美国财政困局
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特朗普金卡正式开售!让移民“氪金”能让美国再次伟大起来么?
首席商业评论· 2025-12-11 07:59
当地时间周三,特朗普政府正式开放"特朗普金卡"签证申请。特朗普认为,这一项目是美国吸引和留住顶尖人才的一种方式,并能为美国政府快速创收。 "氪金插队"买身份 特朗普金卡项目号称特朗普政府移民改革的标志性举措,其核心是通过资本筛选移民,取代运行35年的EB-5投资移民签证,主打"高效获居留权"的核心优势。该项 目于2025年2月首次提出,9月通过行政命令确立,12月10日全面开放申请,从概念到落地快速推进,凸显出政策上的极高优先级。项目自诩定位明确,优先吸纳成 功企业家、投资者等高净值群体,无需像EB-5那样强制创造就业岗位,仅凭支付一笔现金即可获取居留资格。 图源:网络 这个项目分为个人与企业两大类别,涵盖金卡、铂金卡两个等级,不过目前仅开放金卡申请,铂金卡暂只接受名额预留。个人层面,金卡定价100万美元,申请人 可直接获得永久居留权,享受与绿卡同等权益;标识为"即将推出"的铂金卡则定价500万美元,持有人每年可在美国停留270天,核心优势是海外收入无需缴纳美国 税款,针对性吸引全球流动资本持有者。企业层面仅开放金卡通道,每赞助一名员工需支付200万美元,资格可灵活转移至其他员工,无需额外缴费,适配企业海 外 ...
停摆结束不是终点!美国关税国债齐上阵,全球经济要变天?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-16 13:49
Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown lasted for 43 days, marking the longest shutdown in U.S. history, surpassing the previous record of 35 days from 2018-2019 [3] - The temporary funding bill signed by Trump only allows government operations to continue until January 30, 2026, raising concerns about potential future shutdowns [5] - The shutdown resulted in significant economic losses estimated at $1.5 trillion, affecting 750,000 federal employees who were forced into unpaid leave [5][3] Group 1: Economic Impact - The shutdown caused a staggering economic loss of $1.5 trillion, equivalent to the annual GDP of many countries [5] - Approximately 750,000 federal employees were impacted, with many relying on food assistance during the shutdown [5][3] Group 2: Fiscal Challenges - The U.S. faces a critical fiscal dilemma balancing military spending and social expenditures, often referred to as the "guns versus butter" debate [8] - Historical context shows that the U.S. was able to balance military and civilian needs during the Cold War, but this balance has deteriorated since the 1970s [8][7] Group 3: Budget Cuts and Reforms - Trump established the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) led by Elon Musk to cut 30% of the federal budget, claiming to save $205 billion, though these savings were largely exaggerated [10] - The budget cuts were selectively applied, with significant reductions in departments that primarily funded Democratic initiatives, while defense-related budgets remained largely untouched [10] Group 4: Global Economic Effects - Following failed budget cuts, the U.S. increased tariffs and issued more national debt to address fiscal shortfalls, which has raised global interest rates and financing costs [13] - Countries like China, Russia, and Saudi Arabia are reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar, accelerating the trend of de-dollarization [14] - The U.S. is pressuring allies to increase military spending, which may strain their social welfare budgets, forcing them into similar fiscal dilemmas [14]
北美观察丨7年再停摆:美财政困局与制度痼疾的恶性循环
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-10-01 06:27
Core Points - The U.S. federal government has shut down for the first time in nearly seven years due to the Senate's failure to pass bipartisan funding bills, affecting hundreds of thousands of federal employees and halting services across various departments [1][4] - This shutdown is part of a recurring fiscal crisis that has plagued Washington for the past 40 years, with a total of 14 government shutdowns recorded since 1980 [4][12] Economic Impact - Historical data shows that government shutdowns have resulted in significant economic losses, ranging from hundreds of millions to over a hundred billion dollars, with the 2018-2019 shutdown alone costing approximately $11 billion, of which $3 billion is unrecoverable [5][11] - Industries closely tied to federal procurement, such as tourism, aviation, and defense contracting, are particularly vulnerable, with small businesses facing cash flow issues due to halted government contracts [5][11] Systemic Issues - The U.S. budget process is characterized by its fragility and complexity, requiring Congress to pass twelve regular appropriations bills each fiscal year. Failure to do so leads to government shutdowns [12][13] - Political polarization and the influence of a minority within the parties exacerbate the budget impasse, as seen in past shutdowns where ideological differences have led to prolonged negotiations and deadlock [12][14] Future Outlook - The likelihood of a short-term shutdown followed by emergency temporary funding is high, as both parties face increasing public and market pressure to reach a compromise [14][15] - If the deadlock extends beyond two weeks, the economic repercussions could escalate, prompting a need for bipartisan intervention to resolve the crisis [15]