采购经理人指数(PMI)的荣枯线是50。 PMI>50：通常表示经济活动扩张 PMI=50：表示经济活动持平 PMI<50：通常表示经济活动收缩 ...

阿联酋《国民报》1月6日报道称，数据显示，阿联酋非石油私营部门在2025年12月继续扩张，受新 订单增加和市场环境改善推动。经季调后，12月标普全球阿联酋采购经理人指数（PMI）为54.2，虽较 11月的九个月高点略有回落，但仍接近长期均值，显示行业整体保持"稳健改善"。调查显示，客户支出 回升、旅游活动增长、技术应用加快及政府支持政策提振了企业信心。超过四分之一企业报告产出环比 增长。不过，成本压力明显上升，投入价格创15个月来最快涨幅，薪资、运输及维护成本走高，企业已 连续第六个月上调售价。尽管商业预期总体向好，但企业信心处于近三年较低水平，市场竞争与不确定 性仍构成制约。 （原标题：阿联酋非石油部门延续稳健增长势头） ...

纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场交投最活跃的2026年2月黄金期价16日下跌0.07%，收于每盎司4332.2美 元。 当天3月交割的白银期货价格上涨0.32%，收于每盎司63.80美元。 资讯编辑：王芳琴 021-66896877 资讯监督：乐卫扬 021-26093827 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 美国商务部16日发布数据显示，10月份美国零售销售额变化不大，汽车经销商销售额下降和汽油收入减 少抵消了其他类别支出的强劲增长。 标普全球16日公布的数据显示，其采购经理人指数（PMI）综合产出指数初值降至53，此前11月份该指 数为54.2。经济学家此前预期该指数降幅较小，为53.2。与此同时，制造业采购经理人指数（PMI）小 幅下降至51.8，低于11月份的52.2。经济学家此前预计该指数将下降至52。 自2015-2016年低点开始上涨以来，黄金和白银价格的飙升已接近尾声。一些市场分析人士认为，尽管 未来几个月价格仍有可能进一步上涨，但投资者应开始为可能最早于明年开始的多年调整做好准备。 技术层面，2月黄金期货多头的下一个上涨目标是突破4433美元历史高点的强劲阻力价位。空头的下一 个短期下跌 ...

标普全球公布的12月初值综合采购经理人指数（PMI）从11月的54.2降至53.0，为六个月低点，但仍高于50的扩张荣枯线。数据显示，新业务增长幅度为近 20个月最小，商品新订单则出现一年以来首次下降。 分行业看，占美国经济产出约三分之二的服务业PMI降至52.9，同样为六个月低点；制造业PMI降至51.8，为7月以来最低水平，且均低于经济学家预期。 标普全球首席商业经济学家克里斯·威廉姆森表示，美国12月PMI初值显示，近期的经济增长势头正在减弱，尤其在假日季前夕，新订单明显放缓，进入 2026年后经济活动可能进一步走软。（央视记者 徐德智） 央视记者当地时间12月16日获悉，调查数据显示，美国12月商业活动增长放缓，降至今年6月以来最低水平，制造业和服务业的新订单双双下滑，显示美国 经济动能正在减弱。 Your Rium T . . - . e . . . . . ............. ........... . .............. .............. ................ ............. ............ ............. . . 成年 ...

周二欧洲交易时段，欧元/美元整体维持在1.1750附近窄幅震荡，市场交投情绪相对谨慎。 当前汇价波动率偏低，主要原因在于投资者正在等待一系列关键经济数据的指引，尤其是德国、欧元区以及美国即将公布的重要指标。 其中，德国和欧元区的初步采购经理人指数（PMI）成为短线关注重点。 从技术面来看，欧元/美元的短期结构仍偏向积极。20期简单移动平均线已向上穿越50期和200期均线，且三条均线同步上行，显示价格动能依旧占优。汇价 稳定运行在这些均线之上，短期趋势维持偏强格局。 此次将同时发布10月和11月的就业报告，市场普遍预计11月非农就业人数增加约4万人，失业率维持在4.4%。 若数据显著强于预期，例如就业增幅达到10万人或以上，可能削弱市场对美联储提前降息的押注，从而推动美元在短时间内走强，欧元/美元或面临回落压 力。反之，若数据表现疲弱，则可能强化市场对明年初降息的预期，为欧元/美元提供进一步上行空间。 根据CME FedWatch工具，目前市场对美联储在1月份降息25个基点的预期概率约为25%。在关键数据落地前，欧元/美元或仍将维持区间整理，等待新的方 向信号。 动量指标方面，相对强弱指数（RSI）读数约为62 ...

（原标题：阿联酋11月PMI升至54.8，迪拜维持54.5的高位） 阿联酋《国民报》12月5日报道，得益于市场需求旺盛带动新业务量回升，销售增长加速，阿联酋 非石油私营部门11月表现强劲，阿联酋标普全球采购经理人指数（PMI）升至54.8，仍远高于荣枯线， 且高于54.3的长期平均水平。在生活成本上升和技术人才短缺背景下，企业加快招聘推高薪资支出，经 营成本或将上行，但企业整体对未来业务前景仍保持乐观。迪拜方面，得益于销售增长改善，经济活动 持续扩张，迪拜11月PMI维持在54.5的高位。 ...

路透社12月3日报道，11月欧元区的商业活动以两年半以来的最快速度增长，采购 经理人指数（PMI）为52.8，强劲的服务业抵消了制造业的疲软态势。大多数接受调查 的欧元区国家都实现了经济扩张，其中爱尔兰的表现最为突出，其经济增长率达到了 三年半以来的最高水平；西班牙经济增速有所放缓，但增长态势仍然强劲；意大利实 现了自2023年4月以来最强劲的增长；法国的私营企业活动在15个月以来首次出现增 长；德国的经济活动则从10月的29个月以来的峰值有所放缓。 （原标题：11月欧元区商业活动扩张速度创30个月来最快） 此外，11月欧元区的就业人数继续增加，但就业增长的速度放缓至略高于平均水 平。服务业保持了招聘势头，而制造业企业裁员的速度达到了自4月以来的最快水平。 商业信心略有改善，但仍低于长期平均水平，这表明企业对未来形势仍持谨慎态度。 在通胀方面，由于制造商采购成本再次上涨和服务业支出加速增长，投入成本以八个 月来最快的速度上涨。然而，企业向客户收取的费用上涨速度有所放缓，产出价格的 涨幅也降至六个月以来的最低水平。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the contrasting movements in gold and silver prices, with gold increasing by $2.8 to $4062.8 per ounce, while silver decreased by $0.631 to $50.325 per ounce, indicating a shift in market dynamics favoring gold as a safe haven amid increased volatility in the U.S. stock market [1] - The U.S. stock market experienced significant volatility, with the benchmark index hitting its lowest level in over two months due to concerns over artificial intelligence projects, strong employment reports, and a decline in Bitcoin, which collectively heightened the demand for precious metals as a hedge [1] - The European leaders' discussions with Ukrainian President Zelensky regarding a ceasefire plan, despite the exclusion of European nations from U.S. and Russian negotiations, are deemed crucial for Ukraine's next steps [1] Group 2 - The S&P Global reported a rise in the composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) to 54.8, the highest in four months, driven by strong performance in the services sector, which saw its PMI increase to 55.0, up from 54.8 in October [1] - The technical outlook for December gold futures indicates that the next upward target for bulls is to break through the strong resistance level of $4250, while bears aim to push prices below the strong technical support level of $4000 [2]

Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) appreciated against the US dollar after two days of decline, influenced by the release of the preliminary November PMI data, which showed an increase in manufacturing PMI to 51.6 from 49.7 and services PMI rising from 52.5 to 52.7 [1] - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to maintain interest rates if economic data continues to exceed expectations, as indicated in the meeting minutes [1][3] - The ASX 30-day bank cash rate futures indicate an 8% probability of a rate adjustment at the next RBA meeting, with the current cash rate at 3.60% [1] Group 2 - The US dollar (USD) depreciated against the Chinese yuan (CNY), with market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate adjustment increasing, as reflected in the CME FedWatch tool showing a rise in the probability of a 25 basis point cut in December from 30% to 36% [2] - The US non-farm payrolls increased by 119,000 in September, surpassing market expectations, while the unemployment rate slightly rose to 4.4% [2] - The People's Bank of China maintained the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) at 3.00% for one year and 3.50% for five years, which may impact the Australian dollar due to trade relations [2] Group 3 - The Australian wage price index grew by 0.8% quarter-on-quarter and 3.4% year-on-year in Q3, aligning with expectations [3] - RBA's November meeting minutes indicated a more balanced policy stance, suggesting that if economic data remains strong, the cash rate may be held steady for a longer period [3] Group 4 - Technically, the AUD/USD is in a sideways consolidation phase, trading around 0.6450, with the first support level at 0.6440 and a lower reference at 0.6414 [5] - The upper resistance levels to watch are the 9-day moving average at 0.6487 and the psychological level at 0.6500, with a potential return to the upper range at 0.6630 if surpassed [5]

Core Insights - The latest report from ICIS indicates a decline in U.S. chemical production in October, influenced by a sluggish manufacturing sector and increasing concerns over tariffs [1] - The ISM's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October shows a further deterioration in U.S. manufacturing output, dropping to 48.7, indicating deeper contraction [1] - Despite the decline in chemical production, prices for chemical products have risen [1] Group 1: Manufacturing Sector Performance - The PMI data reveals that the manufacturing sector is experiencing a significant downturn, with the index falling into a deeper contraction zone [1] - A participant in the PMI survey from the chemical industry expressed a shift in sentiment regarding tariff policies from "expectation" to "concern," noting a decrease in order volumes and a downward revision of financial expectations for 2025 [1] - Another chemical company reported ongoing difficulties in business, citing global economic uncertainty and frequent changes in tariff policies leading to order cancellations or reductions by clients [1] Group 2: Demand Indicators - Susan Spence, chair of the ISM PMI Business Survey Committee, noted that the short-term benefits from new orders growth in August and production improvement in September have not translated into sustained growth in manufacturing [1] - Four key demand indicators (new orders, new export orders, unfilled orders, and customer inventory index) have shown improvement but remain in contraction territory, with the customer inventory index's contraction rate slowing down [1]