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金钟:一旦特朗普掌握了这个“撒手锏”,影响将远超议息会议决策
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 00:31
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 0.25% on September 17, marking the first rate cut during Trump's second presidential term [1][3] - Trump has been pressuring the Federal Reserve for rate cuts, advocating for a 0.5% reduction before the recent meeting [3][6] - The Federal Reserve's members anticipate two more rate cuts in 2025 and one in 2026, each by 0.25% [3][6] Group 2 - Trump is focused on gaining control over the Federal Reserve Board, currently holding three out of twelve voting seats, aiming to secure a majority [6][7] - If Trump successfully removes Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve Board, he could appoint another member, further consolidating his influence [6][7] - Control over the Federal Reserve Board would allow Trump to influence the selection of the twelve regional bank presidents, potentially reshaping monetary policy [7][8] Group 3 - The current economic landscape shows a stark divide, with the top 10% of income earners benefiting from rising asset values, while the bottom 90% face inflationary pressures [8][9] - The reduction in illegal immigrant labor due to Trump's policies is contributing to rising prices in essential goods and services [9][11] - Upcoming healthcare policy changes and rising insurance costs are expected to further drive inflation [11][12] Group 4 - The anticipated monetary easing could exacerbate wealth inequality in the U.S., with potential political repercussions as the 2026 midterm elections approach [12][13] - Trump's strategies may include redirecting internal conflicts outward, potentially leading to increased political tensions and international crises [12][13]
48:47,美国投票结果出炉,特朗普收到噩耗,他要支付351亿巨款
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 03:20
中美贸易谈判刚结束,美国内部局势又有变化。重要投票结果出炉,但特朗普的目的没有实现,而在这 个时候,特朗普又收到噩耗,他要支付数百亿美元的巨款? 美联储主席鲍威尔在会后记者会上直接把话挑明,现在最该担心的是就业市场疲软,而特朗普政府搞的 关税政策,反而可能让通胀抬头,根本不能盲目大幅降息。 这就像特朗普想抓着美联储的方向盘猛踩油门,却被决策层集体按住了,正如路透社之前分析的,特朗 普再怎么想干预美联储,目前也没动摇它的独立性根基,这场控局尝试从一开始就落了空。 Z 参议院以48:47的微弱优势通过了斯蒂芬・米兰出任美联储理事的提名,这本是特朗普想操盘美联储降 息、刺激经济的关键一步,但结果却完全没按剧本走。 因为在米兰上任后做的第一件事,就是在9月17日的美联储议息会上投下唯一反对票,力主降息50个基 点,可美联储最终只降了25个基点。 可问题是,特朗普根本拿不出钱,现在美国国债已经突破36万亿美元,债务上限危机随时可能让政府停 摆。 其实,特朗普现在的所有麻烦,都绕不开美国经济的老毛病,这些年美国各个产业越来越金融化,实体 经济没跟上,全靠借债撑着,债务越滚越大,产业空心化、贫富差距这些问题也越来越严重。 ...
竟然全是假的!马斯克揭开美国遮羞布,外媒:真相远比这更可怕!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 05:28
在当今这个信息化迅速发展的时代,许多年轻人对美国的看法似乎充满了"美化",这个现象可以用互联网流行语来描述,尤其是被一些如《意林》等杂志的 观点深深影响。他们认为,美国在各个方面都表现卓越,无论是社会制度、福利政策,还是对劳动者权益的保护都堪称典范。然而,特斯拉和SpaceX的创 始人埃隆·马斯克所作的一系列举动,实际上揭示出了美国社会的另一面,正如某些外媒所言,那真相远比人们想象的要糟糕得多。那么,究竟是什么真相 被马斯克揭露了呢? 马斯克为何能如此果断?这要归因于美国"自由雇佣"(At-will employment)原则的存在。根据这一原则,若没有签订特殊协议,雇主可以随时解雇员工, 无需提前说明理由或承担法律责任。而这一规则适用于所有员工,无论他们是否面临特殊情况,所有人都不得不接受同样的待遇。在推特这个庞大的公司 中,只有三位高管因签订了"黄金降落伞协议"而受到不同对待,他们的解雇需要马斯克支付超过2亿美元的赔偿,基本上是接近十年的工资。 相比之下,其他普通员工在仅仅得到三个月基本工资的赔偿后便被要求离开,甚至这部分赔偿也是马斯克自认为的"慷慨"表现。他援引美国法律,认为只需 在大规模裁员时提前通知 ...
列国鉴·美国丨记者观察:特朗普“大而美”法案的冲击与影响
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-07-09 01:22
Group 1 - The "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill was passed by both the Senate and House of Representatives, showcasing President Trump's strong control over the Republican Party [1][5] - The bill includes significant cuts to Medicaid, making it harder for beneficiaries to access healthcare, with an estimated 11.8 million Americans expected to lose Medicaid coverage over the next decade [2][9] - The bill will increase the deficit by $3.3 trillion over the next ten years, leading to higher interest rates and increased costs for consumer loans and business financing [4][9] Group 2 - The bill has sparked intense political battles between the Republican and Democratic parties, reflecting deepening political divisions in the lead-up to the 2024 presidential election [5][8] - The passage of the bill has been met with widespread skepticism regarding its economic impact, particularly concerning the potential increase in national debt and wealth inequality [9][11] - The bill is expected to disproportionately benefit the wealthiest Americans, with the top 20% of income earners projected to see an annual net income increase of nearly $13,000, while the lowest income group may experience a 1.1% decrease in post-tax income [12][11] Group 3 - The bill's passage has led to a public fallout between President Trump and Elon Musk, who criticized the bill for undermining fiscal responsibility and announced the formation of a new political party, the "American Party" [16][17] - The new party could potentially influence legislative processes if it gains traction, although establishing a new political party typically requires significant time and financial resources [17]