AI播客：换个方式听新闻 下载mp3 音频由扣子空间生成 德国总理默茨在接受采访时表示，根据美国和欧洲向乌克兰提供的停火后保障，维和部队在某些情况下 可能会击退俄罗斯军队，但他补充说这仍然是一个遥远的前景。 但默茨表示，美国任何孤立主义倾向都不太可能持续下去。"'美国优先'固然很好，但'美国孤立'对其自 身也不利，"他说。"看看美国的经济数据，我可以想象美国人最终会找上我们说，'我们难道不想谈谈 那些对我们双方都有利的问题吗？'" 他说，"我们将确保交战双方之间建立一个非军事区，具体来说，我们也会针对相应的俄罗斯入侵和攻 击采取行动。我们目前还没到那一步。美国做出了这样的承诺，即在停火的情况下保护乌克兰，就像保 护北约领土一样。我认为这是一个值得注意的新立场。" 俄罗斯尚未同意停火（美欧均表示这是任何安全保障的前提条件），也未同意西方军队驻扎在乌克兰以 帮助结束这场全面冲突。 默茨表示，他认为达成欧洲协议以利用被冻结的俄罗斯资产资助乌克兰持续国防的机会是"五五开"。他 补充说，这样做至关重要，因为在当前的欧洲资金于2026年第一季度耗尽后，乌克兰至少还需要两年的 资金支持。 "整个欧洲都存在保留意见，我很能理 ...

Core Points - The U.S. government has announced a new round of tariffs on heavy trucks, furniture, and brand-name pharmaceuticals, citing national security threats under the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, continuing the "America First" trade framework initiated during Trump's presidency [1][3] - The average tariff level in the U.S. has stabilized at around 18%, the highest in over a century, significantly impacting the global free trade system [3] - The new tariff policy emphasizes "forced manufacturing return," particularly in the pharmaceutical sector, where foreign brands building production facilities in the U.S. can receive exemptions from tariffs as high as 100% on imported drugs [3][4] - This tariff structure represents a shift from traditional protectionism to a more aggressive industrial policy, directly influencing multinational companies' investment decisions [3][4] Economic Implications - The U.S. government's narrative suggests that raising tariffs will reduce trade deficits, revitalize manufacturing, and increase federal revenue, but mainstream economic research institutions disagree, predicting significant negative impacts on GDP growth [4][5] - The tariffs effectively act as a tax on U.S. consumers and businesses, leading to higher domestic inflation and reduced real income for households, with the benefits to manufacturing being outweighed by economic costs [5] Social Impact - Tariffs, viewed as a consumption tax, disproportionately burden low-income families who spend a larger portion of their income on essential imported goods, while the tax cuts linked to tariff revenues primarily benefit high-income households and corporations [7] - The combination of tariffs and tax cuts creates a fiscal transfer mechanism that shifts economic burdens onto lower-income groups while providing benefits to wealthier individuals [7] Geopolitical Context - The U.S. government's unilateral tariff threats have successfully fragmented traditional alliances, undermining collective bargaining power among allies and prompting countries to seek individual agreements to protect their economies [8] - The current U.S. trade strategy signals a shift away from the post-World War II multilateral trade system, aiming to establish a new trade network centered around U.S. economic strength, which poses challenges to global trade stability [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the historical roots of American isolationism, emphasizing its connections to political, cultural, and racial factors, and how these elements have shaped the U.S. foreign policy over time [1][20]. Political Factors - Early American leaders, such as Washington and Adams, advocated for a cautious foreign policy due to the nation's geographical isolation and vulnerability as a new country [1]. - The founding fathers believed that democracy was ill-suited for handling foreign relations, leading to a preference for isolationism [1][4]. Cultural Values - Many early immigrants viewed America as a "city upon a hill," a chosen nation that should maintain distance from "corrupt cultures" of the world, reinforcing the idea of a morally pure society [2]. - The concept of "American Creed" emerged, emphasizing political values like individual rights, freedom, and equality, which defined American identity beyond ethnic or racial lines [4]. Racial Factors - Racial homogeneity has been a significant aspect of American identity, with historical figures expressing concerns about incorporating non-white populations into the nation [3][6]. - Throughout the 19th century, American expansionism was often limited by racial considerations, as seen in debates over the annexation of territories with non-white populations [7][8]. Historical Context - The article highlights specific historical events, such as the Mexican-American War and the acquisition of Hawaii, to illustrate how racial attitudes influenced expansionist policies [8][11]. - The reluctance to annex territories like the Dominican Republic and the Philippines was rooted in fears of racial integration and the potential disruption of the American social fabric [9][14]. Conclusion - The article concludes that American isolationism is deeply intertwined with racial identity and societal homogeneity, suggesting that contemporary trends may reflect a resurgence of these historical sentiments [20].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has moved past its darkest period and is now on a path of significant growth, suggesting that investors should adopt a long-term perspective when investing in this market [1]. Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Market - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to continue expanding as it serves as a key external market for China, despite potential fluctuations [1]. - Investors are advised to view Hong Kong stocks as core assets rather than seeking quick profits [1]. Group 2: AI Revolution and Challenges - Chinese entrepreneurs face three distinct "AIs": artificial intelligence, American isolationism/interventionism, and the need for accelerated internationalization [2]. - The challenges posed by these three "AIs" present both significant opportunities and obstacles for Chinese entrepreneurs [2]. - A return to a perspective of problem-solving and service is emphasized for entrepreneurs when addressing these challenges [2].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing isolation of the United States due to its trade policies, humanitarian aid cuts, and immigration restrictions, raising concerns about the potential decline of free trade and the U.S.'s global influence [1][8]. Group 1: U.S. Isolation and Global Impact - The U.S. is perceived as increasingly isolated, with its actions leading to a deterioration of its international image and a weakening of its dominant position in the global economy [1][3][9]. - The U.S. government's withdrawal from international organizations and its restrictive immigration policies are contributing to a decline in its attractiveness as a destination for foreign talent and investment [3][9]. - The U.S. is projected to be the only country experiencing a decline in foreign tourist spending this year, with international visitor numbers only reaching 80% of 2019 levels [4][9]. Group 2: Historical Context of U.S. Isolationism - The article traces the roots of American isolationism back to its geographical advantages and historical policies, such as Washington's farewell address and the Monroe Doctrine, which emphasized non-interference in foreign affairs [5][6]. - Public sentiment in the U.S. has historically leaned towards isolationism, especially during periods of international conflict, with significant events like World War I and II shaping this perspective [6][7]. Group 3: Shifts in Global Trade Dynamics - The U.S.'s trade wars and isolationist policies are prompting other countries to seek new partnerships, leading to tighter cooperation between Canada and Europe, and a shift in trade dynamics away from U.S. involvement [8][9]. - The article notes that since 2017, the share of global trade involving the U.S. has declined, with other regions, particularly Asia and Europe, increasing their trade shares [8][9]. Group 4: Declining U.S. Influence - The U.S. is losing its status as a key player in the global economy, with its isolationist policies undermining its previous role as a leading economic power and diminishing the dollar's status as a reserve currency [9][10]. - The article highlights that the U.S.'s complex cultural understanding and selective policy enforcement are eroding its soft power and international credibility [9][10].

今天几乎所有的群都在刷一个视频，就是泽连斯基当面和特朗普+万斯吵架，最后闹到不欢而散。真的大开眼界，以前从来没见过国家元首之间就像互联 网喷子一样互怼，丝毫不留情面也不顾及体面，怎么伤害怎么来，怎么痛快怎么来。 如果你还没看过，这里有一个9分钟的完整版。 我们都知道普通人之间交流有一个最基本的礼仪，就是不要打断对方的发言，一旦两个人频繁的互相打断对方发言，基本就是情绪失控，很容易演变成争 吵。 这个视频的开头是泽连斯基表示自己要提问，大意就是普京一直在侵略，俄军一直在杀人，明明签了协议，但是普京不讲信用，如之奈何？ 这里你们看特朗普和万斯虽然很不以为然，但还是留给泽连斯基足够的空间去表达，没有横插打断。 之后万斯的回答非常尖锐，意思就是你现在打不赢，你的军队都快没人了，所以需要美国用外交手段解决。注意，万斯说话的时候泽连斯基是环抱插手状 态，据说这在心理学上是否定、拒绝接受对方意见的潜意识表现，讲真这些我不也不太懂，但我很懂这个姿势在严肃沟通的对话中是比较失礼的。 果然泽连斯基很快就等不及听万斯继续往下说，打断对方并反问：你去过乌克兰吗？ 这显然是一个具备攻击性的挑衅式反问，直接就把双方语言对抗的烈度升级了。 ...