证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 08 月 25 日 猪肉供过于求局面加剧，猪价继续下跌 [Table_Title2] 农林牧渔行业周报第 26 期 [Table_Summary] 本周观点: 种植产业链：8 月 19 日，农业农村部种植业管理司会同全国农 业技术推广服务中心在广西南宁召开全国秋粮作物中后期重大 病虫害防控现场会，组织主产省份观摩重大病虫害绿色防控作 业现场，邀请行业专家重点讲解水稻和玉米病虫害发生规律及 绿色防控技术，动员安排秋粮作物重大病虫害防控工作。会议 指出，秋粮产量占全年粮食产量的四分之三，要完成今年粮食 产量 1.4 万亿斤左右的目标任务，关键看秋粮。把好秋粮病虫 害防控关，对夺取全年粮食丰收意义重大。当前，受降雨偏多 等不利因素影响，秋粮重大病虫害发生重于上年，监测防控任 务仍较为艰巨。8—9 月份是秋粮产量形成的关键时期，也是病 虫害多发重发期。各地要高度重视，突出重点、分类指导、科 学防控，抓住主要作物、重点区域、重大病虫和关键环节，全 力以赴推进"虫口夺粮"保秋粮丰收行动。在粮食安全背景 下，转基因技术在提升单产方面具有革命性作用，我们判断 ...

Macro and Strategy - The report highlights a significant increase in government debt financing, with a net financing of 200.9 billion in week 33 and 560.7 billion in week 34, totaling 9.8 trillion, exceeding last year's figure by 4.6 trillion [8][9] - The broad deficit has reached 8.0 trillion, with a progress rate of 67.2% as of week 33 [8] Company and Industry Analysis Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388.HK) - The company reported a revenue of 14.076 billion HKD for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 32.5%, and a net profit of 8.519 billion HKD, up 39.1% [14][15] - The average daily trading volume (ADT) for H1 2025 was 222.8 billion HKD, reflecting a growth of 122.1% [15] - The EBITDA margin reached 77.7%, indicating significant operational efficiency [16] AIA Group (01299.HK) - AIA achieved a post-tax operating profit of 3.609 billion USD for H1 2025, marking a 12% increase per share [18][19] - The new business value reached 2.838 billion USD, a 14% increase year-on-year, with notable growth in markets like Thailand [19][20] - The company returned 3.71 billion USD to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks, with a dividend per share of 0.49 HKD, up 10% [20] WanGuo Gold Group (03939.HK) - The company reported a revenue of approximately 1.24 billion CNY for H1 2025, a 33.7% increase, and a net profit of about 601 million CNY, up 136.3% [21][22] - The gold production from the Solomon Islands increased by 29.7%, driven by improved processing and recovery rates [22] NEXTEV (01316.HK) - NEXTEV's revenue for H1 2025 was 2.242 billion USD, a 7% increase, with a net profit of 63 million USD, reflecting a 304% year-on-year growth [24][25] - The company is focusing on electric power steering systems, with a projected market growth from 38 billion CNY to 48 billion CNY by 2028 [25][26] Qifeng Co., Ltd. (603997.SH) - The company reported a total revenue of 10.52 billion CNY for H1 2025, a decrease of 4.39%, but a net profit increase of 189.51% [27][28] - The seating business saw a doubling in revenue, indicating strong demand and operational improvements [28][29] Yanjinpuzi (002847.SZ) - The company achieved a total revenue of 2.94 billion CNY for H1 2025, a 19.6% increase, with a net profit of 370 million CNY, up 16.7% [30][31] - The konjac product line saw a revenue increase of 155.1%, significantly contributing to overall growth [31][32] Rabbit Baby (002043.SZ) - The company reported a revenue of 3.63 billion CNY for H1 2025, a decrease of 7.01%, but a net profit increase of 9.71% [35][36] - The company continues to optimize its product structure and maintain a high dividend payout ratio of 86.7% [36][37] Beixin Building Materials (000786.SZ) - The company achieved a revenue of 13.56 billion CNY for H1 2025, a slight decrease of 0.29%, with a net profit of 1.93 billion CNY, down 12.8% [38][39]

Group 1: Macroeconomic Overview - National general public budget revenue increased by 0.1% year-on-year in the first seven months of 2025, with a notable increase of 2.6% in July, marking the highest monthly growth of the year [3] - National general public budget expenditure grew by 3.4% year-on-year in the same period, with significant contributions from health and social security sectors [3] - Government fund budget revenue decreased by 0.7% year-on-year, indicating ongoing impacts from the real estate market adjustments [4] Group 2: Anfu Technology - Anfu Technology is expected to acquire a 43% stake in Nanfu Battery by 2026, significantly enhancing its earnings [8] - The restructuring strategy aims to deepen control over Nanfu Battery, with projected net profit of no less than 914 million yuan for 2025 [9] - The alkaline battery market is projected to grow, driven by trends such as smart home adoption and outdoor activities, with global retail sales expected to exceed $12 billion by 2025 [9][10] Group 3: Lenovo Group - Lenovo Group reported a strong start to FY2026, with total revenue reaching $18.8 billion, a 22% year-on-year increase [11] - The company’s three main business segments showed robust growth, with the IDG segment achieving $13.5 billion in revenue, up 18% [12] - Lenovo's AI strategy is advancing, with significant developments in both personal and enterprise AI solutions [12][13] Group 4: Ruoyuchen - Ruoyuchen's revenue for H1 2025 exceeded expectations, driven by a 242% year-on-year increase in self-owned brand sales [14] - The company is expected to maintain high growth rates, with EPS projections of 0.81, 1.20, and 1.62 yuan for 2025-2027 [15] - The self-owned brand "Zhanjia" has shown strong performance, contributing significantly to overall revenue growth [16] Group 5: Nuo Pin - Nuo Pin is positioned as a leader in high-end blueberry production, with a target EPS of 0.86, 1.26, and 1.56 yuan for 2025-2027 [18] - The company benefits from high barriers to entry in blueberry cultivation, leveraging unique climatic conditions in Yunnan [19] - Nuo Pin's sales channels are expanding, with a significant increase in fresh food revenue from 1 billion to 2.14 billion yuan from 2021 to 2024 [20]

庄建球在致辞中表示，"郑州价格"正以强劲动能服务全球产业链、供应链稳定，郑州也逐步成为链接国 内外大宗商品市场的重要枢纽。郑州市始终坚持以建设金融强市和国家区域性现代金融中心为目标，努 力构建和完善适应新发展阶段的现代金融服务体系，为国家中心城市现代化建设提供强有力的金融服务 保障。未来，郑州将持续加强与郑商所合作，支持郑商所推动更多的期货、期权品种上市，进一步加快 国际化进程，提高"郑州价格"的国际影响力，让郑州平台更好服务全球资源配置。 熊军表示，在以中国式现代化全面推进中华民族伟大复兴的时代征程上，郑商所将坚守监管主责主业， 持续优化市场供给，更好发挥期货市场功能，积极服务中国式现代化和金融强国建设。一是持续丰富品 种工具供给，夯实服务根基。紧扣国家战略和实体发展需要，稳步推进葵花籽油期货研发注册，有序推 动钢坯、水泥、鸡肉等品种研发，探索推广更多短期期权。结合自身在能化、盐化等领域的品种禀赋， 围绕已有优势产业链上下游、左右端扩展，持续丰富衍生工具类型。深化储备品种研究，持续推进符合 实体经济需求的衍生品研发。二是提升市场运行与服务质效，深化产业赋能。坚持"一品一策"优化已上 市品种合约及业务规则，" ...

Core Viewpoint - The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) is committed to advancing the research and registration of sunflower seed oil futures, while also promoting the development of futures for steel billets, cement, and chicken, and exploring the introduction of more short-term options [1] Group 1 - The ZCE plans to enhance its derivative tools by leveraging its strengths in energy and salt chemical sectors, focusing on the entire industrial chain to meet the needs of the real economy [1] - The exchange will implement tailored strategies for individual products and enterprises to optimize existing contracts and business rules, thereby increasing participation from industrial clients [1] - Initiatives such as "insurance + futures" and "sugar industry worry-free" projects will be advanced, along with improvements to the "commercial storage worry-free" business model [1] Group 2 - The ZCE aims to deepen the development of international products, including the implementation of bonded delivery for PTA, and plans to expand the range of tradable products under QFI [1] - The exchange seeks to achieve overall openness of the polyester futures sector and explore new cross-border cooperation opportunities, steadily promoting collaboration with overseas futures exchanges [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company's cost advantages have been further solidified, with the consolidation of Sun Valley significantly enhancing performance [2] - The overall revenue for H1 2025 reached 8.856 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.2%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders surged to 910 million yuan, reflecting a 792% increase, primarily due to substantial non-recurring gains from the Sun Valley consolidation [1][2] - The company has completed the controlling merger with Sun Valley, which is expected to fully contribute to performance in the second half of the year and continue to leverage industrial synergies in the future [2] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's gross margin increased by 3 percentage points to 11.97%, while the net profit margin rose by 9 percentage points to 10.39% [2] - The company reported a total revenue of 4.742 billion yuan in Q2 2025, with a net profit of 763 million yuan, marking a 365% increase year-on-year [1][2] - The company’s chicken and meat product revenues for H1 2025 were 4.674 billion yuan and 3.693 billion yuan, respectively, with chicken revenue declining by 8% due to market conditions, while processed meat products saw a 19% increase [3] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to continue enhancing its core competitive advantages through new breed research and channel optimization, with adjusted EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 being 1.12, 1.36, and 1.59 yuan, respectively [4] - The projected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 7.2%, 9.3%, and 7.5%, with net profit growth rates of 91.9%, 21.3%, and 17.6% for the same period [10][11]

证券研究报告 | 半年报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 08 19 年 月 日 圣农发展（002299.SZ） 上下游赋能，业绩逆势高增 公司公告 2025 年半年度报告。2025 年上半年公司实现收入 88.56 亿元， 同比增加 0.22%；归母净利润 9.1 亿元，同比增加 791.93%；扣非后归母 净利润 3.76 亿元，同比增加 305.44%。2025 年第二季度公司实现收入 47.42 亿元，同比增加 2.59%；归母净利润 7.63 亿元，同比增长 365.12%； 扣非归母净利润 2.05 亿元，同比增长 37.41%。 二季度溢价继续提升，盈利能力持续改善。2025 上半年公司销售鸡肉 66.3 万吨，同比增长 2.3%；销售均价 9696 元/吨，同比下跌 2.9%；第二季度 公司销售鸡肉 36.1 万吨，同比增长 1.6%；销售均价 9642 元/吨，同比下 跌 2%，2025 年第二季度行业鸡肉价格表现低迷，一方面公司依托高于行 业的均价，缓冲行业下行带来的压力，2025Q2 公司鸡肉均价较行业溢价 814 元/吨，溢价水平较一季度环比提升 184 元/吨，持续 3 个季 ...

Group 1 - The core conclusion of the report on Lens Technology (300433.SZ) indicates a new growth phase driven by multiple engines in the consumer electronics sector, with projected revenues of CNY 921.8 billion, CNY 1155.1 billion, and CNY 1377.9 billion for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 31.9%, 25.3%, and 19.3% respectively, and net profits of CNY 52.7 billion, CNY 65.0 billion, and CNY 78.3 billion, with year-on-year growth of 45.3%, 23.5%, and 20.4% [1][8] - The report highlights Lens Technology's deep moat in glass cover production, its strategic expansion into metal structural components, and its positioning in emerging markets such as AI hardware and smart automotive applications, which are expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth [9][8] - The report on Longda Co., Ltd. (688231.SH) emphasizes its focus on high-temperature alloys and the increasing demand from the aerospace and gas turbine sectors, projecting revenues of CNY 17.6 billion, CNY 22.1 billion, and CNY 27.4 billion for 2025-2027, with net profits of CNY 1.2 billion, CNY 1.7 billion, and CNY 2.5 billion, reflecting growth rates of 74%, 51%, and 42% respectively [11][12] Group 2 - The report on Shengnong Development (002299.SZ) indicates a significant increase in net profit by 791.93% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, with revenues of CNY 88.56 billion and net profits of CNY 9.10 billion, despite a decline in chicken prices affecting revenue growth [14][15] - The report notes that Shengnong Development has improved its operational efficiency through breeding and cost reduction strategies, leading to a notable increase in profit margins, with a gross margin of 11.97% for the first half of 2025, up 2.73 percentage points year-on-year [15][16] - The report on Best (300580.SZ) highlights steady growth in its core turbocharger components business and successful expansion into new energy vehicle parts, with projected revenues of CNY 16.49 billion, CNY 20.20 billion, and CNY 23.74 billion for 2025-2027, and net profits of CNY 3.51 billion, CNY 4.19 billion, and CNY 5.02 billion [19][20]

Group 1 - The company achieved a sales revenue of 2.129 billion yuan in July 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.02% and a month-on-month increase of 26.21% [1] - The poultry breeding and processing segment generated chicken sales revenue of 1.490 billion yuan, up 14.44% year-on-year and 27.35% month-on-month [1] - The deep-processed meat products segment reported sales revenue of 983 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 38.48% and a month-on-month increase of 19.74% [1] Group 2 - The sales volume for the poultry breeding and processing segment reached 158,700 tons in July, marking a year-on-year increase of 22.88% and a month-on-month increase of 28.40% [1] - The deep-processed meat products segment sold 51,600 tons, which is a 56.39% increase year-on-year and a 23.70% increase month-on-month [1] - The company’s sales strategy has shown significant results, with a strong growth in high-value channels, particularly a more than 30% increase in C-end retail channel revenue and over 100% growth in export channel revenue [2] Group 3 - The company has optimized its product structure, with an increasing proportion of deep-processed products contributing to overall revenue growth [2] - The new self-developed breeding chicken "Shengze 901Plus" has been fully replaced, leading to a significant reduction in comprehensive meat production costs compared to the same period in 2024 [2] - The company continues to enhance its operational management efficiency, further solidifying its profit foundation [2]

Group 1 - The trade war between the US and China, initiated in 2018, has escalated significantly, particularly after Trump's second term began in 2025, with tariffs on Chinese goods reaching as high as 104% [2][3] - The US aimed to reduce trade deficits and bring manufacturing back to the US, but the high tariffs have led to increased costs for American consumers and businesses [2][4] - China's response has been pragmatic, diversifying its export markets and achieving a trade surplus of $586 billion in the first half of the year [3][5] Group 2 - The International Monetary Fund raised China's 2025 economic growth forecast to 4.8%, while the US GDP growth was only 2.0% in the same period, indicating a stark contrast in economic performance [3][4] - Trump's tariffs have not only failed to balance trade but have also led to rising costs for US companies, prompting layoffs and inflationary pressures [4][7] - The global trade landscape is shifting as countries seek to reduce dependence on the US market, with increased cooperation among Asian and European economies [7][11] Group 3 - The trade war has been characterized by a series of tariff increases, with the latest round affecting 69 trade partners, leading to widespread price increases in the US [4][9] - Analysts suggest that the trade war has ultimately benefited China, as it has successfully opened new markets and maintained economic growth, while the US faces increasing internal dissent regarding the long-term impacts of the tariffs [5][9] - The narrative surrounding the trade war has shifted, with many now viewing it as a self-defeating strategy for the US, as evidenced by rising consumer prices and economic stagnation [9][11]