2024年，广东省农林牧渔总产值为9701.21亿元，位居全国前列，水果、蔬菜、肉类、水产品等多种产品产量位居全国前列。8月26日，广东省召开省加快推 进现代化产业体系建设第五场专题会议（岭南特色现代农业专场），组织有关政府部门、专家学者、各级人大代表和企业代表召开专题调研座谈会。 座谈会现场，中国工程院院士罗锡文、张偲，中国科学院院士刘耀光分别就发展农业机械化、做强海洋牧场和优化生物育种提出建议，为广东建设岭南特色 现代农业出谋划策。 "必须加强中小型农业机械制造" "加快推进广东农业机械化发展，必须加强中小型农业机械制造，明确广东农机制造的方向，采取多种渠道培育中小型农机企业。"座谈会上，中国工程院院 士、华南农业大学教授罗锡文表示，农业机械是推进农业机械化的重要支撑。 中国工程院院士、华南农业大学教授罗锡文。南都N视频记者朱唯信摄 在他看来，广东当前存在农机制造工业不强、农机制造企业少、产品档次不高、缺乏知名品牌等问题。对此，他建议加快推进广东农业机械化发展，必须加 强中小型农业机械制造。 他建议，首先要提高对农机制造重要性和紧迫性的认识。"广东有很好的农机制造基础，现在又有很强的机械制造能力，完全有能 ...

玉米现货持续回落 盘面底部震荡 银河农产品 研究员：刘大勇 期货从业证号：F03107370 投资咨询证号：Z0018389 目录 | 第一章 | 综合分析与交易策略 | 2 | | --- | --- | --- | | 第二章 | 核心逻辑分析 | 4 | | 第三章 | 周度数据追踪 | 11 | GALAXY FUTURES 1 227/82/4 228/210/172 181/181/181 87/87/87 文 字 色 基 础 色 辅 助 色 137/137/137 246/206/207 68/84/105 210/10/16 221/221/221 208/218/234 综合分析与交易策略 玉米：美玉米受降息预期影响及后期可能下调单产，美玉米12合约反弹到400美分/蒲以上。截止8月22日，玉米拍卖367万吨，成交130万吨，成交率36%。 进口玉米持续拍卖，09仓单仍较高，国内种植成本降低，新季玉米陆续上市，国内玉米现货继续回落。目前市场焦点依旧是新作，尤其是华北市场，市场预期华 北玉米10月大量上市大概率跌破2200元/吨。01玉米底部震荡，短期2150元/吨附近震荡。 淀粉：淀粉厂开机 ...

农林牧渔 2025 年 08 月 24 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 38% 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 农林牧渔 沪深300 相关研究报告 《猪价新一轮上行或逐步开启，非瘟 疫苗打开动保板块成长空间—行业周 报》-2025.8.17 《8 月 USDA 农产品报告上调全球玉 米、水稻产量，下调大豆、小麦产量 —行业点评报告》-2025.8.15 《出猪节奏导致 7 月猪价涨幅不及预 期，后市猪价不悲观—行业点评报 告》-2025.8.14 10 收储助推猪价见底回升，宠物食品出口及国内消费 高景气延续 饲料板块国内市场受益禽畜后周期，海外强劲需求支撑价格。推荐：海大集 团、新希望等。 消费升级叠加关税壁垒，宠物板块国货崛起逻辑持续强化。推荐：乖宝宠物、 中宠股份、佩蒂股份。 本周市场表现（8.18-8.22）:农业跑赢大盘 0.23 个百分点 ——行业周报 陈雪丽（分析师） 王高展（分析师） chenxueli@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520030001 wanggaozhan@kysec.cn 证书编号：S ...

Core Viewpoint - He Feng Co., Ltd. reported significant growth in revenue and profitability for the first half of 2025, driven by increased sales in feed and livestock, alongside lower raw material costs [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 17.407 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.27% [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 233 million yuan, marking a return to profitability compared to the previous year [1]. - The basic earnings per share were 0.27 yuan [1]. Group 2: Sales and Production - Total feed sales reached 2.1 million tons, up 16% year-on-year, with pig feed increasing by 23%, poultry feed by 13%, and ruminant feed by 17% [2]. - The company raised its market share in high-value channels, with sales of processed chicken products increasing by 40% [2]. Group 3: Livestock Operations - The company has a stable breeding stock, with a total of 58,000 sows as of June 2025, including 47,000 breeding sows [3]. - In the first half of 2025, the company sold a total of 840,000 pigs, including 740,000 fattening pigs and 100,000 piglets and breeding pigs [3]. Group 4: Capital Investment - The company plans to invest 70 million yuan in its subsidiary, Jinzhou Xinfeng, to enhance its operational capabilities and support business development [4].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [4][86] Core Views - In July, pig farming companies experienced a decrease in the number of pigs slaughtered, with a reduction in average weight continuing. The total number of pigs slaughtered by 18 companies was 15.96 million heads, a month-on-month decrease of 5.39% but a year-on-year increase of 24.48% [13][18] - The average price of pigs has shown a slight rebound, with the national average price on August 15 being 13.73 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.06 yuan/kg week-on-week. The average weight of pigs slaughtered also saw a slight increase [21][29] - The poultry sector is experiencing mixed trends, with broiler prices stabilizing after a previous increase, while chick prices remain high. The average price of white feather broilers was 7.20 yuan/kg on August 15, up 0.06 yuan/kg week-on-week [48][51] - The demand for eggs is expected to grow seasonally, with the average price of eggs at 6.40 yuan/kg from August 11 to August 14, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.17 yuan/kg [51] Summary by Sections Pig Farming - July saw a decrease in the number of pigs slaughtered, with a total of 15.96 million heads, a month-on-month decrease of 5.39% and a year-on-year increase of 24.48% [13][18] - The average weight of pigs slaughtered in July was 128.59 kg, with a slight month-on-month decrease of 0.01 kg [18][21] - The average selling price of pigs increased to 14.65 yuan/kg in July, a month-on-month increase of 1.90% [18][21] - The industry is under pressure from supply increases, with expectations of a 5.26% to 7.01% increase in slaughter numbers in August [43] Poultry Sector - Broiler prices have stabilized after previous increases, with the average price at 7.20 yuan/kg on August 15, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.06 yuan/kg [48][51] - Chick prices remain high, with the average price at 3.58 yuan per chick, up 0.45 yuan week-on-week [48] - The demand for eggs is expected to rise seasonally, with the average price at 6.40 yuan/kg, a week-on-week increase of 0.17 yuan/kg [51] Agricultural Products - Soybean meal prices have increased, with the DCE soybean meal contract closing at 3137 yuan/ton on August 15, a week-on-week increase of 43 yuan/ton [64] - The current market conditions are influenced by USDA reports and trade policies affecting supply and demand dynamics [64]

Core Viewpoints - The report maintains a positive outlook on the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry, with a focus on potential investment opportunities in the sector [1][3] - The market performance over the last 12 months shows a decline of 11% for the agriculture sector compared to a 4% decline in the CSI 300 index, indicating relative underperformance [2][10] Livestock Farming Data Tracking - Pig prices have been declining due to increased supply pressure, with the average price of live pigs at 13.74 CNY/kg as of August 14, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 2.00% [6][29] - The number of breeding sows showed a slight increase in July, with a month-on-month growth of 0.28% [20] - Profitability for self-bred pigs remains positive at 28.85 CNY per head, while purchased piglets show a loss of 157.05 CNY per head [35] Poultry Farming Data Tracking - The average price of white feather broilers was 7.20 CNY/kg as of August 15, with a week-on-week increase of 0.84% [36][39] - The ongoing avian influenza outbreaks in Europe and the U.S. are expected to benefit the white feather chicken industry by stabilizing prices [36] Animal Health Data Tracking - The demand for animal health products is expected to rebound, with significant year-on-year growth in vaccine issuance for various diseases, including a 76% increase for circovirus vaccines in June [45] - The development of African swine fever vaccines is progressing, with clinical trials expected to enhance market interest in the sector [45] Seed Industry Data Tracking - The average prices for wheat, soybean meal, and corn as of August 15 are 2438 CNY/ton, 3097 CNY/ton, and 2394 CNY/ton, respectively, with soybean meal prices increasing by 2.7% week-on-week [48] - The USDA's August report indicates a decrease in global corn and soybean stocks for the 2025/26 season compared to the previous year, which may impact pricing and availability [49][51] Pet Industry Data Tracking - Pet food exports totaled 4.999 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.4% [53] - Domestic sales of pet food are growing rapidly, with a combined growth rate of 5% across major e-commerce platforms in July [56] - Companies with strong domestic sales growth and supply chain advantages are expected to enhance their market share [56]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy-A" for Haida Group and "Buy-B" for Shengnong Development, Wen's Shares, and others [7]. Core Insights - The report suggests focusing on the recovery cycle of feed and the marginal improvement in breeding [1]. - The pig price has decreased week-on-week, with average prices in key provinces showing a decline [3]. - The feed industry is expected to see a bottoming out and recovery due to the decline in upstream raw material prices and improvements in the downstream breeding sector [3]. - The report highlights the potential growth of Haida Group's overseas feed business as a new performance growth point [3]. Industry Performance - For the week of August 4 to August 10, the CSI 300 index rose by 1.23%, while the agriculture sector increased by 2.52%, ranking 10th among sectors [2][24]. - The top-performing sub-industries included broiler chicken breeding, fruit and vegetable processing, and pig breeding [2][24]. Pig Breeding Sector - As of August 8, the average price of external three-way cross pigs in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan was 13.30, 15.39, and 13.83 yuan/kg, respectively, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 2.92%, 4.05%, and 3.82% [3][33]. - The average pork price was 20.41 yuan/kg, down 0.92% from the previous week [3][33]. - The self-breeding profit was 45.13 yuan/head, while the profit from purchasing piglets was -134.14 yuan/head [3][33]. Poultry Sector - As of August 8, the weekly price of white feather broiler chickens was 7.14 yuan/kg, up 4.54% week-on-week [3][47]. - The price of broiler chicks was 3.13 yuan/chick, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 21.79% [3][47]. - The profit from chicken breeding was 0.62 yuan/chick, while egg prices fell by 6.94% to 6.70 yuan/kg [3][47]. Feed Processing Sector - In June 2025, the total industrial feed production in China was 27.67 million tons, a month-on-month decrease of 0.1% but a year-on-year increase of 6.6% [54]. - The production of compound feed, concentrated feed, and additive premix feed saw year-on-year growth of 6.6%, 3.4%, and 8.7%, respectively [54]. Recommendations - The report recommends stocks such as Wen's Shares, Shengnong Group, Juxing Agriculture, Tangrenshen, and New Hope in the pig breeding sector due to expected profitability recovery starting from Q2 2024 [4]. - It also highlights the potential of domestic pet food brands like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Shares, which are expected to perform well in the upcoming years [5].

行 华福证券 农林牧渔 2025 年 08 月 11 日 业 研 究 农林牧渔 7 月三方能繁增幅普遍收窄，关注生猪产能变动 投资要点： 行 业 定 期 报 告 生猪养殖：7 月三方能繁增幅普遍收窄，关注生猪产能变动。（1）本 周猪价承压下行。月初集团场缩量拉涨带动猪价短期偏强；随后供应节奏 恢复、叠加消费弱势，猪价下跌。8 月 8 日全国生猪均价为 13.67 元/公斤， 周环比-0.42 元/公斤。（2）本周屠企宰量基本持平。近期猪价跌至低位， 屠企低价分割比例抬升，带动屠宰量低位回升；但消费淡季压制需求，增 量空间仍有限。本周样本屠企日均屠宰量为 13.71 万头，周环比+ 0.05%。 （3）本周生猪出栏均重继续下降。规模养殖集团延续降重出栏，同时夏季 高温天气持续，对猪只的采食量和生长速度造成一定影响，集团出栏均重 继续下滑。截至 8 月 7 日当周生猪出栏均重 127.80kg（周环比-0.18kg）， 其中集团场均重 123.54kg（周环比-0.25kg）、散户均重 142.45kg（周环比 +0.28kg）。短期来看，8 月钢联/卓创/涌益样本企业出栏预计环比 +5.26%/+7.01%/+ ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector [4] Core Views - The pig farming sector is expected to enter a phase of supply and demand balance in August, with a positive outlook for pig prices as the industry approaches a long-term profitability uptrend [3] - The report highlights the seasonal decrease in pig output, with a total of 15.27 million pigs slaughtered by 13 listed companies in July, reflecting a 6.15% decrease month-on-month but a 25.12% increase year-on-year [2][13] - The average price of live pigs has shown a downward trend, with the national average price on August 8 being 13.71 yuan/kg, a 4.33% decrease week-on-week [1][29] Summary by Sections Pig Farming Sector - The total number of pigs slaughtered in July was approximately 15.27 million, with a month-on-month decrease of 6.15% and a year-on-year increase of 25.12% [2][13] - The average price of live pigs in July was 14-15 yuan/kg, with a slight increase in the overall monthly average price [2][14] - The average weight of pigs at slaughter has continued to decline, with an average of 124.16 kg in July, down 0.9 kg from the previous month [17][29] Price Trends - The average price of piglets was 30.4 yuan/kg, down 1.65% week-on-week, while the average price of pork was 20.46 yuan/kg, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 26% [28][29] - The report notes that the price of white feather broiler chickens has increased to 7.14 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week rise of 4.54% [38] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the pig farming sector, such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and New Hope Liuhe, as they are expected to benefit from the anticipated recovery in pig prices [3] - It also suggests monitoring companies in the feed and animal health sectors, such as Haida Group and Reap Bio, due to the expected increase in demand driven by rising pig stocks [3]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Maintain Increase" [4] Core Views - The poultry prices have recently rebounded significantly, with white feather broiler chick prices rising to 3.1 CNY per chick, up 216.2% from the low in the second week of July [14][16] - The average price of broiler chickens is 7.14 CNY per kg, an increase of 14.4% from the previous low [14][16] - The average price of chicken products is 8.85 CNY per kg, up 5.7% from the low in July [14][16] - The supply side shows a notable decline in parent stock inventory, which fell to 21.385 million sets by the fourth week of July, down 6.8% from the first week of July [14] - Seasonal demand is expected to increase due to school stocking in September and October, with July marking the peak season for replenishment [14] - The sentiment in the market has been positively influenced by strict regulations on Thai poultry exports, which has led to a price increase of 500-1000 CNY per ton for chicken [14] Summary by Sections Swine Farming - The national price for lean pigs is 13.79 CNY per kg, down 2.3% from last week [16][17] - The current valuation remains relatively low, with a focus on leading companies with cost-effectiveness such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [16][17] Poultry Farming - The average price of white feather broiler chickens is 7.14 CNY per kg, up 4.5% from last week [16][32] - The average price of chicken products is 8.85 CNY per kg, an increase of 3.6% from last week [16][32] - The price of broiler chicks is 3.13 CNY per chick, up 21.8% from last week [16][29] - The yellow feather broiler market is adjusting its capacity, with a focus on seasonal price elasticity opportunities [16] Planting and Agricultural Products - The approval of genetically modified varieties is expected to lead to commercial sales, with potential growth in industry companies as prices and profit distribution become clearer [16] Breeding Support - The volatility in agricultural product prices is increasing, and leading feed companies are expected to replace smaller firms due to their advantages in procurement and scale [16]