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金诚信:矿产品产量爆发式增长,资源弹性仍在提升-20250428
Dongxing Securities· 2025-04-28 12:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company has experienced explosive growth in mineral product output, with revenue reaching 9.942 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 34.37%, and a net profit of 1.584 billion yuan, up 53.59% [1][12] - The mining service business is stable, while the mining resource development business is rapidly expanding, indicating that the company's business scale and profitability are entering an accelerated growth phase [1][2] Summary by Sections Mining Service Business - In 2024, the company achieved mining service revenue of 6.544 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.96%, accounting for 65.8% of total revenue [2] - The mining service profit was 1.75 billion yuan, down 8% from the previous year, with a gross margin of 26.75% [2] - The company undertook 35 large-scale mining engineering and mining operation management projects, with a total excavation volume of 4.1717 million cubic meters, down 9%, and a supply mining volume of 41.4918 million tons, up 5.5% [2] Mining Resource Development Business - The mining resource development business generated revenue of 3.209 billion yuan in 2024, a staggering increase of 412.85%, accounting for 32.3% of total revenue [3] - This segment contributed a gross profit of 1.356 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 43.3% [3] - The company acquired 80% of the Lubambe copper mine, which is undergoing technical upgrades to improve capacity utilization [3] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company expects revenues of 12.877 billion yuan, 14.813 billion yuan, and 16.850 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.347 billion yuan, 2.825 billion yuan, and 3.286 billion yuan [12][13] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 3.76 yuan, 4.53 yuan, and 5.27 yuan for the same years, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 10.19, 8.47, and 7.28 [12][13]
金诚信(603979):矿产品产量爆发式增长,资源弹性仍在提升
Dongxing Securities· 2025-04-28 10:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company has experienced explosive growth in mineral product output, with revenue reaching 9.942 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 34.37%, and a net profit of 1.584 billion yuan, up 53.59% [1][12] - The mining service business remains stable, while the mining resource development business has shown rapid growth, with revenue from this segment increasing by 412.85% year-on-year [2][3] - The company is expected to benefit from ongoing capital expenditure in the mining industry and the gradual release of its own mining projects, enhancing its performance and valuation elasticity [12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 9.942 billion yuan, a 34.37% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.584 billion yuan, reflecting a 53.59% growth [1][12] - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 2.811 billion yuan, up 42.49% year-on-year, and a net profit of 422 million yuan, a 54.10% increase [1] Mining Service Business - The mining service business generated revenue of 6.544 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.96% year-on-year, accounting for 65.8% of total revenue [2] - The company undertook 35 large-scale mining engineering and operation management projects, with a total contract amount of approximately 11.5 billion yuan signed in 2024 [2] Mining Resource Development - The mining resource development segment saw revenue of 3.209 billion yuan in 2024, a significant increase of 412.85% year-on-year, contributing a gross profit of 1.356 billion yuan [3] - The company acquired an 80% stake in the Lubambe copper mine, which is expected to enhance production capacity and improve profitability over time [3][10] Future Outlook - The company forecasts operating revenues of 12.877 billion yuan, 14.813 billion yuan, and 16.850 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.347 billion yuan, 2.825 billion yuan, and 3.287 billion yuan [12][13] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 3.76 yuan, 4.53 yuan, and 5.27 yuan, respectively [12][13]