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嗨学网赴港上市背后:身陷营销依赖、纠纷缠身与盈利困局|港股大看台之IPO观察
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-06 09:15
Core Insights - The company, Haixue.com, is a leading player in the online vocational training sector in China, having achieved significant growth since its establishment in 2012, and is set to become the fourth largest online vocational training service provider in China by 2024 [1] - Despite its market position, the company faces challenges including heavy reliance on marketing, frequent disputes, and ongoing losses [1] Group 1: Business Model and Marketing Strategy - Haixue.com has served approximately 4.3 million paying users and over 130 enterprises and institutions by utilizing precise customer acquisition strategies on major e-commerce and social media platforms [2] - The company employs a large marketing team, with 80% of its 1,258 employees dedicated to sales and marketing, while only 10.6% are instructors [2][3] - Marketing expenses have been substantial, with figures of 285 million, 315 million, 330 million, and 147 million yuan for the years 2022 to 2025, representing 71.3%, 66.8%, 64.7%, and 63.4% of revenue respectively [3] Group 2: Consumer Complaints and Legal Issues - Haixue.com has been associated with negative labels such as "false promises" and "difficulties in refunds," with numerous consumer complaints regarding misleading sales practices and unclear refund conditions [4][5] - In 2023, there were 27 complaints on the Sichuan government platform regarding refund issues, with many consumers claiming they were misled into paying fees [5] Group 3: Financial Performance and Challenges - The company has shown revenue growth, with figures of 400 million, 472 million, 511 million, and 232 million yuan for the years 2022 to 2025, alongside high gross margins of 78.6%, 81.1%, 81.6%, and 85.8% [6] - Despite revenue growth, Haixue.com has not achieved profitability, reporting losses of 186 million, 175 million, 90.69 million, and 158 million yuan for the same periods [6][7] - Employee costs have also risen, with figures of 171 million, 192 million, 213 million, and 92 million yuan, constituting 60% to 64.5% of sales and marketing expenses [7] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company's future profitability is contingent on various factors, including expansion, competition, customer preferences, and regulatory environment, indicating potential for continued losses if costs cannot be controlled [8]
国信证券:李宁短期仍存营销费用压力但经营效率正在改善 维持“优于大市”评级
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-24 04:05
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosen Securities indicates that while Li Ning faces short-term marketing cost pressures, operational efficiency is improving, and there is an expectation for mid-term sales growth to accelerate, leading to a recovery in profitability [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the challenging operating environment of the first half of 2025, the company achieved stable performance, particularly in profit metrics after excluding non-operating impacts [1] - The forecast for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is projected at 2.51 billion, 2.83 billion, and 3.04 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year changes of -16.6%, +12.5%, and +7.7% respectively [1] Group 2: Marketing and Growth Potential - The collaboration with the Chinese Olympic Committee and other resource investments in the second half of the year will incur additional short-term costs, but these are expected to gradually convert into sales drivers [1] - The company maintains a healthy operational foundation and has potential for brand growth acceleration through enhanced marketing efforts [1] Group 3: Valuation and Rating - The reasonable valuation has been adjusted to a range of 21.1-22.3 HKD, corresponding to a 2026 price-to-earnings ratio of 18-19 times [1] - The rating remains "outperform the market" [1]
林清轩冲击IPO,靠23倍营销堆出高端皮相?
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-13 09:57
Core Viewpoint - Lin Qingxuan, a leading high-end domestic skincare brand in China, is attempting to enter the capital market with an IPO, but there are concerns about its high-end positioning and reliance on marketing expenditures [2][3][4]. Financial Overview - Lin Qingxuan's sales and distribution expenses for 2022 to 2024 are projected to be 509 million, 486 million, and 688 million RMB, respectively, accounting for 73.66%, 60.37%, and 56.86% of revenue [11]. - The company reported revenues of 691.15 million, 805.004 million, and 1.209641 billion RMB for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively [14]. Marketing and Sales Strategy - The company has heavily invested in marketing, with 1,739 out of 2,043 employees (85.2%) dedicated to sales and marketing roles [15]. - Lin Qingxuan's pricing strategy aligns with its high-end branding, with products priced at 599 RMB for 30ml of camellia oil and 730 RMB for 50g of anti-wrinkle cream [11]. Consumer Concerns - There have been numerous consumer complaints regarding product safety, including allergic reactions and misleading advertising claims [6][10]. - The brand faced regulatory scrutiny for advertising claims that did not match the actual efficacy of its products, resulting in a fine of 21,000 RMB [6]. Research and Development - Lin Qingxuan's R&D expenditures for 2022 to 2024 are 21.12 million, 19.74 million, and 30.40 million RMB, which are significantly lower compared to its marketing expenses [13]. - The R&D expense ratio is relatively low, with rates of 3.06%, 2.45%, and 2.51% for the respective years, indicating a lack of investment in foundational research compared to international competitors [13][15]. IPO and Future Outlook - The upcoming IPO could provide funding for R&D and supply chain upgrades, but there are doubts about whether the company will prioritize these areas over continued marketing expenditures [18]. - Concerns arise from the founder's pre-IPO cash-out of approximately 22 million RMB, raising questions about the long-term vision of the brand [16][18].