美国经济前景担忧

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贵金属日报-20250811
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-08-11 14:30
| Millio | >国技期货 | 贵金属日报 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 操作评级 | 2025年08月11日 | | 黄金 | ☆☆☆ | 刘冬博 高级分析师 | | 白银 | ☆☆☆ | F3062795 Z0015311 | | | | 吴江 高级分析师 | | | | F3085524 Z0016394 | | | | 010-58747784 | | | | gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn | 今日贵金属回落。上周一件疑似乌龙事件令美盘黄金一度创造历史新高较伦敦黄金出现较大溢价。英国《金 融时报》8日报道披露美国海关与边境保护局7月31日签发的裁定函明确1公斤和100盎司的金条应归类于一个 需缴纳更高税额的关税编码之下,不在免税范畴。但此后有白宫官员称相关报道为"错误信息",美盘溢价 回落。近期美国对等关税已经正式生效,部分国家有所加码,美国经济前景担忧以及降息预期升温推动国际 金价测试近三个月以来运行区间高位重要阻力。利率期货定价9月美联储将重启降息,年内降息2-3次,美联 储部分官员表态认为降息时点已至。在对美国经济不断验证下市场情绪面临反复 ...
贵金属日报-20250806
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-08-06 09:51
| 11/11/2 | > 国技期货 | 责金属日报 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 操作评级 | 2025年08月06日 | | 黄金 | ☆☆☆ | 刘冬博 高级分析师 | | 白银 | ☆☆☆ | F3062795 Z0015311 | | | | 吴江 高级分析师 | | | | F3085524 Z0016394 | | | | 010-58747784 gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn | 【星级说明】红色星级代表预判趋势性上涨,绿色星级代表预判趋势性下跌 ★☆☆ 一颗星代表偏多/空,判断趋势有上涨/下跌的驱动,但盘面可操作性不强 ★★☆ 两颗星代表持多/空,不仅判断较为明晰的上涨/下跌趋势,且行情正在盘面发酵 ★★★ 三颗星代表更加明晰的多/空趋势,且当前仍具备相对恰当的投资机会 隔夜美国公布7月非制造业PMI从50.8下滑至50.1低于预期的51.5。美联储独立性问题、美国经济前景担忧以 及降息预期升温令美元维持偏弱趋势,国际金价再度测试近三个月以来运行区间高位阻力。美国经济的不断 验证可能令市场情绪存在反复,贵金属震荡趋势中维持回调买入思路。 ★关 ...
黄力晨:ADP数据爆冷加强降息预期 支撑黄金价格上涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 23:50
Group 1 - The market's expectation for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September has increased, leading to a decline in the US dollar, which has hit a three-year low, supporting a rise in gold prices [1][2] - Gold prices have rebounded after hitting a one-month low, with three consecutive days of increases, reaching a weekly high [2][4] - The recent pressure from President Trump on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates to between 0.5% and 1.75% has contributed to the downward pressure on the dollar and the rise in gold prices [2] Group 2 - Technical indicators suggest that gold has further rebound potential, with support levels at $3350 and $3333, and resistance levels at $3380 and $3400 [4] - The recent ADP employment data has raised concerns about the US economic outlook, which may lead to an earlier-than-expected rate cut by the Federal Reserve, further supporting gold prices [4]