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创新如何驱动经济增长?2025诺贝尔经济学奖的启示
高毅资产管理· 2025-10-17 07:04
Core Insights - The article discusses the paradox of increasing competition leading to "involution" in various industries, despite advancements in technology and innovation [5][6]. - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt highlights the importance of innovation in driving economic growth and addresses the challenges faced by the Chinese economy [6]. Group 1: Mokyr's Insights - Mokyr emphasizes that an innovation ecosystem, consisting of knowledge enlightenment and institutional support, is crucial to countering involution [9][11]. - Historical examples, such as the "Bacon Plan" in the 17th century, illustrate how the dissemination of useful knowledge can spur technological breakthroughs, paralleling China's recent shift towards investing in human capital [10]. - The lack of knowledge dissemination and skill accumulation in certain Chinese industries contributes to low-level repetitive competition, while successful clusters like Zhongguancun and Hangzhou demonstrate the benefits of a supportive innovation ecosystem [10]. Group 2: Aghion and Howitt's Contributions - Aghion and Howitt propose a "U-shaped relationship" between competition and innovation, suggesting that moderate competition can stimulate innovation, while excessive competition can stifle it [12]. - The challenges faced by the Chinese electric vehicle industry exemplify this theory, where excessive price competition has led to reduced R&D investment and innovation [12][13]. - Their research indicates that non-frontier firms are more susceptible to losing motivation in highly competitive environments, highlighting the need for policy interventions to encourage technological advancement [13]. Group 3: Creative Destruction - Aghion and Howitt's "creative destruction" theory posits that innovation must replace outdated capacities to escape the cycle of involution, aligning with the central government's advocacy for new productive forces [14][15]. - The disparity between the largest U.S. companies, which are predominantly tech innovators, and China's A-share market, which lacks significant tech-driven firms, underscores the need for a robust creative destruction mechanism [15]. - Policies should focus on fostering an innovation ecosystem rather than engaging in subsidy competitions, ensuring that subpar capacities exit the market while promoting high-quality competition [15]. Group 4: Conclusion - The insights from the 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences suggest that countering involution requires competition to return to a reasonable range to stimulate innovation [16]. - Key strategies include establishing supportive institutions, regulating competition to maintain optimal levels, and encouraging deep technological and model innovation to transition from stagnant markets to new growth opportunities [16][17].
反内卷:让竞争“恰到好处”,让创新“无忧无虑”
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-10-14 15:47
Group 1 - The core argument emphasizes the importance of understanding the relationship between competition, innovation, and economic growth, particularly in the context of China's current economic challenges [1][3] - The concept of "creative destruction" and the non-linear relationship between competition and innovation highlight that competition can be beneficial or detrimental depending on the economic stage and intensity of competition [1][2] - The article suggests that excessive competition can lead to a "Malthusian trap," where industries become trapped in low-quality competition and homogeneous offerings [2] Group 2 - The need for breakthrough innovations is presented as a remedy for the anxiety caused by low-quality competition, with the Nobel Prize serving as a recognition of this necessity [3] - Innovation is described as a luxury due to its stringent requirements for institutional environments, which are essential for fostering effective technological advancements [4] - The article argues that traditional industries and some emerging sectors are caught in a vicious cycle of sacrificing profits for scale, which is detrimental to long-term growth [4] Group 3 - Innovation is portrayed as a long-term strategy that creates demand through technological, knowledge, and institutional advancements, which in turn fosters new markets [5] - The article emphasizes that aligning supply and demand effectively is crucial for enhancing innovation in the current Chinese context [5] - The narrative concludes that growth should be viewed as a series of competitive challenges that connect continuous innovation efforts [5]
【西街观察】反内卷:让竞争“恰到好处”,让创新“无忧无虑”
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-10-14 14:16
Core Insights - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economics highlights the challenges of competition and innovation in the context of China's economic environment, emphasizing the need for a balanced understanding of these concepts [1][3]. Group 1: Competition and Innovation Dynamics - Competition can lead to excessive internal strife, resulting in a "Malthusian trap" characterized by low-level homogenized competition [2]. - The relationship between competition and innovation is not linear; it varies based on the intensity of competition and the economic development stage [1][2]. - In mature and leading economies, competition may not always be beneficial, as it can lead to diminishing returns and a focus on price wars [1]. Group 2: Innovation as a Solution - Breakthrough innovation is essential to combat the anxiety caused by low-quality competition, positioning innovation as a remedy for current economic challenges [3]. - The process of innovation is demanding, requiring a robust institutional environment that fosters knowledge and legal frameworks to support technological advancements [4]. - Innovation is viewed as a long-term strategy that creates new demand and markets, essential for adapting supply and demand effectively in the current Chinese context [5].
2025诺贝尔经济学奖,告诉了中国什么?|宏观经济
清华金融评论· 2025-10-14 09:39
Core Insights - The article discusses the significance of the 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to understanding how innovation drives economic growth, particularly in the context of China's current economic challenges [5][6]. Group 1: Innovation Ecosystem - Mokyr's core contribution highlights that an innovation ecosystem, composed of knowledge enlightenment and institutional guarantees, is essential to combat the issue of "involution" in China, which is characterized by ineffective competition and insufficient technological advancement [7][8]. - The historical context provided by Mokyr indicates that the "Bacon Plan" in the 17th century marked a pivotal moment for the role of knowledge in economic growth, emphasizing the importance of knowledge dissemination for technological breakthroughs [7][8]. - The emergence of innovation clusters, such as those in Beijing and Hangzhou, supports Mokyr's assertion that a collaborative environment among academia, capital markets, and government services fosters innovation [8]. Group 2: Competition and Innovation - Aghion and Howitt's theory of the "inverted U-shape relationship" between competition and innovation suggests that there is an optimal level of competition that stimulates innovation, while excessive competition can stifle it [10][11]. - The impact of this theory is evident in China's electric vehicle industry, where excessive competition has led to price wars that diminish profits and reduce R&D investments, highlighting the need for a balanced competitive environment [10][11]. - The commitment of 17 car manufacturers to a 60-day payment term is seen as a positive step towards restoring optimal competition in the industry [10]. Group 3: Creative Destruction - Aghion and Howitt's concept of "creative destruction" is presented as a necessary pathway for China to transition from "stock competition" to "incremental innovation," emphasizing the need to eliminate outdated capacities and explore new markets [12][13]. - The article contrasts the dominance of technology-driven companies in the U.S. with the prevalence of traditional firms in China's stock market, suggesting that the lack of a strong "creative destruction" mechanism hinders innovation [13]. - Policy recommendations include the government acting as a "rule guardian" to foster an innovation ecosystem and ensure that low-quality capacities exit the market, thereby promoting a competitive environment conducive to innovation [13]. Group 4: Conclusion - The insights from the 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences emphasize that combating "involution" requires not a rejection of competition but a return to a reasonable competitive framework that enhances innovation [15]. - The article outlines three core pathways to achieve this: establishing a supportive institutional framework, regulating competition to stimulate innovation, and encouraging technological and model innovation to shift from saturated markets to new growth areas [15].