谋篇布局"十五五"·热点问答 为何内需是 经济发展"稳定锚" 消费需求不足是当前制约国内大循环的突 出卡点堵点，也是扩大内需、提升人民生 活质量和水平的重要潜力所在。突出消费 拉动,增强居民消费能力,有利于发挥需 求对供给的牵引作用,改善民生福祉,更 好满足人民对美好生活的向往。 应对外部冲击的有力抓手 未来一段时期外需面临更多不确定性和不 稳定性，建设强大国内市场，增强内需主 导作用,可以降低外部冲击对我国经济的 负面影响，提升发展韧性和抗风险能力， 牢牢掌握发展的战略主动权。 文案/制作：石兰 促进形成更多由内需主导、消费拉动、内 生增长的经济发展模式 推动高质量发展的内在要求 当前，我国经济运行"供强需弱"特征比 较明显,其中国内有效需求尤其是消费需 求不足是突出短板,需要切实加以解决。 坚定不移实施扩大内需战略，增强内生增 长动力,有利于充分激发内需潜力,促进 供需平衡;也有利于引导资源优化配置, 发挥科技创新引领作用，推动经济增长由 要素驱动向创新驱动转变。 满足人民美好生活需要的必由之路 "十五五"规划建议提出 策划：张翀 监制：张益勇 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点， ...

Core Insights - The number of cities in China with a GDP exceeding one trillion yuan is increasing, with 27 cities projected to reach this milestone in 2024, highlighting regional economic development levels [1][7] - Wuxi, Jiangsu Province, ranks second in per capita GDP at 216,989 yuan, just behind Beijing, showcasing significant economic performance [1][3] Economic Performance - Wuxi's success is attributed to its achievements in high-tech industries, manufacturing, and services, which have optimized its economic structure and supported per capita GDP growth [3][5] - The cities with the highest per capita GDP are predominantly located in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Shandong provinces, indicating effective economic development models and policies in these regions [3][5] City Rankings - The top cities by per capita GDP include Beijing, Wuxi, Shanghai, and Shenzhen, with Wuxi's GDP at 1,626.33 billion yuan and a population of 7.495 million [8] - The phenomenon of "Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong, and Guangdong dominating the rankings" reflects the competitive economic advantages and characteristics of these regions [5][7] Future Outlook - The rankings of cities with a GDP over one trillion yuan not only showcase economic achievements but also serve as a reference for other cities aiming for high-quality economic growth [7]

Economic Overview - In 2024, Guangdong's GDP reached 14.16 trillion yuan, while Jiangsu's GDP was 13.7 trillion yuan, narrowing the gap to 462.6 billion yuan. Jiangsu's real growth rate of 5.8% significantly outpaced Guangdong's 3.5% [2] - By the first half of 2025, Jiangsu's GDP was 669.68 billion yuan, and Guangdong's was 687.25 billion yuan, further reducing the economic gap to 175.76 billion yuan, the smallest in nearly six years [2] Infrastructure Investment - Since 2019, Jiangsu has shown a clear upward trend in infrastructure investment growth, while Guangdong's investment has been declining. In 2024, Jiangsu's infrastructure investment growth was 13.3%, compared to Guangdong's mere 0.2% [2][3] - Jiangsu's county-level state-owned enterprises (SOEs) have significantly larger financing scales compared to Guangdong, with Jiangsu's county SOEs financing 8.54 trillion yuan through 481 enterprises, while Guangdong's 49 enterprises financed only 1.54 trillion yuan [3] Development Models - Jiangsu's development model is characterized by "government-led, park-driven, and debt-supported," while Guangdong's model emphasizes "market-led, private enterprise-driven, and global layout" [5] - Jiangsu's unique fiscal system allows county-level governments significant financial autonomy, enabling them to mobilize resources effectively, unlike Guangdong, where only a few cities have similar fiscal arrangements [5][8] Financing Mechanisms - Jiangsu has a special financial support mechanism for county-level investment companies, allowing them to obtain funds at costs below 3%, creating a sustainable funding loop for infrastructure projects [6] - In contrast, Guangdong's financing relies heavily on government special bonds, raising concerns about its future economic sustainability [3][6] Cultural and Risk Factors - The cultural differences between Jiangsu and Guangdong affect their economic governance, with Jiangsu's model being more reliant on government intervention, while Guangdong's market-oriented approach fosters greater entrepreneurial spirit [9][10] - Guangdong's historical financial issues have led to a more cautious approach to debt, limiting its ability to replicate Jiangsu's high-leverage investment strategies [10][19] Consumer Market Potential - Guangdong's large domestic market, with a retail sales total of 4.79 trillion yuan in 2024, provides significant opportunities for industrial development, emphasizing the importance of building a consumer market [11][12] - The province's manufacturing sector is diverse, with a complete industrial chain, making it well-positioned to transition from "Made in Guangdong" to "Brand from Guangdong" [11][14] Internationalization and Reform - Guangdong needs to enhance its internationalization efforts, drawing lessons from Japan's overseas investment strategies to support its manufacturing sector [15][17] - The province should explore institutional reforms to enhance its role as a "co-legislator" in national policy-making, particularly in areas like cross-border finance and professional services [18][19]

Group 1 - China's total debt is approximately $12 trillion, accounting for about 65% of its GDP, which is relatively low compared to the US and Japan [2] - Over 80% of China's debt is directed towards infrastructure projects such as high-speed rail, highways, 5G networks, and automated ports, which are seen as long-term investments [2] - The profitability of projects like the Beijing-Shanghai high-speed rail, generating annual profits in the billions, demonstrates the effectiveness of China's investment strategy [2] Group 2 - Japan's total debt is around $9 trillion, with a debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 220%, indicating a precarious financial situation [5] - More than 90% of Japan's national debt is held domestically, creating a cycle of internal funding that mitigates external shocks but poses long-term risks [5] - Japan's aging population and rising pension and healthcare costs are significant contributors to its fiscal challenges, leading to a reliance on borrowing to maintain balance [5] Group 3 - The US has a staggering $36 trillion in debt, averaging about $110,000 per citizen, with a significant portion allocated to military spending and social welfare [7] - Political struggles have exacerbated the US debt crisis, with reduced foreign investment in US Treasury bonds indicating challenges to the sustainability of its borrowing model [7] - The US's approach of living beyond its means raises concerns about future economic stability, as interest payments alone exceed $1 trillion annually [7]