经济数据不确定性
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美股收盘:三大股指走势分化,科技股“折戟”,贵金属“逆袭”
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-05 00:18
在这场全球金融市场的波动中,不同资产的表现背后反映了市场对经济形势和政策走向的不同预期。未 来,美股科技股能否止跌回升,贵金属市场能否延续强势,美联储政策又将如何调整,这些问题都将成 为市场关注的焦点。 与美股科技股的黯淡表现形成强烈反差的是,国际黄金在2月5日开盘后直线拉升,展现出强劲的上涨势 头。COMEX黄金期货收涨1.04%,报4986.4美元/盎司;COMEX白银期货表现更为突出,收涨5.36%, 报87.765美元/盎司。2月5日黄金高开后持续走高,截至发稿,现货黄金拉升涨幅超过1%;现货白银也 不甘示弱,拉升涨幅超过1.6%。贵金属市场的强势表现,吸引了众多投资者的目光。 美国经济数据方面传来不利消息。ADP周三发布的1月私营部门就业增长月度数据显示,当月仅增加2.2 万个岗位,这一数据远低于道琼斯调查经济学家预测的4.5万增幅。有分析指出,这份报告表明2026年 的开局基本延续了2025年的状态,呈现出招聘乏力、裁员不多的"低招低裁"就业环境。这种局面恐怕难 以缓解美联储政策制定者对经济仍需更多支持的担忧,美联储未来降息政策或因此生变数。 此外,美国劳工统计局(BLS)将1月就业报告发布时间推 ...
美国堪萨斯城联储主席解释本周为何投反对票:因通胀“过高”反对降息
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-12-12 16:04
Group 1 - Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid voted against interest rate cuts for the second consecutive time, citing persistently high inflation and a resilient economy, despite a cooling labor market [1] - Schmid stated that the current monetary policy stance, while restrictive, is only mildly so, indicating that the Fed should not prematurely ease its position [1] - There is a notable divergence in policy perspectives within the Federal Reserve, as Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee cast a surprising dissenting vote, emphasizing the need for caution due to incomplete economic data and ongoing inflation concerns [1] Group 2 - Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson described the labor market as "bent but not broken," highlighting increased downside risks and ongoing weakness in broader hiring activities [2] - Paulson anticipates that inflation will gradually decrease next year and believes that the current policy interest rate range of 3.5%-3.75% remains restrictive enough to bring inflation back to the 2% target [2]