早期的天通苑日子并不好过。只有一趟858路公交车，进出城像打仗。私家车主更惨，立汤路堵车是家 常便饭，大家戏称这里是"添堵苑"。 这里一共塞进了700多栋楼。 那时候房价是多少？每平米2650元。 我们出了北五环，顺着立汤路一路向北，就能看见那片密密麻麻的建筑群。光是盯着看，一种巨物的压 迫感就扑面而来。 时光倒回1999年，这片地还叫"太平庄"，除了农田就是垃圾场。顺天通集团带着队伍进场，面对的是一 片荒芜。当时的北京急需解决住房问题，福利分房刚停，老百姓兜里没钱，经济适用房这个概念应运而 生。 以前大家觉得天通苑的房子都差不多，如今整个社区虽然还叫天通苑，房价已经裂变成了两个世界。 这个数字现在听起来简直像神话。那时候买房也不用摇号，拿着户口本、开个收入证明就能买。第一批 冲进天通苑的人，大多是刚需中的刚需。现在回头看，他们其实是用极低的成本，押注了北京城市边界 的扩张。 我们现在站在2026年的1月，再去审视天通苑，会发现一个非常有意思的现象：价格分化。 转机出现在2007年，地铁5号线通车了。这条线对于天通苑的意义，相当于打通了任督二脉。家乐福来 了，龙德广场开了，生活气息一下子浓了起来。房价也开始有 ...

Core Insights - The traditional model of home ownership in Japan, based on lifetime employment and purchasing a home after marriage, is collapsing due to rising housing prices, increasing single-person households, and stagnant wages [2][5][9] - The average price of new homes in Tokyo's 23 wards has surged to 130.64 million yen (approximately 6.24 million RMB), marking a 20% increase compared to the previous year [4] - The "income multiplier" for home prices has exceeded 10 for the first time, with the national average at 10.09 times annual income and Tokyo reaching approximately 18 times [4][5] Housing Market Trends - The average price of newly built detached houses in the Tokyo area has remained above 55 million yen, over 10 million yen higher than five years ago [4] - The number of new housing starts has dropped to about 800,000 units annually, less than half of the peak period [5][10] - The number of vacant homes in Japan has doubled over the past 30 years, with 9 million out of 65.04 million total homes being unoccupied [10] Policy and Economic Implications - The Tokyo government is considering measures to regulate property resale to curb speculative short-term sales, reflecting a growing concern over housing affordability [2][11] - Japan's housing policies, which historically favored new home purchases through tax incentives and loan expansions, are now seen as inadequate in addressing current market realities [5][9] - There is a push for policy adjustments to promote the circulation of second-hand homes and utilize vacant properties to provide diverse housing options [10][11] Comparative Analysis - Other countries, such as the UK and France, are also facing high housing prices, with London having a price-to-income ratio of 12 times, second only to Tokyo [5][8] - Japan is exploring partnerships with the private sector to create affordable housing options, similar to successful models in New York and London [11]