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美联储降息押注
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崩了!黄金、白银!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-10-27 16:00
(原标题:崩了!黄金、白银!) 【导读】黄金白银暴跌 中国基金报记者 泰勒 大家好,今晚冰火两重天!股市暴涨,避险资产黄金、白 银暴跌! 一起看看发生了什么事情。 10月27日晚间,现货黄金价格暴跌超3%,跌破4000美元、3900美 元关口,现货白银价格暴跌约5%。 有分析指出,因中美贸易协议取得进展削弱了避险需求。 此前一周,由于担忧涨势过快,金价的迅猛上行戛然而止。随着特朗普赴亚洲展开一系列外交活动,中 美贸易谈判之后取得积极进展。或将缓解此前支撑金价上行的一些经济风险和地缘政治紧张局面。 目前。近千名专业黄金交易员、经纪人和炼厂代表齐聚日本京都,参加由伦敦金银市场协会(LBMA) 主办的会议。此次年会自周日开幕,出席人数创纪录,黄金交易人才的争夺日益激烈。 世界黄金协会市场策略师John Reade在LBMA会议上表示,央行的买入需求已不如此前强劲,更深的回 调或受到专业交易员欢迎。他援引会场交流称,每盎司3500美元这一水平"对黄金市场将是健康的,因 为这仍是一个极高的价格"。 此外,菲律宾央行一位政策制定者表示,随着避险需求减弱、金价预计将进一步从历史高位回落,菲律 宾央行应当出售部分"过量"的黄 ...
金油神策:5.15晚间黄金、原油操作建议、行情分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-15 10:14
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices continued to decline due to various pressures, including reduced safe-haven demand from improved US-China trade sentiment, decreased bets on Fed rate cuts, and rising US Treasury yields [1] - Despite short-term pressures, the fundamental outlook for gold remains strong, with ongoing geopolitical risks and central banks increasing gold reserves to diversify away from the dollar [1] - Technical indicators suggest a potential for a rebound, with the CCI entering oversold territory; if the Fed signals a dovish stance in upcoming meetings and geopolitical tensions escalate, gold prices could exceed $3200 [1] Group 2: Gold Trading Recommendations - Aggressive short positions suggested at $3176/$3181, with a more conservative approach at $3200/$3205, targeting a break below $3150 [3] - For long positions, aggressive entries at $3143/$3148 and conservative entries at $3125/$3130 are recommended, targeting a break above $3180 [5] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - Iranian leadership indicated a willingness to negotiate with the US under specific conditions, which could lead to the lifting of economic sanctions and potentially increase oil supply, putting downward pressure on oil prices [1] - Recent oil price movements showed a downward trend, with resistance at $63.5 and a drop to around $62.7, indicating a bearish medium-term outlook [1] Group 4: Oil Trading Recommendations - Aggressive short positions recommended at $60.9/$61.4, with conservative entries at $62.1/$62.6, targeting a break below $59.8 [5] - For long positions, aggressive entries at $59.0/$58.5 and conservative entries at $57.7/$57.2 are suggested, targeting a break above $62.0 [5]
机构评非农数据:对美联储的降息押注可能还有进一步缩减的空间
news flash· 2025-05-02 13:17
Core Viewpoint - The non-farm payroll report suggests that traders may have reasons to lower their expectations for the Federal Reserve's easing measures, indicating potential further reductions in rate cut bets [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Economic Data Impact** - The combination of data in the non-farm report challenges the recent signals of economic weakness from "soft data" [1] - **Market Expectations** - Traders are currently pricing in expectations for more than two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year [1] - **Future Projections** - If hard data like non-farm payroll continues to contradict soft data, there may be room for further reductions in rate cut expectations [1]