 5.96 million tons, up 31.28% year-on-year [19][28]. - The sales revenue for Yisheng Co. in July was 1.01 billion yuan, down 46.39% year-on-year, while Shengnong Development's chicken meat sales revenue was 14.90 billion yuan, up 14.44% year-on-year [14][15]. Production Capacity - The average stock of grandparent stock chickens in July 2025 was 1.4 million sets, an increase of 7.3% year-on-year, while the stock of backup grandparent stock chickens decreased by 8.5% year-on-year [32][33]. - The average price of parent stock chicks in July was 47.66 yuan per set, with a slight decrease to 47.21 yuan per set in the latest week [35][37].