商 品 研 究 2026 年 03 月 03 日 铜：库存增加，限制价格上方空间 季先飞 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0012691 jixianfei@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 铜基本面数据 | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅 | 昨日夜盘收盘价 | 夜盘涨幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 沪铜主力合约 | 103,850 | -0.07% | 102280 | -1.51% | | | 伦铜3M电子盘 | 13,085 | -1.59% | - | - | | | | 昨日成交 | 较前日变动 | 昨日持仓 | 较前日变动 | | 期 货 | 沪铜指数 | 326,580 | 20,754 | 574,994 | -3,504 | | | 伦铜3M电子盘 | 26,107 | 847 | 312,000 | -3,474 | | | | 昨日期货库存 | 较前日变动 | 注销仓单比 | 较前日变动 | | | 沪铜 | 295,881 | 5,287 | - | - | | | 伦铜 | 257,675 | 3,975 | 4.96% | -0. ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Treasury yields mostly rose as the market digested geopolitical tensions in South America and soft economic data from the U.S., with investors focusing on the upcoming employment report for December [1] Group 1: U.S. Treasury Yields - As of the latest update, the 2-year Treasury yield increased by 0.6 basis points to 3.461%, the 10-year yield rose by 1.4 basis points to 4.177%, and the 30-year yield went up by 1.6 basis points to 4.87% [1] - The market is anticipating the December employment report, with economists predicting an addition of 54,000 jobs [4] Group 2: Global Market Reactions - Deutsche Bank noted that global equity and bond markets are managing geopolitical developments calmly, with the MSCI All Country World Index slightly up by less than 1% [3] - In Europe, bond yields fell across the board, with the 10-year German yield down by 2.3 basis points to 2.85%, the 10-year Italian yield down by 2.9 basis points to 3.503%, and the 10-year French yield down by 1.7 basis points to 3.561% [4] Group 3: Japanese Market Dynamics - The Tokyo stock market continued to rise, reaching a historical high not seen since October 31, 2025, with a closing increase of 685.28 points [4] - In the Japanese bond market, the 10-year yield increased by 0.8 basis points to 2.128%, while the 20-year yield rose by 4.4 basis points to 3.086% [4]