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戴利强化就业市场担忧 白银td空头态势强劲
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-10 07:14
旧金山联储主席玛丽·戴利(Mary Daly)在10月9日的一次活动中进一步强化了就业市场的担忧。她表示,美国经济正 在放缓,消费者储蓄逐渐耗尽,高物价水平叠加限制性货币政策使得就业市场疲软的迹象愈发明显。 戴利认为,9月降息25个基点是必要之举,旨在为就业市场提供缓冲,同时继续对通胀施加下行压力。她指出,当前的 货币政策仍然"适度限制性",但美联储需要通过进一步降息进行"风险管理",以确保通胀和就业目标实现更完美的平 衡。 戴利还提到,人工智能(AI)可能对经济产生深远影响,但其变革效应可能需要数十年才能完全显现。她观察到,由 于经济放缓,企业对招聘持谨慎态度,倾向于利用AI技术填补劳动力缺口。这一趋势可能在短期内减轻通胀压力,但 也为就业市场带来了新的不确定性。 【最新白银td行情解析】 今日周五(10月10日)亚盘时段,白银td目前交投于11083一线下方,今日开盘于11230元/千克,截至发稿,白银td暂报 10970元/千克,下跌1.66%,最高触及11435元/千克,最低下探10866元/千克,目前来看,白银td盘内短线偏向看跌走 势。 【要闻速递】 日图来看白银t+d走势持续下跌,目前价格跌超1 ...
白银td走势小幅上涨 戴利对降息进程“放鸽”
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-26 03:16
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the support from Mary Daly, President of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, for the recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, indicating potential further cuts in the future [2] - Daly emphasizes the need to balance inflation control and labor market support, suggesting that while inflation is still above the Fed's target, it is approaching it [2] - The silver T+D market experienced fluctuations, with a slight increase in price, closing at 10,354 yuan/kg, reflecting the impact of monetary policy on commodity prices [1][3] Group 2 - The silver T+D market showed a trading range with resistance levels noted between 10,400 and 11,000 yuan/kg, while support levels were identified between 9,900 and 10,278 yuan/kg [3] - Daly's comments suggest that the U.S. economy does not currently face a recession, and she denies the possibility of a "stagflation" scenario, indicating a more stable economic outlook [2] - The overall sentiment in the silver market is influenced by the high borrowing costs, which are expected to continue exerting downward pressure on inflation [2]
关税和通胀前景仍存不确定性 白银td多头态势仍强势
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-23 07:11
Group 1 - Silver T+D is currently trading above 10,265, with a recent price of 10,305, reflecting a 1.72% increase, and has seen a high of 10,311 and a low of 10,168 during the session [1] - The silver T+D market is showing a short-term oscillating trend, indicating potential volatility in pricing [1][4] Group 2 - Federal Reserve officials have highlighted the potential impact of tariffs on inflation, with one official noting that while the immediate effects of tariffs on prices have been less than expected, other factors are contributing to rising inflation [3] - The officials suggest that the price effects of tariffs may dissipate in the next two to three quarters, but there is a need to remain vigilant about second-round effects and persistent inflation threats [3] - Another official indicated that the cost increases driven by tariffs have been milder than initially predicted, partly due to companies employing various strategies to mitigate or delay price increases to consumers [3]
初请失业金人数大幅下降白银td走涨
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-19 04:20
Group 1 - Silver T+D trading is currently above 9901, with an opening at 9853 and a current price of 9934, reflecting a 1.06% increase [1] - The highest price reached was 9944, while the lowest was 9805, indicating a short-term oscillating trend in the silver market [1] - The daily chart shows continued upward oscillation in silver T+D prices, with significant resistance levels at 9976-10000 and support levels at 9700-9805 [4] Group 2 - The initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending September 13 were recorded at 231,000, lower than the market expectation of 240,000 and down from the previous week's 263,000 [3] - This marks the largest decline in initial jobless claims in nearly four years, suggesting that companies are inclined to retain existing employees despite economic uncertainties [3] - However, signs of labor market weakness are emerging, with a significant slowdown in job growth and a cooling in both supply and demand for labor [3] Group 3 - A technical error led to a significant underestimation of jobless claims in North Carolina by over 19,000, with the correct figure expected to be around 19,355 instead of the reported 205 [4] - Following the correction, it is anticipated that the national continuing jobless claims will increase by approximately 20,000, maintaining levels consistent with previous weeks [4]
美联储年内或大降息 白银td行情下方震荡
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-17 07:19
Group 1 - Silver T+D is currently trading below 9922, with a recent drop of 1.77% from an opening price of 10111 yuan/kg, indicating a bearish short-term trend [1] - The highest price reached was 10124 yuan/kg, while the lowest was also 10124 yuan/kg, suggesting volatility within a narrow range [1] - The daily chart shows a continued downward trend for silver T+D, with resistance levels at 10124-11000 and support levels at 9600-9872 [5] Group 2 - Bond traders expect at least one 50 basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve in the remaining three policy meetings of the year, with a general consensus for a 25 basis point cut announcement on Wednesday [3] - There is a significant increase in demand for options linked to the SOFR, indicating that traders are preparing for potential aggressive easing measures from the Fed due to a weakening labor market [3] - Record large trades in the federal funds futures market, with 84,000 contracts traded, reflect investor caution regarding a possible unexpected 50 basis point cut in the upcoming meeting [3] Group 3 - The ongoing pressure from the White House, including criticism from President Trump regarding the Fed's actions, is influencing traders to adopt more dovish positions [4] - The participation of new Fed governor Stephen Moore, a former economic advisor to Trump, in the upcoming meeting may also impact decision-making [4]
点阵图将揭示降息预测白银td走跌
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-17 03:27
Group 1 - The current trading price of silver TD is around 9887 yuan per kilogram, showing a decline of 1.76% from the opening price of 10111 yuan per kilogram [1] - The highest price reached today was 10124 yuan per kilogram, while the lowest was 9872 yuan per kilogram, indicating a bearish short-term trend in silver TD [1][5] Group 2 - The FOMC's internal divisions are likely to be reflected in the "dot plot," which shows Federal Reserve officials' predictions for future benchmark interest rates [3] - The dot plot may reveal whether officials are inclined to continue rate cuts in the upcoming meetings in October and December, with a first-time release of 2026 rate forecasts [3][4] - Market expectations are pricing in significant easing, with investors anticipating a total of 75 basis points cut this year and another 75 basis points in 2026 [3] - The anticipated rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are expected to have a significant negative impact on the US dollar, reducing its attractiveness to international capital [3][4]
以色列空袭致震撼惨剧白银td震荡
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-26 05:23
Group 1: Silver Market Analysis - Silver TD is currently trading below 9331, with an opening price of 9345 per kilogram and a current price of 9326, reflecting a 0.14% increase [1] - The highest price reached today was 9348, while the lowest was 9285, indicating a short-term oscillating trend in the silver market [1][5] - The daily chart shows that silver T+D started with a decline but then rebounded, with resistance levels at 9348-9450 and support levels at 9100-9285 [5] Group 2: Gaza Conflict and Media Impact - An airstrike by the Israeli military on Nasser Hospital in southern Gaza resulted in at least 20 deaths, including five journalists, shocking the international community [3] - The first airstrike targeted a building near the hospital roof, where a Reuters journalist was live reporting, leading to the death of Hussam al-Masri [3][4] - A subsequent airstrike targeted rescue workers and journalists at the scene, resulting in additional casualties, including four more journalists from various media outlets [4]
鲍威尔“鸽声”引白银td震荡上涨
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-25 03:37
Group 1 - Silver T+D is currently trading above 9333, with an opening price of 9170 and a current price of 9341, reflecting a 1.67% increase [1] - The highest price reached was 9381, while the lowest was 9122, indicating a bullish short-term trend in the silver market [1][5] Group 2 - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium reinforced market expectations for a rate cut in September, with a current pricing of 85% likelihood for a rate cut during the September 16-17 meeting [3] - Powell acknowledged increasing risks in the labor market and persistent inflation pressures, indicating a cautious approach to future monetary policy adjustments [3][4] - Following a weak July employment report, traders have raised expectations for a September rate cut, with labor market data expected to be a key driver for future Fed policy [4]
白银td行情震荡上涨 全球贸易环境呈不确定性
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-25 03:11
Group 1 - The first batch of tariff measures has been in effect for six months, leading to a significant increase in the actual tariff rate in the U.S. from approximately 2.5% to nearly 20% [2] - Seven countries and regions are currently negotiating trade arrangements with the U.S., accounting for over a quarter of U.S. imports, with tariff rates fluctuating between 15% and 20% [2] - The U.S. has agreed to differentiated tariff reductions based on Section 232 reviews, with the U.K. receiving special treatment in the steel and aluminum sectors, maintaining a 25% tariff while others face 50% [2] Group 2 - The EU has announced a 15% tariff on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors, which is expected to be lower than the final tariff levels for these industries [3] - The EU's adjustments are significant as it is projected to account for 62% of U.S. imports in the pharmaceutical sector by 2024 [3] - The trade agreements with the U.S. involve over a trillion dollars in investment intentions across various sectors, although specific details remain unclear [3] Group 3 - The silver T+D market showed a fluctuating upward trend, closing at 9183 yuan/kg, with a daily high of 9224 yuan/kg and a low of 9124 yuan/kg [1][4] - Resistance levels for silver T+D are noted at 9224-9300, while support levels are identified at 9000-9124 [4]
杰克逊霍尔会议敞开降息大门 白银td行情偏空
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-20 07:13
Group 1 - Silver T+D is currently trading below 9054, with a recent opening at 9181 yuan/kg and a current price of 9010 yuan/kg, reflecting a decline of 1.77% [1] - The highest price reached was 9205 yuan/kg, while the lowest was 9008 yuan/kg, indicating a bearish short-term trend in silver T+D [1][4] Group 2 - Traders are significantly betting on a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next month, with a notable increase in open contracts for a 50 basis point cut [3] - Recent inflation data in the U.S. exceeded expectations, leading some traders to adjust their rate cut predictions, although confidence remains for a cut next month [3] - U.S. Treasury yields have declined after three days of selling, with market participants preparing for a key speech from Fed Chair Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium [3]