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读《风和投资随笔》
猛兽派选股· 2025-11-22 04:02
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of risk management and a bottom-up approach in investment strategies, focusing on identifying high-quality companies rather than following market trends or macroeconomic indicators [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The core investment philosophy of Fenghe Fund prioritizes risk management, asserting that understanding one's own risk profile is essential for successful investing. The focus is on managing drawdowns and maintaining a diversified portfolio with low correlation among assets [1]. - The fund has achieved an average annual return of over 18% since its inception in 2009, with a maximum historical drawdown of only -6.5% [1]. Group 2: Company Focus - The investment strategy is centered on a bottom-up analysis of companies, disregarding macroeconomic trends and focusing instead on a company's innovation and competitiveness. The evaluation of a company's value is based on cash flow, realizable assets, and its ability to generate future cash [1]. - The fund seeks to identify high-quality companies ("eagles") that can dominate their markets, while also being willing to short companies with deteriorating fundamentals, avoiding mediocre companies altogether [1]. Group 3: Market Perspective - The article advocates for a cyclical understanding of the market, encouraging a contrarian investment approach that aligns with long-term fundamentals rather than short-term performance fluctuations. This philosophy allows for strategic investments in companies with strong future prospects during periods of market pessimism [2]. - Key insights include the importance of observation and analysis over prediction, emphasizing that survival in volatile markets relies on solid fundamentals rather than speculative forecasts [2].
投资人都不鸡娃啊?
集思录· 2025-11-19 13:47
Group 1 - The article discusses a shift in mindset regarding children's education, emphasizing the importance of finding personal passion over societal success [1][2] - It highlights the contrast between wealthy families who invest heavily in children's education and those who adopt a more relaxed approach, leading to feelings of inadequacy among some parents [2][3] - The narrative reflects on the pressures of modern education, with parents feeling compelled to push their children towards high academic achievements despite the potential for limited outcomes [4][11] Group 2 - The text outlines three main barriers to children's success: innate talent, personal ambition, and the prevailing societal trends [7][8][9] - It suggests that the pursuit of elite education may not guarantee success, as many factors, including luck and timing, play significant roles in a child's future [10][11] - The article concludes that a balanced approach to parenting, focusing on well-being rather than solely on academic success, may lead to healthier outcomes for children [13][20]
段永平的采访,值得每个普通人看3遍
大胡子说房· 2025-11-19 11:33
Group 1 - The article discusses two significant events in the investment world: an interview with Duan Yongping and Warren Buffett's retirement announcement [2][3] - Duan Yongping emphasizes the importance of accepting one's limitations and the value of being an ordinary person, which can lead to happiness [4][6] - A key takeaway from Duan Yongping's interview is the idea that admitting ignorance in investment can prevent significant losses, as many investors often pretend to understand complex topics [7][10] Group 2 - Duan Yongping's investment philosophy includes recognizing when to cut losses quickly, as demonstrated by his past experience of losing over $10 million on a $100 million investment [13][14] - He advocates for a mindset of correcting mistakes promptly and sticking to sound investments, which is crucial for ordinary investors to understand [16][19] - The concept of opportunity cost is highlighted, with Duan Yongping explaining that decisions should be based on potential returns from alternative investments [20][22] Group 3 - Long-term holding does not mean one should never sell; if a better investment opportunity arises, it is wise to make the switch [32][34] - The decision to invest should be based on future cash flows rather than just price-to-earnings ratios, emphasizing the need for understanding the underlying business [36] Group 4 - Duan Yongping shares insights on parenting, stating that parents should focus on providing security for their children, which influences their future success [39][41] - The article discusses the psychological aspects of investing, noting that a lack of security can lead to irrational decisions in the stock market [43][45] Group 5 - The article concludes with a reflection on the current economic landscape, suggesting that there are new turning points in the market that require careful consideration and preparation for future investments [64][65]
段永平劝退股民实录,炒股堪比渡劫,普通人别硬闯!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 11:17
退休20多年的传奇大佬段永平一露面,直接给散户们泼了盆冰水,炒股这活儿,80%的人牛熊都亏钱, 别觉得自己是天选之子能例外! 这话听着扎心,但句句都是大实话,翻译过来就是,韭菜别总想逆袭,能保住本金就赢了! 核心暗号,买股票就是买公司,懂的人不到1% 段永平在访谈里把这句话念得跟咒语似的,还补刀,雪 球上的球友们,能真懂这话的1%都不到,做到的更是凤毛麟角。 这话啥意思呢?说白了就是你买股票不是买涨跌的筹码,是当公司小老板,得知道这公司靠啥赚钱、以 后能不能一直赚。 很多散户倒好,看股价便宜就冲,以为捡了宝,结果越套越深。大佬早就看穿一切,便宜的东西能更便 宜,盲目抄底纯属送人头! 这就跟找对象似的,光看颜值低就动心,不了解人品家底,迟早得翻车。 持仓密码,三巨头躺赢,特斯拉再牛也不碰 别人炒股搞广撒网,段永平直接极简风,我就三只股票, 苹果、腾讯、茅台。这配置堪称神仙三件套,共同点就是看得懂、壁垒高。 苹果的生态闭环、茅台的文化buff、腾讯的社交底盘,都是别人抄不来的硬实力。 最搞笑的是他不投特斯拉的理由,马斯克确实牛,但我不喜欢他的品行。 投资就是跟人做朋友,这种朋友给我钱我也不处! 顺便还吐槽电动车行 ...
段永平罕见发声:假如五年前看懂英伟达,愿意拿茅台换
Core Insights - Renowned investor Duan Yongping, after over 20 years of retirement, shared his investment philosophy and experiences in a recent interview, emphasizing the importance of understanding a company's intrinsic value and future cash flows rather than focusing solely on market price fluctuations [1][3]. Investment Philosophy - Duan Yongping currently holds only Kweichow Moutai in the A-share market, indicating it is one of his few major investments. He stated that his investment decisions are primarily based on the company's future cash flow rather than a single metric like the price-to-earnings ratio [2][3]. - He expressed that even during significant price declines, such as Kweichow Moutai's stock price halving, he remained calm and continued to hold and even increase his position, reflecting his deep understanding of the company's intrinsic value [2][3]. Decision-Making Process - Duan emphasized that investment is about making comparisons and choices based on a deep understanding of the business, anchoring on intrinsic value and future cash flows rather than short-term market volatility [3][4]. - He clarified that "long-term holding" should not be equated with "never selling," and investors must continuously evaluate opportunity costs during the holding period [4]. Understanding Companies - Duan agreed with the notion that "buying stocks means buying companies," but stressed the importance of truly understanding the company, which he believes is quite challenging. He noted that many companies are difficult to comprehend fully [6][7]. - He highlighted that even if one does not fully understand a company, it does not guarantee profitability, as success in such cases often relies on luck rather than skill [6]. Cultural and Strategic Insights - Duan criticized Nokia's decline, attributing it to a corporate culture that prioritized market share over user experience and a failure to adapt to changing trends. He noted that strategic direction and cultural foundations are crucial for a company's success [7][8]. - He emphasized that understanding a company requires looking beyond its business and trends to examine its internal culture and strategic consistency [7]. Talent Selection - Duan asserted that selecting the right people is essential for organizational success, emphasizing that shared values and cultural alignment are critical for long-term collaboration [8][9]. - He categorized individuals in organizations as "like-minded" or "co-workers," stressing that those who share deep value recognition contribute significantly to organizational cohesion [8][9].
如何找到对的人?段永平谈企业经营秘诀:核心是选择而非培养
"退休"20多年的知名投资人段永平,近日罕见发声。在访谈节目《方略》(访谈时间:2025年10月16 日)中,回答了雪球创始人方三文关于投资理念、企业经营、个人成长等话题的一系列提问。 当被问及具有共同价值观的人才究竟是靠"培养"还是"选择"时,段永平的回答斩钉截铁:"选择出来 的。" 他坦言,步步高体系内的人才大多和他一样是"普通人",后来的成长更多来自于共同工作中的"慢慢学 习和积累"。而这一切的前提,是价值观上的深度认同。 (原标题:如何找到对的人?段永平谈企业经营秘诀:核心是选择而非培养) "价值观要是相互不认同,这事没法干。"他强调,如果组织中的每个人都"各打小算盘",组织必然出问 题。相反,正是基于牢固的共同价值观,许多同事才能相伴数十载甚至到退休,形成了强大的组织凝聚 力。 21世纪经济报道记者杨娜娜 上海报道 他特别提到合作多年的代理商,指出维系他们长期关系的,正是对文化的强烈认同。 这也揭示了段永平心中贯穿投资与经营的核心逻辑,即无论是选择一家公司作为投资标的,还是选择一 个人作为事业伙伴,最深层次的筛选标准,始终是基于价值观的契合与文化的认同。 他也指出,"找对的人需要时间"。他将组织中的 ...
段永平最新千亿持仓来了!新进阿斯麦
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-15 03:41
来源:格隆汇APP 随着13F文件出炉,巨佬们最新动向来了! 段永平在美国管理的一个投资账户此前被网友们挖出,机构名为"H&H"。 H&H提交的报告显示,截至2025年三季度,持有11只美股,持仓市值146.8亿美元,约合人民币1042亿 元。 最新数据显示,段永平在三季度新建仓8万股阿斯麦,持仓金额7745万美元,占比 0.53%,比例不高。 阿斯麦作为全球唯一EUV光刻机供应商,这次段永平建仓,可能是其在全球半导体核心设备环节上的 一个观察方向。 三季度段永平加仓伯克希尔B;减持苹果、拼多多、阿里巴巴、谷歌C、英伟达;对西方石油、微软、 迪士尼和台积电持仓不变。 以上是段永平旗下基金的美股持仓,其港股和A股持仓无需披露,但段永平提及过自己在港股和A股的 投资方向。 段永平在最近的采访中透露,自己的投资标的。 他表示,目前自己真的投过比较大金额的,最早是网易,然后雅虎,投雅虎其实就是想买阿里;后来差 不多就到苹果,伯克希尔哈撒韦的比重也不大;茅台其实也蛮大,腾讯现在其实还可以。 他透露,谷歌都不算,没有在谷歌上真的下过重注;拼多多可以算,拼多多很特殊了,初创阶段的时候 就已经投了,投的钱其实比重很少,赚的钱 ...
伯克希尔最新调仓动向曝光!首次建仓谷歌母公司
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-15 03:41
Group 1 - Berkshire Hathaway's latest investment strategy reveals a total of 41 stocks held in the U.S. market, with a combined market value of $267 billion as of the end of Q3 [1] - In Q3, Berkshire purchased 17.85 million shares of Alphabet, with a holding value of approximately $4.34 billion, making it the 10th largest position in the portfolio [1] - Berkshire has reduced its stake in Apple by selling 41.79 million shares in Q3, more than doubling the amount sold compared to Q2, yet still holds over 238 million shares valued at approximately $60.66 billion, maintaining Apple as its largest holding [1][2] Group 2 - The top ten holdings of Berkshire Hathaway account for 87% of its portfolio, including Apple, American Express, Bank of America, Coca-Cola, Chevron, Occidental Petroleum, Moody's, Chubb, Kraft Heinz, and Alphabet [2][3] - Chubb is the only stock among the top ten that saw an increase in holdings, with an additional 4.29 million shares acquired, raising its holding percentage to 3.31% [3] Group 3 - Warren Buffett's annual letter to shareholders reflects on his life and investment philosophy, emphasizing the importance of kindness and philanthropy, while also announcing plans to convert more Berkshire A shares into B shares for charitable donations [4][5] - Buffett reassures shareholders of his confidence in the U.S. economy and Berkshire's resilience, stating that volatility is not risk, but panic is [5]
段永平方略访谈:我之所以成为我,很大原因是因为我不做的那些事情
雪球· 2025-11-14 13:00
Group 1: Personal Growth - The importance of parental trust in childhood, which lays the foundation for rational decision-making [3][5] - Setting boundaries is crucial for providing children with a sense of security, which is essential for rationality [5][6] - The significance of leaving uncomfortable environments for better career choices [7][8] Group 2: Corporate Management - The lesson from Xiaobawang emphasizes the importance of trust and commitment in organizational culture [20] - The success of BBK is attributed to its focus on integrity and user-oriented culture [21][22] - The evolution of corporate culture is a continuous process influenced by experiences and lessons learned [23][24] Group 3: Investment Logic - The core principle of investing is to view stock purchases as buying into a company [40][41] - Understanding a company's business model and future cash flows is essential for successful investing [44][45] - Real-world examples, such as investments in NetEase, Apple, and Moutai, illustrate the importance of understanding company value and consumer recognition [48][69]
段永平,最神奇一笔投资
投资界· 2025-11-14 08:01
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the investment journey of Duan Yongping, emphasizing his successful investment in NetEase during the internet bubble burst and his philosophy of investing in companies rather than just stocks [4][15]. Investment in NetEase - In 2001, Duan Yongping made a significant investment in NetEase when its stock price was below $1, despite the company facing severe challenges and a potential delisting risk [6][7]. - He recognized that NetEase had over $2 in cash per share, which indicated it was undervalued, leading him to invest $2 million for 152,000 shares, later increasing his stake to 205,000 shares, approximately 6.8% of the total shares [7][8]. - Within six months, the stock price surged to $70, resulting in a 20-fold return on investment, and ultimately, he earned over $200 million from this investment by holding until around 2010 [8][9]. Investment in Pinduoduo - Duan Yongping's investment in Pinduoduo was characterized as somewhat impulsive, as he admitted to investing without fully understanding the e-commerce sector [11][12]. - Despite initial hesitations, he chose to increase his stake in Pinduoduo due to his trust in the company's culture and team, even though he acknowledged the risks involved [11][12]. Investment Philosophy - Duan Yongping's investment philosophy revolves around the principle of "buying companies," focusing on understanding the business model and corporate culture rather than timing the market [15][16]. - He emphasizes three key criteria for investments: the right business model, the right people, and the right price, which guide his investment decisions [15][16]. - His long-term holdings primarily include Apple, Moutai, and Tencent, reflecting his strategy of focusing on a few high-quality investments [15][16].