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美国耐用品订单数据
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TMGM:美国耐用品订单数据何时发布?该数据将如何影响欧元汇率?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 11:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that U.S. durable goods orders are expected to decline for the third consecutive month, with a projected decrease of 0.5% in August, following a 2.8% drop in July [1] - Durable goods orders data reflects the cost of orders received by manufacturers, which is influenced by changes in labor or raw material costs [1] - An increase in non-essential goods costs could lead to inflation, prompting the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish stance on interest rates [1] Group 2 - The EUR/USD currency pair is trading cautiously around 1.1750, having faced pressure due to a stronger USD following the Federal Reserve's recent monetary policy announcement [4] - The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for the EUR/USD is near 1.1744, indicating an unclear short-term outlook [4] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is fluctuating between 40.00 and 60.00, suggesting a sideways consolidation trend [5]
PMI压制金价静候耐用品 黄金失守关键位白银逆势微升
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-25 04:31
Group 1 - Silver market shows strong upward momentum, outperforming gold with a year-to-date increase of approximately 35% compared to gold's nearly 28% rise [1] - Current silver price is attempting to maintain above the critical level of $39 per ounce, following a prolonged supply shortage lasting 7 years [1] - Spot gold price has fallen below the important threshold of $3360.23 per ounce, while spot silver has shown a slight increase of 0.02% to $39.03 per ounce [1] Group 2 - The S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) indicates that the US composite PMI rose from 52.9 in June to 54.6 in July, with the services PMI significantly increasing to 55.2, reflecting accelerated economic activity [2] - Strong PMI data supports the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain current interest rates, while also boosting the US dollar index and US Treasury yields [2] - Upcoming US durable goods orders data is crucial as it may provide new insights into gold price trends, with strong data potentially reinforcing economic recovery expectations and further pressuring gold prices [2] Group 3 - Spot gold experienced fluctuations with a downward trend, while spot silver remains near a 14-year high, hovering around levels last seen in September 2011 [3] - Silver's recent price action is supported by a weak dollar, with a weekly increase of nearly 2.36%, despite a slight daily decline of 0.50% [3] - Silver continues to trade well above its 9-day, 21-day, and 50-day moving averages, maintaining a bullish technical structure [3]