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不同星级,该买什么基金?|投资小知识
银行螺丝钉· 2025-10-12 13:46
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the return to normal valuations in the market, highlighting the gradual reduction of undervalued stocks and the cyclical nature of market trends, where different types of stocks lead the recovery in different periods [2][3]. Group 1: Market Valuation and Stock Types - The leading stocks in each market recovery phase differ, with large-cap value stocks leading in 2016-2017, large-cap growth in 2020-2021, and small-cap growth expected to lead in 2025 [2]. - As the market recovers, leading stocks may return to normal or even become overvalued, while some undervalued stocks still exist [3]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - In a 4-star rating environment, investment is possible but should be balanced with stock asset proportions not exceeding "100 - age" [3]. - At a 3-star rating, most stocks are at normal valuations, with some overvalued and very few undervalued stocks remaining. This phase may present opportunities for profit-taking, but not all positions should be sold [5]. - Investment strategies during a 3-star rating include low-risk assets, such as fixed-income products with lower stock ratios, and global diversified asset allocation strategies [6][7]. Group 3: Long-term Investment Considerations - Long-term pure bond funds may present investment opportunities as stock markets fluctuate, with historical patterns indicating regular cycles of bull and bear markets every 3-5 years and larger cycles every 7-10 years [7].
学会估值,轻松投资:普通投资者也能学会的实用估值方法 | 螺丝钉带你读书
银行螺丝钉· 2025-09-20 13:47
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of valuation methods in investment, highlighting that all value investment schools focus on asset valuation [4][12][32] - Valuation is defined as the method of measuring the relationship between asset price and value, which is a concept applied in daily life [5][6][10] - The article provides examples of valuation methods for both bond and stock assets, illustrating how investors make rational decisions based on interest rates and company earnings [13][21][32] Group 2 - For bond assets, a simple valuation method is presented, where investors choose the option with the higher interest rate, demonstrating straightforward decision-making [15][17][19] - In the case of stock assets, the article discusses a hypothetical scenario where a company with stable annual profits is valued between 8 to 15 times its earnings, aligning with average price-to-earnings ratios in the market [26][27][30] - The article notes that investor sentiment can significantly influence valuation, with lower valuations during bear markets and higher valuations during bull markets [41][42][54] Group 3 - The article highlights that while valuation primarily affects short-term returns, long-term profitability is driven by economic cycles and overall productivity growth [46][51][52] - It mentions that not every market phase presents undervaluation opportunities, particularly in bull markets, necessitating asset allocation strategies [55][57] - The article concludes by referencing classic stock-bond allocation strategies used by renowned investors like Graham and Buffett [58]