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8月中越出口环比走弱,多数台企收入放缓
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-09-15 08:41
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Increase" for several recommended companies, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index [12][31]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel industry experienced a decline in export growth in August, with China's textile and apparel exports totaling approximately $26.54 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5% [16]. - The report highlights the resilience of the sports segment, recommending companies such as Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, while also suggesting opportunities in the luxury segment with brands like Prada and Samsonite [12][16]. - The report notes a slowdown in revenue growth for several Taiwanese manufacturers in August, with companies like Yu Yuan and Zhi Qiang reporting declines of 8.80% and 5.48% year-on-year, respectively [16]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The A-share market for the textile and apparel sector rose by 0.67% in the week of September 8-12, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.71 percentage points [6]. - The textile manufacturing sector increased by 1.52%, while the apparel and home textile sector saw a modest rise of 0.21% [6]. Industry Data Tracking - Retail sales for clothing, shoes, and textiles grew by 1.8% in July 2025, while textile and apparel exports fell by 5.05% in August [16][19]. - The report indicates that the inventory-to-sales ratio for U.S. apparel wholesalers increased slightly, suggesting a potential oversupply issue [16]. Recommended Stocks and Valuation - The report provides a detailed valuation forecast for recommended stocks, with Anta Sports projected to have a net profit of 131.8 billion yuan in 2025, and a PE ratio of 18 [12]. - Other recommended stocks include Li Ning, Xtep International, and Prada, all rated for "Increase" with expected growth in net profits over the next few years [12]. Key Announcements and News - Anta announced plans to open 1,000 stores in Southeast Asia over the next three years, indicating strong growth potential in international markets [24]. - H&M opened its first brand experience center in Shanghai, marking a significant step in its retail strategy in China [25].
东证化工草根调研二十五:华东聚酯产业链下游
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-04-28 10:43
调研报告-PTA 华东聚酯产业链下游 | [走Ta势bl评e_级Ra:nk] | | PTA: | | 震荡 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 报告日期: | 2025 | 年 | 4 | 月 | 28 | 日 | [Table_Summary] ★终端五月压力仍存,开工率可能继续向下调整 目前前往美国的的织造订单基本全停,已生产但未发出的货物都 积压在生产企业和贸易商的仓库里。面对关税的冲击,有渠道的 企业尝试拓展其他国家的市场或者转为内销。部分企业找海外代 加工渠道,但能转移的订单量有限。产成品积累的情况下,加弹 厂和织造厂五一期间基本都有 3-7 天放假计划。五月内销也是步入 淡季,内外销综合压力下,五月织造产业可能面临进一步挑战。 能 ★下游阶段性采购下,化纤厂库存高位有所去化 源 化 工 织造企业普遍认为当下原料价格已经是低位,四月底可以看到化 纤厂产销阶段性有明显放量,库存高位去化,聚酯降负预期有所 改善。但本轮补货更多是绝对价格偏低刺激下游刚需补货,如果 终端织造五月负荷继续下调,两环节的矛盾可能会进一步积累。 ★关税博弈可能 ...