↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： top_gun888 来源：雪球 我的核心观点是，一定要投资那些基本面强大具有确切成长性的趋势持续波动向上的股票。我把股票分成三类，一是大趋势持续向上股票，当然不 是线性向上，而是在相当一段时间（至少几年以上）波动性向上，大趋势持续向上走的股票。 第二类股票是大趋势波动向下的股票，可能是竞争环境太恶劣、经营失败、管理层无能、失职甚至就是大玩猫腻中饱私囊，这种股票我能躲多远躲 多远。 我的目标是不断的发掘第一类股票，当然这类好股并不多，而且也是很难低位发现的（明确的说，在低位时，这类股票真的让稳健的投资人下不了 手，不确定性太大了），只有这类股票才存在着高买更高卖的逻辑。目前的问题是，我发现它们时，可能其股价已经大涨过一段时间，可能已是新 高附近。 我本质上并不想追高，因为我也很想在相对低位低卖入，但很可能我根本就没有低买的机会（也可能是我太想抓住机会了，经常是有机会的）。总 之在实战中，我经常是现价买入了，我肯定是认为股价今后必然还会有新高才现价买入的。 我买入股票后，确实存在着 ...

Group 1 - The concept of "trend" in the market is often misunderstood, with many confusing short-term movements for actual trends, which are long-term developments [1][2][4] - The market operates on the principle of "force," where the strength of either bulls or bears determines the trend direction, and understanding this is crucial for making profitable decisions [1][10] - A stock typically goes through a cycle of accumulation, rise, consolidation, and distribution, and recognizing where a stock is in this cycle is essential for trend analysis [1][6] Group 2 - Short-term trends are often misinterpreted; true trends require analysis over longer periods, such as weekly or monthly charts, to avoid false signals [2][4][8] - The behavior of market participants during downtrends is characterized by panic selling, leading to further price declines, and understanding this can help avoid poor investment decisions [10][12] - Successful trading strategies involve identifying and operating within defined price ranges during consolidation phases, rather than attempting to catch bottoms in downtrends [8][14]