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V字之下的尴尬 | 谈股论金
水皮More· 2025-09-23 09:51
水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 且战且退 盘面消息 A股三大指数今日宽幅震荡,截止收盘,沪指跌0.18%,收报3821.83点;深证成指跌 0.29%,收报13119.82点;创业板指涨0.21%,收报3114.55点。 沪深两市成交额达到 24944亿,较昨日放量3729亿。 老水看盘 V 字形象征着胜利,但今 天 大盘却难给人这种感受。 明确扮演了护盘角色,四大行涨幅均在 2%-3% 之间,开盘后便一路强势拉升,银行板块全 天上涨 1.28% 。 除此之外, YYDS 的 其他核心权重股亦全员发力支撑盘面。其中,中国移动上涨 1.1% , 中国石油上涨 0.4% ,长江电力上涨 0.7% ,中国神华上涨 0.91% 。正是得益于 " 四大金 刚 " 的强势表现,上证指数全天多数时间跌幅小于深 证 指数。 "纪联海" 今 天 表现萎靡,寒武纪下跌 3.45% ,工业富联上涨 0.52% ,海光信息下跌 2.51% ; 中芯国际下跌 0.32% 。 "易中天" 则呈现高开低走态势,但尾盘时扮演了反弹先 锋角色,从平盘附近一路上涨至收盘,涨幅约 3% 。而这一时间段恰好是三大指数触底反弹 的时刻 。 因 ...
新股速递| 沃尔核材:英伟达影子股,高速铜缆贡献未来看点
贝塔投资智库· 2025-07-31 04:05
Core Viewpoint - The company,沃尔核材, is a comprehensive solution provider for high-speed data communication and alternative energy power transmission, focusing on polymer radiation-modified new materials and has established a complete industrial chain from copper core wire to finished copper cables [1] Industry Outlook - The communication cable industry is expected to grow from $18.2 billion in 2025 to $22.8 billion in 2029, with a CAGR of 5.7% [2] - Traditional communication devices will continue to dominate the market, accounting for 58.5% in 2024, while high-speed communication devices will account for 14.8% [2] - The global high-speed copper cable market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 26.9%, increasing from $1.9 billion to $4.9 billion between 2025 and 2029 [5] Market Position - In the heat shrink materials sector, the company ranks first globally with a market share of 20.6% and 58.5% in China [6] - The company is the largest manufacturer of DC charging guns for new energy vehicles in China, holding a market share of 41.7% [6] - The company is the second-largest high-speed copper cable manufacturer globally, with a market share of 24.9% [7] Financial Performance - The company's revenues for 2022, 2023, and Q1 2024 were $5.337 billion, $5.719 billion, and $1.759 billion, respectively, with net profit margins of approximately 12.37%, 13.25%, and 15.36% [9] - The electronic materials segment, primarily heat shrink materials, saw a revenue growth of 27.9% in 2024, contributing 37.6% to total revenue [10] - The new energy vehicle segment achieved a revenue of $1.38 billion in 2024, growing by 27.6% [11] Competitive Advantages - The company is the only domestic producer capable of mass-producing 224G PAM4 copper cables, with a stable yield rate of over 90% [15] - The company has sufficient core production equipment, with five machines for producing high-speed copper cables, and plans to acquire more [16][17] - The company maintains a healthy cash flow, with net cash flows from operating activities of $1.035 billion, $860.1 million, and $942.9 million from 2022 to 2024 [13] Customer and Supplier Dynamics - The company has a low concentration of customers, with the top five customers contributing 12.6%, 11.5%, and 12.7% of revenue from 2022 to 2024 [14] - The company’s largest customer, Amphenol, accounted for 4.0% of total revenue in 2024, indicating a diversified customer base [14] Growth Drivers - The demand for high-speed copper cables is expected to surge due to the introduction of NVIDIA's GB200 AI computing server, which utilizes copper interconnect technology [8] - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing capital expenditures of major cloud service providers, projected to grow by 50% [24] Valuation Insights - The company's A-share PE ratio for 2025 is 22.6x, which is lower than the average of 37x for NVIDIA-related stocks [29]